Valencia vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 January 2025 - bettingexpert
We’re gearing up for an intriguing LaLiga clash as bottom-of-the-table Valencia takes on seventh-placed Real Sociedad at the iconic Estadio Mestalla. Kickoff is set for 20:00 on January 19, 2025. Though Valencia is struggling with only 13 points and battling financial issues, they’ve made some promising signings like Max Aarons to strengthen their squad.
On the other hand, Real Sociedad, coached by Imanol Alguacil, come into the game in better form, having won their last three matches. Despite their favorable odds, Sociedad will miss key players like Jon Aramburu due to suspension.
Given Valencia’s solid home form and Real Sociedad’s potential struggle away, a recommended bet is Valencia to win Draw No Bet. Keep an eye on top scorers Hugo Duro and Mikel Oyarzabal for some goal-scoring action. With both teams vying for crucial points, this match promises to be an exciting encounter.
Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the provided match tips and match facts, our recommended betting tip for this clash is Valencia to win Draw No Bet. With Valencia’s solid home form and Real Sociedad’s potential away struggles, this seems to be a strategic choice.
| Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Valencia to win Draw No Bet | 2.25 |
- Valencia has been strong at home, which gives them an edge in this match.
- Real Sociedad may face difficulties due to away conditions and key player absences.
- The odds are favorable for a Valencia win, particularly with the safety of the Draw No Bet option.
Expect a tightly contested affair, with the home advantage possibly tipping the scales in Valencia’s favor.
Valencia vs Real Sociedad Odds
| Valencia vs Real Sociedad Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Valencia | 3.09 |
| Draw | 3.01 |
| Real Sociedad | 2.48 |
The bookmakers tip Real Sociedad as the favourites, giving them odds of 2.48 for an away win. However, Valencia’s odds stand at 3.09, suggesting a potentially rewarding bet for those backing the home side.
A draw comes in at odds of 3.01, indicating a fairly balanced encounter. Keep an eye on the odds for a Draw No Bet option, which could offer a safer alternative for those unsure about a straight-out win.
Valencia Team Analysis
Home Team Recent Performance:
Valencia’s recent form shows a mix of results: two wins, two draws, and one loss. They currently sit at the bottom of the LaLiga table but have shown resilience in their recent encounters. With an average of 1.60 goals scored and two clean sheets from their last five games, they are not to be underestimated despite their struggles this season.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Ourense | Valencia | 0-2 (Win) |
| Sevilla | Valencia | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Eldense | Valencia | 0-2 (Win) |
| Valencia | Real Madrid | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Valencia | Deportivo Alaves | 2-2 (Draw) |
| nn | ||
| Their recent performances highlight their fighting spirit, particularly in away games. Under the guidance of coach Carlos Corberán, Valencia looks to build on their positive results. |
Valencia Key Players
Key players for Valencia include their top scorer Hugo Duro, who has found the back of the net five times this season. His attacking prowess will be critical for Valencia, especially as they face a strong Real Sociedad side.
Valencia’s defense, featuring academy talent Cristhian Mosquera, will be under scrutiny. Mosquera’s performance is crucial, especially given interest from top clubs like Atletico Madrid and Milan.
With Max Aarons newly signed, his contribution on the right flank could be pivotal in bolstering Valencia’s defense and attacking transitions.
Expected lineup for Valencia:
- Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
- Defenders: Dimitri Foulquier, Cristhian Mosquera, César Tárrega, Jose Gaya
- Midfielders: Enzo Barrenechea, Javi Guerra, Diego López, André Almeida, Luis Rioja
- Attacker: Hugo Duro
Valencia Suspensions & Injuries
Valencia is grappling with numerous injuries that might hinder their performance against Real Sociedad. Their list of injured players includes crucial squad members, which could affect team dynamics and depth.
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Mouctar Diakhaby | Cruciate ligament injury | Back in training |
| Thierry Correia | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Rafael Mir | Muscle injury | Late January 2025 |
| Germán Valera | Physical discomfort | Doubtful |
| Sadiq Umar | Physical discomfort | Doubtful |
| Maximiliano Caufriez | Physical discomfort | Doubtful |
| Jose Gaya | Hamstring injury | Late January 2025 |
| Giorgi Mamardashvili | Thigh injury | Late January 2025 |
| Fran Perez | Hamstring injury | Early February 2025 |
The absence of key players like Maximiliano Caufriez and Jose Gaya can prove challenging for Carlos Corberán’s strategies on both defensive and offensive ends of the pitch. Additionally, the injuries to important attacking options such as Germán Valera and Rafael Mir might limit Valencia’s potential to create scoring opportunities.
Valencia Tactics and Formation
Valencia Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Hugo Duro
- Midfield Duo: Enzo Barrenechea, Javi Guerra
- Defensive Setup: Two clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Focus on strong home performance, leveraging full-backs for overlapping runs.
Valencia’s coach Carlos Corberán seems to favour a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a solid defensive base while aiming to exploit counter-attacks. Hugo Duro, their top scorer, will lead the attack. Enzo Barrenechea and Javi Guerra are crucial in midfield for both defensive stability and transitioning play forward. With critical injuries in the squad, adapting the strategy around fit players while maximising home advantage will be pivotal.
Real Sociedad Team Analysis
Real Sociedad Recent Performance
Real Sociedad’s recent form has been impressive, with three wins, a draw, and just one loss in their last five matches. They have consistently shown defensive solidity, with three clean sheets in this period and an average of only 1.2 goals conceded per game.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 3-1 (Win) |
| Real Sociedad | Villarreal | 1-0 (Win) |
| Ponferradina | Real Sociedad | 0-2 (Win) |
| Celta Vigo | Real Sociedad | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Real Sociedad | Las Palmas | 0-0 (Draw) |
Takefusa Kubo and Mikel Oyarzabal have been standout performers, contributing significantly to their recent successes. However, their ability to maintain this form will be tested against a Valencia side eager to leverage their home advantage.
Real Sociedad Key Players
Expected lineup for Real Sociedad:
- Goalkeeper: Alex Remiro
- Defenders: Aritz Elustondo, Igor Zubeldia, Nayef Aguerd, Aihen Muñoz
- Midfielders: Takefusa Kubo, Martín Zubimendi, Luka Sucic, Sergio Gomez
- Forwards: Mikel Oyarzabal, Brais Méndez
Mikel Oyarzabal, Real Sociedad’s top scorer with 4 goals this season, will be a focal point in the attack. His partnership with Brais Méndez and Takefusa Kubo on the wings is critical for breaking down Valencia’s defence.
Key individual battles to watch include Oyarzabal against Valencia’s defensive line, particularly centre-back Cristhian Mosquera. Luka Sucic’s midfield duel with Valencia’s André Almeida will also be pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo.
With Martín Zubimendi potentially out due to a broken rib, the midfield responsibilities will heavily rest on Luka Sucic and Sergio Gomez to maintain possession and create opportunities.
Real Sociedad Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Hamari Traore | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Arsen Zakharyan | Tendon injury | Doubtful |
| Martín Zubimendi | Broken rib | Mid February 2025 |
| Sheraldo Becker | Physical discomfort | Doubtful |
| Álvaro Odriozola | Muscle injury | Late January 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| —————- | ———— | —————— |
| Jon Aramburu | Yellow cards | 1 match left |
These injuries and suspensions could significantly impact Real Sociedad’s performance. Missing key players like Martín Zubimendi in midfield and Hamari Traore at the back, they’ll need to rely heavily on their depth. Jon Aramburu’s suspension adds further pressure on their defensive lineup, requiring adaptability from the squad.
Real Sociedad Tactics and Formation
Real Sociedad’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forward: Mikel Oyarzabal
- Midfield Duo: Luka Sucic and Martín Zubimendi
- Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Maintaining possession in the midfield while creating playmaking opportunities from the flanks.
Real Sociedad will likely deploy a 4-4-2 formation that emphasizes both defensive solidity and forward momentum. With Martín Zubimendi out due to injury, Luka Sucic will be pivotal in midfield. Their defensive strength is bolstered by three clean sheets in recent games, meaning their backline, featuring Nayef Aguerd and Igor Zubeldia, will be crucial. Keep an eye on Takefusa Kubo in creating attacking opportunities, particularly from set-pieces.
Valencia vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | 0-1 |
| Real Sociedad | Valencia | 1-1 |
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | 0-2 |
| Real Sociedad | Valencia | 2-0 |
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | 1-1 |
These recent encounters highlight Real Sociedad’s solid record against Valencia in their last few meetings. A mix of tight and convincing victories for Real Sociedad indicates they hold a psychological edge going into this match. Typically, the trend also suggests fewer goals in these fixtures. With Valencia at the bottom of the table, they will need to rally strongly to disrupt Real Sociedad’s dominance.
Odds accurate as of 17.01.2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
