Atletico Madrid vs. Real Valladolid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 April 2025 - bettingexpert
As we head into the 31st round of LaLiga, Atletico Madrid takes on Real Valladolid in what promises to be a significant match for both teams. Atletico, currently 3rd with 60 points, still harbors slim hopes of clinching the title. Their recent narrow victory against Sevilla has boosted their morale. Expect a determined display from Diego Simeone’s squad as they aim to secure all three points and maintain pressure on the league’s top two.
On the flip side, Valladolid sits rock-bottom with just 16 points. Álvaro Rubio’s men are desperate for a turnaround, having not tasted victory in 11 games and losing their last four consecutive matches.
The match takes place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, and all eyes will be on referee Isidro Diaz de Mera, known for his low red card count this season. With both teams struggling to keep clean sheets recently, our match tip recommends betting on over 1.5 goals in the first half.
Given Atletico’s solid home record and Valladolid’s struggles, a goal-heavy encounter seems likely.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid Prediction & Betting tip
Given Atletico Madrid’s current form and Real Valladolid’s significant defensive struggles, our betting tip is to go for "Over 1.5 goals in the 1st half."
This tip is supported by past encounters and the teams’ recent performances, hinting at a goal-heavy first half.
| Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Over 1.5 goals in the 1st half | 1.85 |
- Atletico Madrid have scored in 93% of their matches this season.
- Real Valladolid have lost four consecutive matches, all by a significant margin.
- Previous encounters between these teams frequently result in high scores.
Expect an action-packed opening 45 minutes!
Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid Odds
Before diving into the nuances of the game, let’s take a look at the betting odds for this clash:
| Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.13 |
| Draw | 8.45 |
| Real Valladolid | 19.91 |
Clearly, the bookmakers heavily favor Atletico Madrid, reflecting their strong position in the league and recent good form compared to Valladolid’s struggles and relegation worries.
With odds of 1.13 for an Atletico win, the odds indicate a high likelihood of a home victory. Given the past performances and standings, a bet on Atletico seems reasonable.
Real Valladolid’s long odds at 19.91 underscore their challenging task on the road. The possibility of a draw, with odds of 8.45, is also seen as unlikely.
Considering these odds, bettors need to weigh the rewards against the risks carefully.
Atletico Madrid Team Analysis
Atletico Madrid Recent Performance
Atletico Madrid has shown a mixed bag of results in their recent matches, which are detailed below:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Atletico Madrid | 2025-04-06 | LaLiga | 1-2 (Win) |
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | 2025-04-02 | Copa del Rey | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Espanyol | Atletico Madrid | 2025-03-29 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | 2025-03-16 | LaLiga | 2-4 (Loss) |
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 2025-03-12 | Champions League | 1-0 (Win, 2-4 pens) |
Recent Form: LLWDL
Despite their fluctuating form, Atletico Madrid has managed to score an average of 1.60 goals per game in their last five matches. However, the team has struggled with their defensive solidity, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of these encounters.
Atletico’s significant victory against Sevilla, combined with tight losses to top-tier teams like Barcelona, indicates that they can compete strongly. This upcoming game against Valladolid offers a good chance for them to add to their points tally as they continue to push towards the top of the standings.
Atletico Madrid Key Players
Atletico Madrid’s lineup boasts several standout players who will be key in their face-off against Real Valladolid. Julián Álvarez and Antoine Griezmann will be crucial in the attacking department, with Álvarez being the team’s top scorer, netting 12 goals this season. Griezmann, with his crafty playmaking skills, forms a formidable duo with Álvarez upfront.
In the midfield, Koke’s leadership and distribution will be vital, complemented by the youthful energy of Pablo Barrios and the versatility of Conor Gallagher. Giuliano Simeone is expected to drive the right flank, bringing dynamism to the attack.
Atletico’s defense, led by Jan Oblak in goal, along with Marcos Llorente, José Giménez returning from suspension, Clément Lenglet, and Javi Galán, will aim to tighten up at the back.
Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:
- Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
- Defenders: Marcos Llorente, José Giménez, Clément Lenglet, Javi Galán
- Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher
- Attackers: Antoine Griezmann, Julián Álvarez
Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries
Atletico Madrid will have to navigate the match against Real Valladolid without some key players due to suspensions and injuries.
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ángel Correa | Red card | 3 matches left |
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo De Paul | Muscle injury | Late April 2025 |
| Samuel Dias Lino | Muscle injury | Late April 2025 |
Ángel Correa is serving a suspension and will miss this clash. Meanwhile, injuries to Rodrigo De Paul and Samuel Dias Lino mean that Diego Simeone will need to adjust his midfield options.
These absences may force Simeone to rely on the depth of his squad, especially in maintaining the balance between attack and defense.
Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation
Atletico Madrid Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Antoine Griezmann, Julián Álvarez
- Midfield Setup: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher
- Defensive Line: Marcos Llorente (RB), José Giménez (RCB), Clement Lenglet (LCB), Javi Galán (LB)
- Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
Diego Simeone’s team often relies on a solid 4-4-2 formation that balances defensive rigidity with attacking flair. With key scorers like Griezmann and Álvarez up front, they’ll look to exploit any weaknesses in Real Valladolid’s back line.
Key tactical elements include pressing high up the pitch and rapid counter-attacks, especially in the later stages where they statistically score the most goals.
This match will test their depth, with Correa suspended and both De Paul and Samuel Lino injured, requiring others to step up and contribute both defensively and offensively.
Real Valladolid Team Analysis
Real Valladolid Recent Performance
Real Valladolid have had a tough run lately, evident from their recent form of four losses and one draw. Their struggles are reflected in their low scoring record and inability to keep clean sheets:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Getafe | 2025-04-06 | LaLiga | 0-4 (Loss) |
| Real Sociedad | Real Valladolid | 2025-03-29 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Real Valladolid | Celta Vigo | 2025-03-15 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Valencia | Real Valladolid | 2025-03-08 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Real Valladolid | Las Palmas | 2025-02-28 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
Recent Form: LLLLD
In their last five matches, Valladolid have scored just an average of 0.6 goals per game and have failed to secure any clean sheets.
This poor spell has left them anchored at the bottom of the table with just 16 points. Coach Álvaro Rubio will need to inspire a turnaround if they’re to escape relegation.
Real Valladolid Key Players
Real Valladolid are facing a tough challenge, but there are a few players who could make an impact:
- Juanmi Latasa is the team’s top scorer with 3 goals. He will be key for Valladolid if they are to pose any threat.
- Anuar has shown flashes of creativity and could be pivotal in breaking down Atletico’s sturdy defense.
- Midfielder Ivan Sanchez will play a vital role in both defense and attack, looking to control the midfield battles.
Expected lineup for Real Valladolid:
- Goalkeeper: André Ferreira
- Defenders: Antonio Candela, Eray Cömert, Cenk Ozkacar, Adam Aznou
- Midfielders: Ivan Sanchez, Tamás Nikitscher, Mario Martin, Raul Moro
- Forwards: Mamadou Sylla, Juanmi Latasa
Valladolid will need standout performances to overcome Atletico’s solid form.
Real Valladolid Suspensions & Injuries
Real Valladolid have a few critical absentees that could affect their lineup and performance against Atletico Madrid.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Karl Hein | Shoulder injury | Late April 2025 |
| Kenedy | Virus | About 1-2 weeks |
| Selim Amallah | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| ————– | —————— | ————————- |
| Mario Martin | Red card | 1 match left |
The absence of Mario Martin due to suspension will be a significant loss in the midfield. Added to that, Karl Hein, Kenedy, and Selim Amallah being unavailable means Valladolid will miss some important squad depth. This could significantly reduce their chances of securing a positive result against a strong Atletico Madrid side.
Real Valladolid Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Marcos Andre
- Midfield Trio: Tamás Nikitscher, Florian Grillitsch, Anuar
- Defensive Setup: Joseph Aidoo at the center of defense with Javi Sánchez and David Torres as center backs
Real Valladolid will likely set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Álvaro Rubio. This system gives them a compact structure to counter Atletico Madrid’s attack while offering flexibility to transition quickly when in possession.
Marcos Andre will be the key forward, supported by Raúl Moro and Anuar in the attacking midfield roles. The midfield pairing of Tamás Nikitscher and Florian Grillitsch will be crucial for ball retention and breaking down opposition plays.
Defensively, the experienced Joseph Aidoo will marshal the backline, supported by fullbacks Antonio Candela and Adam Aznou. This balance between attack and defense will be vital in their attempt to secure points against a formidable Atletico Madrid team.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Atletico Madrid | 2024-11-30 | LaLiga | 0-5 (Loss) |
| Real Valladolid | Atletico Madrid | 2023-04-30 | LaLiga | 2-5 (Loss) |
| Atletico Madrid | Real Valladolid | 2023-01-21 | LaLiga | 3-0 (Win) |
| Real Valladolid | Atletico Madrid | 2021-05-22 | LaLiga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Atletico Madrid | Real Valladolid | 2020-12-05 | LaLiga | 2-0 (Win) |
The head-to-head history between Atletico Madrid and Real Valladolid has been one-sided in recent encounters. Atletico Madrid has dominated, scoring a plethora of goals in the last five matches. Real Valladolid will find it challenging to overturn this streak, especially given their current form compared to Atletico Madrid’s competitive standing.
Odds accurate as of 12/04/2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
