Sevilla vs. Deportivo Alaves Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 20 April 2025 - bettingexpert
Saturday’s clash at Estadio R. Sanchez Pizjuan sees Sevilla host Deportivo Alaves in a crucial LaLiga encounter. With both teams struggling to secure their LaLiga status, the stakes are high for this matchup.
Sevilla, sitting 14th with 36 points, recently sacked coach Javier García Pimienta after a string of poor results. Joaquin Caparros now faces the challenge of stabilizing a side that has lost four straight matches. Meanwhile, Deportivo Alaves, managed by Eduardo Coudet, are 17th with 30 points and just outside the relegation zone.
Our match tip suggests a draw, as both teams have displayed inconsistency. Sevilla has a tendency for home draws, while Alaves has drawn three of their last five away fixtures. In a battle likely to be cautious with limited scoring opportunities, expect a tight contest.
The match kicks off at 17:30, with Miguel Ortiz officiating, adding to the intensity of the game. Both teams will be eager to grab vital points in their fight for survival.
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction & Betting tip
Given the context of the match and the previous performances of both teams, we recommend betting on a Draw as the safest choice.
| Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.03 |
- Both Sevilla and Deportivo Alaves have displayed inconsistency, making predicting a clear winner challenging.
- Sevilla has a tendency for home draws, while Alaves has drawn three of their last five away fixtures.
- The last five encounters between these two teams have been tightly contested, with both sides finding the net but often ending in very close results.
Given these facts, a draw seems highly probable.
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Odds
Sevilla is the bookmakers’ favourite to win this match at home, reflected in their shorter odds. However, given both teams’ recent form and the tight competition at the lower end of LaLiga, a draw might also be a smart bet.
| Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Sevilla | 2.04 |
| Draw | 3.03 |
| Deportivo Alaves | 4.16 |
Even though Sevilla has the upper hand according to the odds and is playing at home, their recent managerial change and consecutive losses cast some doubt on their ability to secure all three points. On the other hand, Deportivo Alaves, battling relegation and with decent away form, could capitalize on Sevilla’s instability. Given these factors, monitoring these odds could provide better value.
Sevilla Team Analysis
Sevilla Recent Performance
Sevilla has had a tough run of results lately, losing four out of their last five matches. Their recent performances haven’t been up to the mark, which eventually led to the dismissal of coach Javier García Pimienta. Currently, they are precariously positioned just seven points above the relegation zone.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Sevilla | 2025-04-11 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Sevilla | Atletico Madrid | 2025-04-06 | LaLiga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Real Betis | Sevilla | 2025-03-30 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Sevilla | Athletic Club | 2025-03-16 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Real Sociedad | Sevilla | 2025-03-09 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Win) |
Sevilla has managed an average of just 0.60 goals scored per game in their last five matches, with only one clean sheet during this period. Their poor offensive output combined with defensive frailties has led to this dismal run. The team will hope that the managerial change will spark some positive change as they face Deportivo Alaves at home.
Sevilla Key Players
Sevilla will be looking to their key players to turn their fortunes around after a string of losses. The focus will undoubtedly be on their top scorer, Dodi Lukebakio, who has netted 11 goals this season. He will need to be at his best to exploit the gaps in Alaves’ defense. Djibril Sow and Lucien Agoumé in midfield will also be crucial in dictating the pace of the game and providing the necessary support both defensively and offensively. With Kike Salas suspended, there will be changes in the backline.
Expected lineup for Sevilla:
- Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
- Defenders: José Ángel Carmona, Loïc Badé, Nemanja Gudelj, Adrià Pedrosa
- Midfielders: Juanlu Sánchez, Lucien Agoumé, Djibril Sow
- Attackers: Dodi Lukebakio, Isaac Romero, Chidera Ejuke
Individual battles to watch will include Lukebakio against Alaves’ defense and Sow against Joan Jordán in midfield.
Sevilla Suspensions & Injuries
Sevilla will face a challenging match against Deportivo Alaves with several key players unavailable due to injuries and suspensions.
Suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Kike Salas | Yellow cards | 25/04/2025 |
Having Kike Salas suspended means that the defensive lineup will have to be adjusted, which could affect the team’s stability at the back.
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi | Thigh injury | Unknown |
| Ruben Vargas | Thigh injury | Early May 2025 |
| Akor Adams | Thigh injury | Late April 2025 |
These injuries, especially to Kouassi and Vargas, will impact Sevilla’s squad depth and tactical options. Coach Joaquin Caparros will need to strategize effectively to cover these gaps.
Sevilla Tactics and Formation
Sevilla Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Dodi Lukebakio
- Midfield Trio: Juanlu Sánchez, Lucien Agoumé, Djibril Sow
- Defensive Setup: The backline consists of José Ángel Carmona, Loïc Badé, Nemanja Gudelj, and Adrià Pedrosa
Sevilla are likely to maintain their 4-3-3 formation, aiming for fluidity between attack and defense. Dodi Lukebakio remains their main attacking threat on the right flank, supported by the reliable midfield trio of Sánchez, Agoumé, and Sow, who add both defensive solidity and offensive support.
With Kike Salas suspended, Nemanja Gudelj could shift to center-back, partnering with Loïc Badé. Despite recent losses, maintaining a solid defense will be crucial, which has seen minor success with one clean sheet in the last five games.
Overall, expect Sevilla to focus on retaining possession and exploiting wing play to create scoring opportunities.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Real Madrid | 2025-04-13 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Girona | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-04-05 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Rayo Vallecano | 2025-03-29 | LaLiga | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Las Palmas | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-03-14 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Villarreal | 2025-03-08 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
Deportivo Alaves have shown mixed form recently, evident from their record of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches.
Recent Form: LWLDW
A noticeable highlight is their defensive improvement, securing two clean sheets in their last five games. This has been crucial in maintaining their position just above the relegation zone.
Their average goals scored in the last five matches stands at 0.80, indicating some struggle in the attacking department. However, resilience in defense, especially away from home, could give them an edge against Sevilla.
Expect a cautious approach from Alaves, with an emphasis on solidifying their defense and capitalizing on counter-attacks.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
Deportivo Alaves will look to their key players to make a significant impact against Sevilla. Kike Garcia, their top scorer with 11 goals, will be crucial in spearheading the attack. In midfield, Carles Aleña, who has shown creativity and vision, will aim to control the tempo and supply the forwards with quality passes.
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Adrian Pica, Facundo Garcés, Moussa Diarra
- Midfielders: Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Joan Jordán, Carles Aleña
- Attackers: Carlos Martín, Kike Garcia
The battle between Kike Garcia and Sevilla’s defensive line, especially Nemanja Gudelj, could be a pivotal contest.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Abdel Abqar | Hamstring | Late April 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| —————– | ————– | ——————- |
| Santiago Mouriño | Yellow cards | 1 match |
| Manu Sanchez | Red card | 1 match |
Deportivo Alaves will miss Abdel Abqar in defense due to a hamstring injury. This could potentially create a gap in their backline.
Suspensions for Santiago Mouriño and Manu Sanchez further complicate matters, reducing their defensive options.
With key players missing, Deportivo Alaves might struggle to maintain a solid defensive structure against Sevilla.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forward: Kike Garcia, who has netted 11 goals this season.
- Midfield Duo: Antonio Blanco and Carlos Vicente, providing both defensive stability and attacking support.
- Defensive Setup: The backline will be marshalled by Nahuel Tenaglia and Facundo Garces.
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera is expected to start, given his solid performances.
Tactical Breakdown:
- Recent formations show flexibility, typically oscillating between 4-4-1-1 and 4-2-3-1.
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games, showcasing solid defensive work.
- Notable Strategy: Expect a cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity while looking to exploit counter-attack opportunities.
- Challenges: With key suspensions and injuries, maintaining defensive structure will be pivotal.
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Sevilla | 2024-09-20 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Sevilla | Deportivo Alaves | 2024-01-12 | LaLiga | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Sevilla | 2023-08-21 | LaLiga | 4-3 (Loss) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Sevilla | 2023-01-17 | Copa del Rey | 0-1 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Sevilla | 2022-03-04 | LaLiga | 0-0 (Draw) |
The recent head-to-head record favors Deportivo Alaves with three wins out of the last five encounters. Sevilla did manage to secure one win and a draw during this period, which adds a layer of complexity to predicting this match’s outcome.
Odds accurate as of 18 April 2025, 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
