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Villarreal vs Espanyol Prediction and Betting Tips - La Liga - bettingexpert

Villarreal-Espanyol
Villarreal
Espanyol
Recent form:
VIL
ESP
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5.00

As LaLiga enters its 26th round, Villarreal hosts Espanyol at Estadio de la Ceramica on 3 March 2025 at 20:00. Villarreal, currently 5th in the league, is pushing for a Champions League spot, while Espanyol is striving to distance themselves from the relegation zone, sitting in 15th place.

Villarreal is in solid form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, showcasing their resilience. Notably, they’ve not lost in six consecutive matches in the tournament. Meanwhile, Espanyol has had a mixed bag with two wins, two draws, and a loss. However, their 1-0 victory over Real Madrid recently sparked some controversy and showcased their capability to surprise stronger teams.

Both teams have some injury concerns, but Villarreal remains the bookmaker’s favorite, with odds at 1.41 for a win. Espanyol, though scoring most of their goals late, faces a tough challenge here. Referee Jose Munuera will be overseeing the game.

Given Villarreal’s current standing and form, our recommended bet is for Under 2.5 goals, with odds at 2.25, suggesting a potentially tight and low-scoring affair.

Villarreal vs Espanyol Prediction & Betting Tip

Our betting tip for this match is to go for Under 2.5 Goals. Here’s why this prediction has been chosen:

Villarreal vs Espanyol Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Under 2.5 Goals 2.25
  • Villarreal, despite their strong form, have had several low-scoring encounters recently, including a 1-0 win over Rayo Vallecano and a 1-1 draw with Valencia.
  • Espanyol have been involved in tightly contested matches lately, such as their 1-0 win against Real Madrid and a 1-1 draw with Athletic Club.
  • Both teams have shown defensive resilience, with Villarreal keeping one clean sheet and Espanyol two in their last five matches.

Expect a balanced game that won’t see many goals hitting the back of the net.

Villarreal vs Espanyol Odds

Here’s a quick look at the betting odds for the upcoming clash between Villarreal and Espanyol:

Villarreal vs Espanyol Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Villarreal 1.41
Draw 4.72
Espanyol 7.16

Villarreal are strong favourites to secure a home victory, and it’s no wonder considering their recent form and 5th place standing. The away team, Espanyol, face long odds but have shown they’re capable of surprises, like their recent win against Real Madrid. The draw also offers some value, reflecting the tight contests both teams have been involved in recently.

Expect a tense, competitive match with Villarreal hoping to inch closer to a Champions League spot.

Villarreal Team Analysis

Villarreal Recent Performance

Home team Away team Result
Rayo Vallecano Villarreal 0-1 (Win)
Villarreal Valencia 1-1 (Draw)
Las Palmas Villarreal 1-2 (Win)
Villarreal Real Valladolid 5-1 (Win)
Atletico Madrid Villarreal 1-1 (Draw)

Villarreal have shown strong form recently, with three victories and two draws in their last five matches. They’ve been effective in front of goal, averaging 2.00 goals per game during this period. Defensive solidity has also been a feature, with one clean sheet in these matches. Marcelino’s team hasn’t lost in their last six LaLiga encounters. Their consistent open play and goal-scoring threats have made them the bookmaker’s favourite for this match against Espanyol. Despite some key injuries, Villarreal are well-positioned to keep up their momentum heading into this important fixture.

Villarreal Key Players

Villarreal’s attacking prowess hinges on the dynamic Ayoze Perez, the team’s top scorer with 11 goals this season. His partnership with Thierno Barry up front has been fruitful, posing a constant threat to opposing defenses.

Midfielders Yeremi Pino and Alejandro Baena offer creativity and pace, making it difficult for opponents to dominate possession.

Defensively, Juan Foyth and Willy Kambwala will be crucial in keeping Espanyol’s attacks at bay.

Expect Diego Conde in goal, flanked by a solid backline that includes Logan Costa and Sergi Cardona.

Expected lineup for Villarreal:

  • Goalkeeper: Diego Conde
  • Defenders: Juan Foyth, Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Sergi Cardona
  • Midfielders: Yeremi Pino, Pape Gueye, Daniel Parejo, Alejandro Baena
  • Attackers: Thierno Barry, Ayoze Perez

Key battles to watch include Ayoze Perez against Espanyol’s center-backs and the duels in midfield where Daniel Parejo will aim to dominate.

Villarreal Suspensions & Injuries

Villarreal will have to navigate several injuries, which could impact their overall performance and squad depth.

Player Injury Expected return
Ilias Akhomach Cruciate ligament injury Out for season
Gerard Moreno Foot injury Mid-March 2025
Kiko Femenia Back injury Mid-March 2025

These absences in key positions, particularly upfront and in defense, mean that coach Marcelino will need to adapt his strategy accordingly. Ayoze Perez and Thierno Barry will be relied upon even more to deliver the goals. Additionally, the defense has to stay solid despite missing key players like Gerard Moreno and Kiko Femenia.

Villarreal Tactics and Formation

Villarreal Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-4-2
  • Key Forwards:
    • Ayoze Perez (11 goals) leads the attack alongside Thierno Barry. Perez’s form and scoring ability will be instrumental in breaking down Espanyol’s defence.
  • Midfield Quartet:
    • Yéremi Pino and Alejandro Baena provide width and support on the flanks.
    • Pape Gueye and Daniel Parejo anchor the central midfield, combining defensive solidity with playmaking skills.
  • Defensive Set-Up:
    • With recent clean sheets hard to come by, the defensive unit, led by Logan Costa and Willy Kambwala, must stay alert, especially in the first half where they’ve often struggled.
  • Notable Strategy:
    • Capitalising on counter-attacks and exploiting the wide areas, Villarreal aims to press high and dominate possession.

Marcelino’s side needs to leverage their home advantage and convert their possession into goals, while tightening up defensively.

Espanyol Team Analysis

Espanyol Recent Performance WDLWD

Espanyol have had mixed results lately, showing a blend of resilience and inconsistency. They sit in 15th position with just 27 points, averaging 1.00 goals scored in their last five games. This stretch includes a notable 1-0 victory over Real Madrid, demonstrating their potential to upset stronger teams. However, they’ve also struggled with consistency, evidenced by a recent 2-1 loss to Real Sociedad.

Home team Away team Result
Deportivo Alaves Espanyol 0-1 (Win)
Espanyol Athletic Club 1-1 (Draw)
Real Sociedad Espanyol 2-1 (Loss)
Espanyol Real Madrid 1-0 (Win)
Sevilla Espanyol 1-1 (Draw)

Espanyol managed two clean sheets in these fixtures, but their defense remains a concern. Their recent performances reflect a side capable of securing points but often hovering in the lower half of the table.

Espanyol Key Players

Espanyol will be hoping that their key players step up as they aim to climb higher in the LaLiga standings. Leading the charge will be Javier Puado, their top scorer with 8 goals this season. His battle against Villarreal’s defenders like Juan Foyth and Willy Kambwala could be pivotal.
Alex Kral in the attacking midfield role will play a crucial part in unlocking Villarreal’s defence, aiming to create opportunities for Roberto Fernández, who is likely to spearhead the attack.
Expected lineup for Espanyol:

  • Goalkeeper: Joan García
  • Defenders: Omar El Hilali, Marash Kumbulla, Leandro Cabrera, Brian Oliván
  • Midfielders: Pol Lozano, Urko González de Zárate, Jofre Carreras, Alex Kral, Javi Puado
  • Forward: Roberto Fernández

Additionally, keep an eye on Jofre Carreras, whose wing play could challenge Villarreal’s full-backs throughout the match.

Espanyol Suspensions & Injuries

Espanyol might face challenges in their upcoming match against Villarreal due to several injuries affecting their squad.
Injuries:

Player Injury Expected return
José Gragera Broken finger Doubtful
Fernando Pacheco Thigh injury Mid-March 2025
Pablo Ramón Cruciate ligament injury Unknown
Pere Milla Concussion Doubtful

These injuries will undoubtedly impact Espanyol’s depth and potential starting XI. The absence of Fernando Pacheco in goal and Pere Milla’s presence in attack, in particular, might limit their usual strategies and defensive stability.
On the bright side, Espanyol has managed to secure some positive results recently, even with these constraints. However, they might need to rely more heavily on their bench and tactical changes to cope against a strong Villarreal side.

Espanyol Tactics and Formation

Espanyol’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Roberto Fernández Jaén
  • Midfield Trio: Pol Lozano, Urko González de Zárate, and Alex Kral
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.

Notable Strategy: Scoring frequently between the 76-90 and 46-60 minute intervals.
Espanyol adopts a solid 4-2-3-1 setup, which balances defensive responsibility and creative attack.
Roberto Fernández spearheads the attack while Javi Puado and Jofre Carreras provide width and support from the wings.

Pol Lozano and Urko González de Zárate offer defensive coverage, allowing Alex Kral the freedom to link up play and drive forward. With Joan García in goal and a reliable defensive line, Espanyol has built up strength that they hope to exploit against Villarreal.

Villarreal vs Espanyol Head-to-Head Statistics

Here’s a look at their most recent five encounters:

Home Away Result
Espanyol Villarreal 1 – 2
Villarreal Espanyol 4 – 2
Espanyol Villarreal 0 – 1
Villarreal Espanyol 5 – 1
Espanyol Villarreal 0 – 0

Villarreal has been dominant, winning four of the last five matchups.
Espanyol’s defence will need to be tight against a Villarreal side that has consistently found ways to break them down.
The history leans in favour of Villarreal, but Espanyol will be eager to turn the tide.

Odds accurate as of 01/03/2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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