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Valencia vs. Sevilla Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 11 April 2025 - bettingexpert

Valencia-Sevilla
LaLiga
Fulltime
ValenciaValencia
1 - 0
SevillaSevilla
(HT 1-0)

The 31st round of LaLiga kicks off with an intriguing clash between Valencia and Sevilla at Estadio Mestalla. Valencia, buoyant after recently defeating Real Madrid, are currently enjoying a five-game unbeaten streak, moving six points clear of the relegation zone with 34 points and sitting in 14th position. Key players like José Gayà and Luis Rioja return from suspension, further strengthening Carlos Corberán’s squad.

Sevilla, on the other hand, are experiencing a dip in form with three consecutive losses, placing them in 12th with 36 points. They aim to bounce back to remain in contention for continental competitions but will miss key players Pedrosa and Nianzou, with Rúben Vargas doubtful. García Pimienta will hope to steer his team back to winning ways despite these setbacks.

Given Valencia’s recent form and home advantage, they are favored to win this encounter. The bookmakers agree, setting their odds at 2.33 for a Valencia victory. Expect Valencia to capitalize on Sevilla’s current struggles and maintain their momentum in front of their home crowd.

With both sides keen on securing crucial points to achieve their respective season goals, this match is set to be an exciting contest full of narrative and significance.

Valencia vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tip

Valencia to win is our recommended betting tip for this match. Given Valencia’s recent run of form and home advantage, they are well-positioned to capitalize on Sevilla’s current struggles.

Valencia vs Sevilla Prediction
Betting Tip Odds
Valencia to Win 2.33
  • Valencia is on a five-game unbeaten streak, including a recent win over Real Madrid, showcasing their improved form and capability at home.
  • Sevilla is struggling with three consecutive losses, indicating a decline in performance and a possible lack of confidence.
  • With key players returning from injury and suspension, Valencia’s squad depth and quality are boosted, making them favorites against a Sevilla side battling injuries and institutional challenges.

Valencia vs Sevilla Odds

Here’s a quick look at the latest odds for the upcoming clash between Valencia and Sevilla:

Valencia vs Sevilla Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Valencia 2.33
Draw 3.03
Sevilla 3.35

Valencia entering this match as the favorites with odds of 2.33 reflects their recent five-game unbeaten run, which includes a notable win over Real Madrid.
In contrast, Sevilla’s odds of 3.35 indicate their current struggles, as they are suffering from three consecutive losses.
The draw is priced at 3.03, showcasing the balanced nature of their recent encounters. With Valencia having home advantage and improved squad depth, they are firmly backed to secure a win.

Valencia Team Analysis

Valencia Recent Performance

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Real Madrid Valencia 2025-04-05 LaLiga 1-2 (Win)
Valencia Mallorca 2025-03-30 LaLiga 1-0 (Win)
Girona Valencia 2025-03-15 LaLiga 1-1 (Draw)
Valencia Real Valladolid 2025-03-08 LaLiga 2-1 (Win)
Osasuna Valencia 2025-03-02 LaLiga 3-3 (Draw)

Valencia is on a solid run, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWD). Their recent 2-1 victory over Real Madrid is particularly impressive and highlights their improved form under Carlos Corberán. The team has scored an average of 1.80 goals in their last five games and has managed one clean sheet. Despite their 14th position with 34 points, Valencia is distancing themselves from relegation fears with consistent performances. The return of key players from suspension further bolsters their chances against Sevilla.

Valencia Key Players

Valencia’s recent uptick in form can be attributed to standout performances from their key players. Hugo Duro tops the scoring chart with 8 goals and will be essential in breaking down Sevilla’s defense. Another player to watch is André Almeida, whose presence in midfield has been instrumental.
Max Aarons and Mouctar Diakhaby form a sturdy defensive line crucial in maintaining their one clean sheet over the last five games.

Expected lineup for Valencia:

  • Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • Defenders: Max Aarons, Cristhian Mosquera, César Tárrega, Mouctar Diakhaby, Jesús Vázquez
  • Midfielders: Diego López, Javier Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea, André Almeida
  • Forward: Umar Sadiq

Key battles to look out for include Hugo Duro against Sevilla’s centre-backs, which could dictate the outcome of the match.

Valencia Suspensions & Injuries

Valencia is dealing with a couple of significant injuries that could impact their performance against Sevilla. Both Thierry Correia and Ivan Jaime are set to miss this crucial fixture, with Correia out for the season due to a cruciate ligament injury and Jaime sidelined with a hamstring injury until late April.

Injuries:

Player Injury Expected return
Thierry Correia Cruciate ligament injury Out for season
Ivan Jaime Hamstring injury Late April 2025

These absences mean that coach Carlos Corberán will need to rely heavily on his existing squad depth. Despite these setbacks, the return of key players like Foulquier, José Gayà, and Luis Rioja from suspension should bolster their ranks for this important clash.

Valencia Tactics and Formation

Valencia Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Hugo Duro, who has netted 8 goals this season
  • Midfield Trio: André Almeida, Enzo Barrenechea, Javi Guerra
  • Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in their last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Emphasis on quick transitional play and exploiting counter-attacks

Carlos Corberán opts for a dynamic 4-3-3 formation, spearheaded by Hugo Duro. The midfield trio of Almeida, Barrenechea, and Guerra plays a crucial role in both defensive duties and initiating attacks. Valencia’s defense, anchored by Mamardashvili in goal, has shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game but is buoyed by recent solid performances.

Expect Valencia to focus on exploiting wide areas and counter-attacking opportunities, particularly capitalizing on Sevilla’s tendency to concede late goals in the 76-90 minute interval. The return of important players like José Gayà from suspension will add depth and solidity to both their defensive and attacking structures.

Sevilla Team Analysis

Sevilla Recent Performance LLLWD

Sevilla’s recent form has been less than stellar, with a sequence of three consecutive losses marking a troubling period for the team. Here’s a look at their last five results:

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Sevilla Atletico Madrid 2025-04-06 LaLiga 1-2 (Loss)
Real Betis Sevilla 2025-03-30 LaLiga 2-1 (Loss)
Sevilla Athletic Club 2025-03-16 LaLiga 0-1 (Loss)
Real Sociedad Sevilla 2025-03-09 LaLiga 0-1 (Win)
Rayo Vallecano Sevilla 2025-03-01 LaLiga 1-1 (Draw)

Despite the recent slump, Sevilla secured a noteworthy away win against Real Sociedad. However, their attacking prowess has been lacking, with an average of just 0.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they’ve managed only one clean sheet in this period, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back.

Sevilla needs to find a way to regain their form if they are to climb the standings and finish the season strongly.

Sevilla Key Players

Expected lineup for Sevilla:

  • Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
  • Defenders: José Ángel Carmona, Loïc Badé, Kike Salas, Marcos Teixeira Marcão
  • Midfielders: Saúl Ñíguez, Lucien Agoumé, Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • Attackers: Dodi Lukebakio, Chidera Ejuke, Isaac Romero

Sevilla’s main threat comes from Dodi Lukebakio, their top scorer with 11 goals this season. He will likely be a key figure in trying to penetrate Valencia’s defence. Sevilla’s midfield engine, Lucien Agoumé, will also play a crucial role, tasked with both disrupting Valencia’s play and setting up opportunities for the forwards.

A potential key individual battle will be Lukebakio versus Valencia’s central defenders, Mouctar Diakhaby and César Tárrega, an encounter likely to be pivotal in determining the match’s outcome.

Sevilla Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi Thigh injury Unknown
Ruben Vargas Thigh injury Early May 2025
Akor Adams Thigh injury Late April 2025

Sevilla faces notable challenges with several key players sidelined due to injuries. The absence of centre-back Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi is particularly concerning, as he plays a pivotal role in solidifying their defensive line. Winger Ruben Vargas and forward Akor Adams are also out, which severely impacts Sevilla’s attacking options and creative play.

These injuries could force coach García Pimienta to rethink his tactical approach and rely on depth players to step up and fill the void, potentially affecting team cohesion and performance.

Sevilla Tactics and Formation

Sevilla’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Dodi Lukebakio
  • Midfield Trio: Saúl Ñíguez, Lucien Agoumé, Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: Sevilla has conceded the most goals in the 76-90 minute interval, indicating late-game vulnerabilities.

Sevilla, under coach García Pimienta, often deploys a 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing ball control in the midfield. Dodi Lukebakio, their top scorer with 11 goals, spearheads the attack and will be crucial in breaking down Valencia’s defense. The midfield trio of Saúl Ñíguez, Lucien Agoumé, and Albert Sambi Lokonga provides both defensive cover and creative outlets.

Sevilla’s defense, despite its struggles, aims to remain compact, though late-game lapses have been a recurring issue. This tactical approach will have to overcome the absence of key players due to injuries, testing the squad’s depth and preparedness.

Valencia vs Sevilla Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Sevilla Valencia 2025-01-11 LaLiga 1-1 (Draw)
Valencia Sevilla 2024-02-17 LaLiga 0-0 (Draw)
Sevilla Valencia 2023-08-11 LaLiga 1-2 (Loss)
Valencia Sevilla 2023-04-16 LaLiga 0-2 (Loss)
Sevilla Valencia 2022-10-18 LaLiga 1-1 (Draw)

These five meetings between Valencia and Sevilla show a fairly balanced record, with two draws in the most recent encounters. Their last face-off at Mestalla ended in a goalless draw, but Valencia did manage a win at Sevilla back in August 2023. In these matches, both teams have showcased their ability to both concede and secure points, making this upcoming clash an intriguing prospect. Expect a tightly contested match given their historical performances.

Odds accurate as of 04.09.2025 8:02 PM, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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