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Werder Bremen vs. Mainz 05 Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 31 January 2025 - bettingexpert

Werder Bremen-Mainz 05
Bundesliga
Fulltime
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1 - 0
Mainz 05Mainz 05
(HT 1-0)

We’ve got an intriguing clash in the Bundesliga as Werder Bremen hosts Mainz 05 at the Wohninvest WESERSTADION on 31 January 2025, kicking off at 19:30. With both teams eyeing continental competition spots, this match has huge implications for the second half of the season.

Werder Bremen sits 9th with 27 points, aiming to bounce back from a four-game winless run. Despite recent troubles, there’s a strong belief they can leverage their home advantage. Ole Werner will need to deploy a strategic approach, missing key players like Jens Stage due to suspension and Keke Topp and Felix Agu owing to injuries.

Mainz, currently 6th with 31 points, have been impressive lately, winning two out of their last five matches. Bo Henriksen’s side will miss their top scorer Jonathan Burkardt, out with a hamstring injury. Recent additions like Arnaud Nordin could be crucial in their attacking setup.

Bookmaker odds favour Werder at 2.42 to win, suggesting a tight yet potentially winnable match for the home side. Expect a competitive game, but we’re tipping Werder Bremen to edge out a win and bolster their points tally.

The clash promises to be an exciting spectacle, with coverage available on Onefootball.

Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting tip

Recommending a tip for this match is straightforward based on the provided match details and facts. Werder Bremen, despite their recent form, are favoured to win at home against Mainz 05. They have scored in 74% of their matches this season, indicating they are likely to find the back of the net again.

Also, with the absence of both teams’ key players like Jens Stage and Jonathan Burkardt, it could be a lower-scoring affair.

Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Werder Bremen to win 2.51
  • Werder Bremen have the home advantage. Despite not winning in their last four games, they have a good chance to leverage their home ground to secure a victory.
  • Mainz 05 have top scorer Jonathan Burkardt missing. His absence could reduce their attacking threat.
  • Competitive but tight match favours the home side. Expect a tough game, but one that Bremen can edge out, boosting their confidence and points tally.

Given these factors, Bremen’s likelihood of securing a win makes this bet a solid choice.

Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 Odds

The odds for this matchup present an interesting scenario. With Werder Bremen as the bookmaker’s favourite, yet not strongly, there’s a bet to be had here. The narrow margin in odds suggests a competitive match where home advantage could play a key role.

Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Werder Bremen 2.42
Draw 3.40
Mainz 05 2.83

Werder Bremen is slightly favoured due to their home advantage, despite recent struggles. Mainz’s odds are close, reflecting their higher position in the standings. This balancing act points to a closely contested game, with Werder Bremen expected to potentially edge out a win.

Werder Bremen Team Analysis

Werder Bremen Recent Performance

Werder Bremen’s recent form has been rough, with no wins in their last five matches. They drew with Borussia Dortmund but have since suffered three losses and another draw.

Home team Away team Result
Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen 2-2 (Draw)
Werder Bremen Augsburg 0-2 (Loss)
Werder Bremen FC Heidenheim 3-3 (Draw)
RB Leipzig Werder Bremen 4-2 (Loss)
Werder Bremen Twente 2-3 (Loss)

Recent Performance: DLDLL

With an average of 1.80 goals scored per game over the last five matches but zero clean sheets, Werder’s attacking flair is evident, even if their defensive frailties are holding them back.
Key absences like Jens Stage due to suspension and multiple injuries further challenge their squad depth. Whether they can break their winless streak and leverage their notable scoring ability during crucial intervals of the game remains to be seen.

Werder Bremen Key Players

Werder Bremen will heavily rely on their top scorer, Jens Stage, who has netted 7 goals this season. Unfortunately, he will miss the match due to suspension, leaving a significant gap in their midfield.
The responsibility falls on forwards Marco Grüll and Justin Njinmah, with the latter stepping in for the injured Marvin Ducksch. Key midfield battles will involve Leonardo Bittencourt and Senne Lynen. Defensively, Milos Veljkovic and Marco Friedl need to tighten up to prevent leaks.

Expected lineup for Werder Bremen:

  • Goalkeeper: Michael Zetterer
  • Defenders: Milos Veljkovic, Marco Friedl, Anthony Jung
  • Midfielders: Mitchell Weiser, Leonardo Bittencourt, Senne Lynen, Romano Schmid, Derrick Köhn
  • Attackers: Marco Grüll, Justin Njinmah

Their collective efforts will be crucial against Mainz’s solid defence.

Werder Bremen Suspensions & Injuries

Werder Bremen will be missing several key players due to suspensions and injuries, which could significantly impact their performance.

Player Suspension Expected return
Jens Stage Yellow cards Next match
Player Injury Expected return
Felix Agu Knee injury Mid February 2025
Keke Topp Ankle injury Late February 2025
Julian Malatini Calf injury A few days
Niklas Stark Illness Day to day
Marvin Ducksch Back injury Late February 2025

The suspension of Jens Stage, the team’s top scorer, will be a major blow to Werder Bremen. His absence leaves a gap in the midfield that will need to be filled by other players, potentially disrupting team dynamics. Injuries to key players such as Felix Agu, Keke Topp, and Marvin Ducksch add to the challenges. Ducksch’s back injury, in particular, weakens the attacking options available to coach Ole Werner. These absences compel the team to rely on other squad members to step up and fill the void, testing their depth and resilience in this crucial match.

Werder Bremen Tactics and Formation

Werder Bremen Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-5-2
  • Key Forward: Marco Grüll
  • Midfield Engine: Leonardo Bittencourt, Senne Lynen, Romano Schmid
  • Defensive Configuration: Milos Veljkovic, Marco Friedl, Anthony Jung

Werder Bremen employs a 3-5-2 formation that aims to balance attack and defense. The team’s midfield is packed, providing both defensive stability and pushing forward during offensive plays. The wingbacks, Mitchell Weiser and Derrick Köhn, play crucial roles by supporting both the defense and attack.

With Jens Stage suspended, there will be a slight reshuffle, likely bringing in Leonardo Bittencourt to fill the midfield void. The formation also emphasizes a strong late-game push, evident in their scoring bursts between the 46-90 minute intervals.

Despite recent struggles, coach Ole Werner’s tactical acumen means the team will look to exploit Mainz’s defensive lapses while shoring up their leaky defense.

Mainz 05 Team Analysis

Mainz 05 Recent Performance

Mainz 05’s recent form has been somewhat mixed, with their last five matches producing two wins and three losses:

Home team Away team Result
Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart 2-0 (Win)
Union Berlin Mainz 05 2-1 (Loss)
Bayer Leverkusen Mainz 05 1-0 (Loss)
Mainz 05 Bochum 2-0 (Win)
Mainz 05 Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 (Win)

Even with a few setbacks, Mainz boasts a respectable two clean sheets and averages 1.60 goals per game in their last five outings. Their defense has shown resilience, keeping opponents at bay in multiple fixtures. Bo Henriksen will hope his team can continue their strong performances away from home, where they have scored in 78% of their matches this season.

Mainz 05 Key Players

Expected lineup for Mainz 05:

  • Goalkeeper: Robin Zentner
  • Defenders: Maxim Leitsch, Stefan Bell, Moritz Jenz
  • Midfielders: Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee
  • Forward: Nelson Weiper

Despite facing a setback with Jonathan Burkardt’s injury, which is a significant blow given his 12 goals this season, Mainz 05 still have some promising key players to watch. Jae-Sung Lee will be crucial in linking the midfield to the attack and creating opportunities for Weiper up front.

Nadiem Amiri’s playmaking and passing range also add significant value to the team, making the midfield battle against Werder Bremen a key area to watch. Mainz’s backline, led by Stefan Bell, will look to maintain their recent solid defensive form.

Mainz 05 Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Jonathan Burkardt Hamstring Injury Mid February 2025

Mainz 05 faces a notable challenge with the absence of their top scorer, Jonathan Burkardt. His hamstring injury keeps him sidelined until mid-February, stripping the club of its leading goal threat.

Bo Henriksen will need to adapt his strategy to compensate for Burkardt’s absence. This could lead to more reliance on players like Jae-Sung Lee and Nelson Weiper to step up and find the back of the net.

The team must also remain cautious in maintaining their solid defensive form without overcommitting in attack, ensuring a balanced approach against Werder Bremen.

Mainz 05 Tactics and Formation

Mainz 05’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Nelson Weiper
  • Midfield Dynamic: Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Balanced defence and attack approach with tactical flexibility

Under Bo Henriksen, Mainz 05 rely on a structured formation that emphasises both defensive solidity and attacking versatility. The 3-4-2-1 setup ensures that the team remains compact at the back while allowing players like Jae-Sung Lee and Paul Nebel to provide creativity in the final third.

With Jonathan Burkardt out due to injury, there will be increased responsibility on Nelson Weiper to spearhead the attack, supported by a strong midfield capable of both defending and initiating forward plays. Henriksen’s tactics will aim to exploit any space left by Werder Bremen’s defensive lapses, particularly between the 16-30 minute intervals where Bremen is most vulnerable.

Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head Statistics

It appears there is no recent head-to-head information available for Werder Bremen and Mainz 05.
Without specific past encounters, it’s more challenging to predict trends based on previous matches. Therefore, this upcoming clash will be a fresh chapter and an opportunity for both sides to establish dominance.
Their current season performances and individual player stats will play a significant role in determining the outcome of this encounter.
Keep an eye on Werder Bremen’s top scorer Jens Stage and Mainz 05’s Nelson Weiper, who will likely be pivotal figures in this match.

Odds accurate as of 29/01/2025 19:32, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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