Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 5 April 2025 - bettingexpert
On 5 April 2025, Freiburg will host Borussia Dortmund at the Europa-Park Stadion in an intriguing Bundesliga encounter. Freiburg currently sit 7th in the league table with 42 points, while Dortmund, on a mission to revive their season, are 10th with 38 points. The stakes are high as both teams aim to secure European qualification.
Freiburg come into this match off the back of some solid, if not spectacular, form (LLDDD) and will be looking to bounce back from a narrow defeat against Union Berlin. Dortmund, on the other hand, secured a morale-boosting 3-1 win over Mainz 05, with Maximilian Beier playing a pivotal role.
Given the closely matched positions and similar aspirations for European spots, it’s expected to be a tight contest. Our recommended bet leans towards a draw, especially since Freiburg have drawn three out of their last five matches and Dortmund may be fatigued from their demanding schedule.
Key absences for both teams could significantly impact the game. Freiburg will miss Noah Atubolu due to a shoulder injury, while Dortmund will be without pivotal players like Nico Schlotterbeck and Yan Couto through suspension.
Moreover, historical encounters between these sides suggest a goal fest, with more than 2.5 goals scored in their past nine meetings. However, AI predictions for this match forecast fewer than three goals, adding another layer of complexity to the outcome.
Expect an engaging clash at the Europa-Park Stadion as both teams battle it out with much at stake in the final stretch of the Bundesliga season.
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tip
We recommend betting on a draw for the upcoming match between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund. This prediction is based on several key factors, including both teams’ recent performances and the provided match facts.
| Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.50 |
- Freiburg has drawn three out of their last five matches, indicating a pattern of tightly contested games.
- Borussia Dortmund may rotate their squad due to their Champions League commitments, which could lead to a balanced performance.
- Historical encounters show a high probability of goals, but AI forecasts predict fewer than three goals this time, making a draw likely.
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
Saturday’s clash at Europa-Park Stadion pits Freiburg against Borussia Dortmund, with odds favoring the away team.
| Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Freiburg | 3.05 |
| Draw | 3.50 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.24 |
Despite being the bookmakers’ favourite, Dortmund’s recent mixed form and injuries could level the playing field. Freiburg has been solid defensively, drawing three of their last five matches and demonstrating their resilience.
With Dortmund potentially rotating players due to European commitments, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair, making a draw an intriguing betting option.
Freiburg Team Analysis
Freiburg Recent Performance
Freiburg’s recent form indicates their struggle to turn draws into wins, having secured three consecutive draws in their last five Bundesliga outings, coupled with two losses in friendly matches. Here’s a look at their recent results:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | Union Berlin | 2025-03-30 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Freiburg | Karlsruher SC | 2025-03-20 | Club Friendlies | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | Freiburg | 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Freiburg | RB Leipzig | 2025-03-08 | Bundesliga | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Augsburg | Freiburg | 2025-03-02 | Bundesliga | 0-0 (Draw) |
Despite averaging 0.80 goals per game and having 2 clean sheets in their last five matches, Freiburg’s attack has lacked firepower. Defensively, they’ve held firm, particularly in outings against RB Leipzig and Augsburg. The team’s focus on maintaining a solid defense while aiming for crucial points highlights their cautious approach under the guidance of Julian Schuster.
Given these performances, Freiburg needs to find more attacking synergy to secure positive results in their remaining fixtures.
Freiburg Key Players
Freiburg’s squad, coached by Julian Schuster, features several pivotal players who will be instrumental in their performance against Borussia Dortmund. Vincenzo Grifo, their top scorer with 8 goals, will be the main attacking threat. Grifo’s vision and set-piece prowess are vital, especially considering Borussia Dortmund’s habit of conceding 1.6 goals on average this season. Ritsu Doan, with a knack for scoring and assisting, adds creativity from the midfield. His playmaking ability will be crucial in breaking through Dortmund’s defense. Michael Gregoritsch, deployed at the top, can create chances and hold up play effectively.
Expected lineup for Freiburg:
- Goalkeeper: Florian Müller
- Defenders: Kilian Sildillia, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter
- Midfielders: Ritsu Doan, Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Vincenzo Grifo, Lucas Höler
- Attacker: Junior Adamu
Individual battles to watch include Grifo against Dortmund’s solid defense led by Emre Can, and the midfield contest between Eggestein and Pascal Groß.
Freiburg Suspensions & Injuries
Freiburg is dealing with several injuries that could impact their performance against Borussia Dortmund. Notably, key players are missing, which might force Julian Schuster to reconsider his options.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel-Kofi Kyereh | Knee surgery | Late April 2025 |
| Bruno Ogbus | Achilles tendon injury | Out for the season |
| Merlin Röhl | Heel injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Noah Atubolu | Shoulder injury | Early May 2025 |
These absences, particularly in the midfield and goalkeeping positions, will test Freiburg’s depth. The absence of Atubolu might see Florian Müller starting in goal, adding pressure to the backline. Junior Adamu and the others will need to step up to compensate for the missing players and continue their quest for European qualification.
Freiburg Tactics and Formation
Freiburg Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-1-1
- Key Forward: Junior Adamu
- Midfield Creators: Ritsu Doan, Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Vincenzo Grifo
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
With Julian Schuster at the helm, Freiburg tends to set up with a solid 4-4-1-1 formation that emphasizes defensive solidity paired with quick transitions. The midfield quartet will be crucial in both defensive duties and initiating counter-attacks, with Ritsu Doan and Vincenzo Grifo providing creativity and width. Junior Adamu is expected to lead the line, utilizing his pace to stretch Borussia Dortmund’s defense and create scoring opportunities, especially considering Dortmund’s tendency to concede goals at an average of 1.6 per match.
Borussia Dortmund Team Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | Mainz 05 | 2025-03-30 | Bundesliga | 3-1 (Win) |
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Dortmund | 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Lille | Borussia Dortmund | 2025-03-12 | Champions League | 1-2 (Win) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Augsburg | 2025-03-08 | Bundesliga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Lille | 2025-03-04 | Champions League | 1-1 (Draw) |
Borussia Dortmund’s recent form has been a mixed bag, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five encounters. Their recent victory against Mainz 05 (3-1) was a much-needed boost, yet their form remains inconsistent.
In these matches, Dortmund has averaged 1.20 goals while not securing any clean sheets, which highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Niko Kovač will be keen to address these issues, especially given the upcoming fixture congestion with their Champions League commitments.
Borussia Dortmund Key Players
Key players for Borussia Dortmund in this match include their top scorer Serhou Guirassy, despite his groin injury, and Julian Brandt, who is crucial to their attacking prowess. With 14 goals to his name this season, Guirassy is a significant loss due to injury, placing more pressure on Karim Adeyemi and Maximilian Beier to fill the scoring void.
Expected lineup for Borussia Dortmund:
- Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
- Defenders: Julian Ryerson, Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini
- Midfielders: Salih Özcan, Pascal Groß, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Julian Brandt
- Attackers: Karim Adeyemi, Maximilian Beier
Potential key individual battles on the pitch will include Maximilian Beier against Matthias Ginter, and Julian Brandt trying to outmaneuver Freiburg’s midfield led by Maximilian Eggestein. The performance of Dortmund’s backline, particularly Emre Can, will be under scrutiny as they aim for their first clean sheet in recent matches.
Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Yan Couto | Yellow cards | One match |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | Yellow cards | One match |
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Nmecha | Knee injury | About a week |
| Marcel Sabitzer | Medial Collateral Ligament injury | Mid-May 2025 |
| Cole Campbell | Knock injury | A few days |
| Serhou Guirassy | Groin injury | Late April 2025 |
Suspensions and injuries could significantly impact Borussia Dortmund’s performance. With key defensive players like Yan Couto and Nico Schlotterbeck missing due to suspension, and their top scorer Serhou Guirassy sidelined with a groin injury, Dortmund might struggle to maintain their usual defensive solidity and attacking prowess.
The absences place additional pressure on other squad members to step up, particularly in both the defensive and offensive phases of the game.
Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Maximilian Beier
- Midfield Trio: Salih Özcan, Pascal Groß, Julian Brandt
- Defensive Strength: Emre Can and Waldemar Anton
- Notable Strategy: High attacking intensity during the 61-75-minute interval
Borussia Dortmund will likely utilize their favored 4-2-3-1 formation for this match. Maximilian Beier will lead the attack in the absence of Serhou Guirassy, with creative support from Julian Brandt, Karim Adeyemi, and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on the wings.
Salih Özcan and Pascal Groß will anchor the midfield, ensuring stability and fluid ball distribution to transition quickly from defense to attack. Defensively, Emre Can and Waldemar Anton form the core, but the suspensions of Yan Couto and Nico Schlotterbeck could test their depth.
Expect Dortmund to press high and exploit the 61-75-minute interval, where they’ve historically scored most of their goals.
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | Freiburg | 2024-11-23 | Bundesliga | 4-0 (Loss) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Freiburg | 2024-02-09 | Bundesliga | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Freiburg | Borussia Dortmund | 2023-09-16 | Bundesliga | 2-4 (Loss) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Freiburg | 2023-02-04 | Bundesliga | 5-1 (Loss) |
| Freiburg | Borussia Dortmund | 2022-08-12 | Bundesliga | 1-3 (Loss) |
The last five meetings between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund reveal a clear trend: Dortmund has dominated, securing victories in all five encounters. More than 2.5 goals have been scored in 100% of their last nine meetings, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the cards. The most recent match saw Freiburg suffer a heavy 4-0 defeat away from home. Combine these stats with both teams’ current form, and it could make for an intriguing clash at the Europa-Park Stadion.
Odds accurate as of 04.03.2025 14:32, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
