Mainz 05 to win
In the Holstein Kiel vs. Mainz 05 matchup, Mainz is well-positioned to secure a win, even in an away setting. Although Mainz has had a challenging season in the Bundesliga, this fixture provides them a favorable opportunity to turn things around, especially given the quality difference between Bundesliga and 2. Bundesliga teams. Mainz has the upper hand with experienced players like Ludovic Ajorque and Anthony Caci, who can capitalize on scoring chances and control the game.
Holstein Kiel, while performing well in the 2. Bundesliga, may struggle against Mainz's higher-level competition and physicality. Kiel’s defensive line has been vulnerable when facing top-tier opponents in cup settings, and Mainz’s ability to press and dictate play could give them the advantage they need.