Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 April 2025 - bettingexpert
One of the most eagerly awaited fixtures in the Bundesliga calendar, Der Klassiker, is set for Saturday, 12 April 2025, at the Allianz Arena with Bayern Munich hosting Borussia Dortmund. Kick-off is at 18:30, live on Sky.
Bayern Munich, leading the Bundesliga table with 68 points, will look to maintain their six-point lead over Bayer Leverkusen. Vinny Kompany’s men have been in formidable form, winning their last two Bundesliga matches and scoring in every home game this season.
Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, find themselves in eighth place with 41 points. Despite a heavy 0-4 loss to Barcelona in the Champions League, they aim to secure their third consecutive league victory to stay in the hunt for international competition spots.
Expect plenty of goals, as both teams have strong attacking records, and historical clashes often see high goal counts. A recommended bet would be over 1.5 goals in the first half.
Form, stakes, and history make this clash unmissable. Tune in at 17:30 for the pre-match show hosted by Sebastian Hellmann with expert insights from Lothar Matthäus and Julia Simic.
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tip
A high-scoring affair is on the cards as history suggests, with both teams consistently finding the net. Our recommended tip? Over 1.5 goals in the first half.
| Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Over 1.5 goals in the 1st half | 1.80 |
Why this prediction is strong:
- Goals Galore: Recent encounters have often seen over 2.5 goals, and both teams boast strong attacking records.
- Early Scoring Pattern: Bayern Munich has scored first in 71% of their matches this season.
- Offensive Firepower: With Harry Kane and Serhou Guirassy leading the charge, expect plenty of early action.
This tip benefits from systematic goal-scoring trends and the explosive potential of the players involved.
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
Ready to place your bets on Der Klassiker? The odds are quite revealing for this high-stakes encounter. Bayern Munich, the bookmakers’ favorite, is expected to secure a home victory, but never count Dortmund out.
| Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Bayern Munich | 1.41 |
| Draw | 5.15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 6.38 |
Bayern’s superior form and position at the top of the table are reflected in their shorter odds. However, remember Dortmund’s knack for surprise results, especially in such significant fixtures.
Bayern Munich Team Analysis
Bayern Munich Recent Performance ()
Bayern Munich has showcased impressive form over their last five matches. Here’s a closer look at their results:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | Inter | 2025-04-08 | Champions League Final | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Augsburg | Bayern Munich | 2025-04-04 | Bundesliga | 1-3 (Win) |
| Bayern Munich | St. Pauli | 2025-03-29 | Bundesliga | 3-2 (Win) |
| Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Bayern Munich | 2025-03-11 | Champions League Final | 0-2 (Win) |
Recent Form: LWWWD
Bayern Munich has been a strong team across competitions lately, scoring an average of 2 goals per game in their last five matches. They have managed one clean sheet. Despite a recent setback against Inter in the Champions League, they remain formidable, particularly at home. This season, they have scored in 96% of their matches, underlining their consistent attacking prowess.
Bayern Munich Key Players
For Bayern Munich, the spotlight will undoubtedly be on their top scorer, Harry Kane, who has netted 23 goals this season. He will be the primary threat Dortmund’s defense must contain. Alongside him, Michael Olise has been a revelation since joining from Crystal Palace, contributing 13 goals and 13 assists.
In the midfield, Joshua Kimmich and João Palhinha are pivotal for controlling play and breaking down Dortmund’s attacks.
The defensive lineup, including Min-Jae Kim and Eric Dier, will look to keep Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy in check.
Expected lineup for Bayern Munich:
- Goalkeeper: Jonas Urbig
- Defenders: Konrad Laimer, Eric Dier, Min-Jae Kim, Josip Stanisic
- Midfielders: Joshua Kimmich, João Palhinha, Michael Olise, Raphael Guerreiro, Serge Gnabry
- Attackers: Harry Kane
Bayern Munich Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | Mononucleosis | A few days |
| Tarek Buchmann | Shoulder injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Manuel Neuer | Calf injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Kingsley Coman | Ankle injury | About a week |
| Alphonso Davies | Cruciate ligament injury | Early December 2025 |
| Dayot Upamecano | Knee surgery | Early June 2025 |
| Hiroki Ito | Metatarsal fracture | Late June 2025 |
| Jamal Musiala | Hamstring injury | Early May 2025 |
Bayern Munich is contending with a significant number of injuries, impacting their defensive and attacking options. Aleksandar Pavlovic and Tarek Buchmann are expected back shortly, which will bolster their squad depth. Manuel Neuer’s and Kingsley Coman’s anticipated returns in mid-April and within a week, respectively, will be crucial, especially given their experience and skills.
However, the long-term absences of key players like Alphonso Davies and Dayot Upamecano might weaken their defensive solidity. Jamal Musiala’s creativity will be missed in the midfield until his return in early May.
These injuries might force Vincent Kompany to rely heavily on squad depth against a strong Dortmund side.
Bayern Munich Tactics and Formation
Bayern Munich Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Harry Kane
- Attacking Midfield Trio: Michael Olise, Raphael Guerreiro, Serge Gnabry
- Defensive Strength: Managed one clean sheet in the last five games
With Vincent Kompany at the helm, Bayern Munich is set to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation against Borussia Dortmund. Expect Jonas Urbig to start between the posts, with a defensive line comprising Konrad Laimer, Eric Dier, Min-Jae Kim, and Josip Stanisic.
In the dual defensive midfield positions, Joshua Kimmich and João Palhinha are slated to form a protective barrier ahead of the back four. The attacking force will be spearheaded by Harry Kane, supported by the creative trio of Michael Olise, Raphael Guerreiro, and Serge Gnabry on the wings.
Bayern’s strategy will likely focus on maintaining high possession and pressing Dortmund aggressively when not in possession, given their impressive home scoring record this season.
Borussia Dortmund Team Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Recent Performance
Borussia Dortmund’s recent performance has been a mixed bag, reflected in their LWWWL form.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Borussia Dortmund | 2025-04-09 | Champions League | 4-0 (Loss) |
| Freiburg | Borussia Dortmund | 2025-04-05 | Bundesliga | 1-4 (Win) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Mainz 05 | 2025-03-30 | Bundesliga | 3-1 (Win) |
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Dortmund | 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Lille | Borussia Dortmund | 2025-03-12 | Champions League | 1-2 (Win) |
Their attacking prowess is evident as they have scored an average of 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches.
Despite this, defensive weaknesses are apparent, with no clean sheets in the same period. Borussia Dortmund will need to tighten their defense ahead of this crucial clash.
Borussia Dortmund Key Players
Borussia Dortmund’s key players play a pivotal role in shaping their success this season. Leading the attack, Serhou Guirassy has been prolific with 15 goals, making him the team’s top scorer. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against Bayern Munich’s formidable defense.
Expected lineup for Borussia Dortmund:
- Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
- Defenders: Julian Ryerson, Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini
- Midfielders: Pascal Groß, Carney Chukwuemeka, Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Maximilian Beier
- Forward: Serhou Guirassy
Individual battles to watch include Guirassy against Bayern’s center-backs Min-Jae Kim and Eric Dier, as well as Julian Brandt’s playmaking skills pitted against Joshua Kimmich and João Palhinha. These duels will be instrumental in determining the outcome of this high-stakes clash.
Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries
Borussia Dortmund are facing a few significant absences due to injuries ahead of their clash with Bayern Munich. Here’s a look at their current injury list:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Marcel Sabitzer | Medial collateral ligament | Mid-May 2025 |
| Cole Campbell | Knock injury | A few days |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | Meniscus injury | Early October 2025 |
The absence of Marcel Sabitzer and Nico Schlotterbeck could critically impact Dortmund’s midfield and defensive stability. Sabitzer has been a key presence in the midfield, and Schlotterbeck’s defensive skills will be missed against Bayern’s potent attack.
Cole Campbell might return soon, but his current situation adds to the uncertainty. These injuries could force Niko Kovač to shuffle his lineup and strategy, potentially weakening their overall game plan against Bayern’s strong side.
Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Serhou Guirassy
- Midfield Trio: Pascal Groß, Carney Chukwuemeka, Julian Brandt
- Defensive Setup: Julian Ryerson, Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini; Gregor Kobel in goal
Borussia Dortmund’s approach under Niko Kovač in this match is expected to be dynamic and flexible. They line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Serhou Guirassy leading the attack. The midfield will be anchored by Pascal Groß and Carney Chukwuemeka, providing both defensive coverage and transition support. Julian Brandt will play the crucial role of attacking midfielder, seeking to unlock Bayern’s defence.
Defensively, Dortmund will rely heavily on Emre Can’s experience and Waldemar Anton’s solidity. Julian Ryerson and Ramy Bensebaini will be pivotal in protecting the flanks.
Expect Dortmund to press high and look to exploit any defensive lapses from Bayern, utilizing the speed and creativity of Karim Adeyemi and Maximilian Beier on the wings.
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | Bayern Munich | 2024-11-30 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Bayern Munich | Borussia Dortmund | 2024-03-30 | Bundesliga | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Bayern Munich | 2023-11-04 | Bundesliga | 0-4 (Win) |
| Bayern Munich | Borussia Dortmund | 2023-04-01 | Bundesliga | 4-2 (Win) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Bayern Munich | 2022-10-08 | Bundesliga | 2-2 (Draw) |
In the last five meetings, Bayern Munich have managed to edge out Borussia Dortmund with two wins, contrasting with Dortmund’s sole victory. The other two encounters ended in draws. This recent history suggests we could be in for another closely contested match, especially with both teams’ current form and high goal-scoring records.
Odds accurate as of 10.04.2025 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any {bookmaker}.
