Inter -1.50 (AH)
Inter are 1st with 68 points from 31 rounds. They won 20, drew eight, and lost three with a +39 goal difference. Cagliari are 15th with 30 points from 31 matches. They won seven, drew nine, and lost 15 with a -13 goal difference. The difference in form and overall quality is massive, so I will gladly take this bet on the hosts.
Inter are doing great this season. For me, they are one of the main candidates for the CL title and, of course, are the title favorites for both the domestic cup and the league. However, they are only three points away from the second-placed Napoli and will have to keep winning these "easy" games. Also, at home, Inter have been incredible and are currently on an eight-game winning streak. Four of those wins were by two or more goals difference.
Meanwhile, Cagliari had some ups and downs, but away from home, they really struggled. In the last 14 games, they won just once - a terrible 7% win rate. And as the season progresses, they are only looking worse and worse. In the last five road games they even failed to score, so I do not expect a goal from them vs Inter.
In the previous h2h game, Inter won 3:0.
Max stake 10 on the visitors to win and cover the -1.5 AH spread at 2.01 odds.