Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 13 April 2025 - bettingexpert
Fiorentina welcomes Parma Calcio 1913 to the Artemio Franchi in Firenze for a crucial Serie A clash on 13 April 2025, kicking off at 14:00. Fiorentina, currently 8th in the league with 52 points, is chasing a potential top-four finish to secure European football next season. Their form has been stellar, boasting a record of three wins and two draws in their last five matches. They are also highly productive in front of goal, averaging 2.20 goals per game in their recent contests.
Parma, on the other hand, sits precariously at 16th place with 27 points, just above the relegation zone. They have a struggle on their hands, managing only a single win in their last five outings and conceding more goals than they would like. The odds suggest a Fiorentina win at 1.70, and given their superior form and offensive capabilities, this seems a solid recommendation for betting.
Fiorentina’s Moise Kean, who is in the running for Serie A’s top scorer with 22 goals this season, will be a key player. Meanwhile, Parma will miss suspended player Pontus Almqvist and other injured squad members, which complicates their task. The match will be refereed by Gianluca Manganiello, who tends to keep a tight rein on proceedings, averaging just 0.3 red cards per game this season.
Expect Fiorentina to capitalize on Parma’s defensive woes and secure a vital victory to keep their European dreams alive.
Fiorentina vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction & Betting tip
Let’s take a closer look at this exciting Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Parma Calcio 1913. Given the form both teams are in, our recommended betting tip is for Fiorentina to win. Here’s why:
- Fiorentina has shown good form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches.
- Parma is struggling at the 16th position, and their recent performance has been far from convincing.
- Fiorentina’s compelling home advantage and offensive prowess should see them secure a victory.
Here’s your easy-to-read betting tip table:
| Fiorentina vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Fiorentina to win | 1.70 |
- Fiorentina’s Form: They’ve won 3 of their last 5 matches and are unbeaten during this period, showcasing a solid run of form.
- Parma’s Defensive Issues: Parma concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match, which Fiorentina can exploit.
- Home Advantage: Playing at Artemio Franchi gives Fiorentina a significant edge, coupled with their higher league position.
Expect Fiorentina to capitalize on Parma’s defensive struggles and push for a much-needed win to bolster their aspirations for European competition.
Fiorentina vs Parma Calcio 1913 Odds
For this Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Parma Calcio 1913, the odds suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory.
| Fiorentina vs Parma Calcio 1913 Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Fiorentina | 1.70 |
| Draw | 3.70 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 4.97 |
The bookmakers have set Fiorentina as clear favourites, given their recent form and higher league position.
A Fiorentina win is valued at 1.70, reflecting their advantage.
The odds for a draw stand at 3.70, while a Parma victory is at 4.97, underlining their challenging task at the Artemio Franchi.
Fiorentina Team Analysis
Fiorentina Recent Performance
Fiorentina have been in good form recently, securing victories in three out of their last five matches. Their strong performance is reflected in their recent results and their ability to score consistently.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Celje | Fiorentina | 2025-04-10 | Conference League Final Stage | 1-2 (Win) |
| AC Milan | Fiorentina | 2025-04-05 | Serie A | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | 2025-03-30 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Juventus | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 3-0 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Panathinaikos | 2025-03-13 | Conference League Final Stage | 3-1 (Win) |
Fiorentina have scored an average of 2.20 goals per game in their last five matches and have kept two clean sheets during this period. This impressive form includes notable wins against Atalanta and Juventus, showcasing their attacking prowess spearheaded by Moise Kean. With their eyes set on a top-four finish and another advance in the Conference League, Fiorentina are demonstrating both form and determination as they approach their final matches of the season.
Fiorentina Key Players
Fiorentina’s current success can be largely attributed to their key performers, especially Moise Kean. Kean has been sensational this season, netting an impressive 22 goals, and remains a front-runner for the Serie A top scorer title. Albert Gudmundsson is also expected to make a significant impact upfront alongside Kean. Gudmundsson’s creativity and ability to support the attack will be crucial against Parma. In the midfield, Danilo Cataldi and Rolando Mandragora will be pivotal in controlling the tempo and breaking down the opposition’s play. The defense, anchored by Luca Ranieri and Marin Pongračić, will aim to maintain their solid form.
Expected lineup for Fiorentina:
- Goalkeeper: David De Gea
- Defenders: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari Villar, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Fabiano Parisi
- Midfielders: Nicolò Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora
- Attackers: Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean
Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries
Fiorentina will have to navigate this match without the services of some key players due to injuries, though they face no suspensions for this fixture. Here’s a rundown of their injury list:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Bove | Heart problems | Unknown |
| Andrea Colpani | Foot injury | Doubtful |
| Robin Gosens | Knee injury | Late April 2025 |
These absences could significantly influence Fiorentina’s strategy, especially with Robin Gosens missing from the defensive line-up.
The team will need to rely on their depth and the impressive form of other players to ensure they remain competitive against Parma. Fortunately, Moise Kean and other key players are fit and ready to contribute.
Fiorentina Tactics and Formation
Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Goalkeeper: David De Gea
- Defensive Trio: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari Villar, Luca Ranieri
- Midfield Strength: Dodo, Nicolò Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Fabiano Parisi
- Key Forwards: Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean
Fiorentina have been deploying a 3-5-2 formation, which has brought them success recently. With David De Gea as the last line of defense, the defensive trio of Pongračić, Mari Villar, and Ranieri will look to keep it tight at the back, especially given their recent record of two clean sheets in the last five games. The midfield will be key, utilizing Dodo on the right and Parisi on the left to supply width, while Fagioli, Cataldi, and Mandragora control the center.
Up front, the partnership of Gudmundsson and the talismanic Moise Kean, who is chasing the Serie A top scorer title, will be crucial for breaking down Parma’s defense. Expect Fiorentina to play with high intensity, especially in the 31-45 minute interval where they have been most prolific.
Parma Calcio 1913 Team Analysis
Parma Calcio 1913 Recent Performance
Recent Form: DDDDL
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | 2025-04-05 | Serie A | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Verona | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2025-03-31 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Monza | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2025-03-15 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Torino | 2025-03-08 | Serie A | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Udinese | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2025-03-01 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
Parma’s recent form has been far from ideal, reflected in their string of draws and a loss. Over the last five matches, they have managed a total of four draws and a single defeat.
Scoring has been a challenge for Parma, averaging just 1.00 goal per game recently. They have also struggled defensively, managing only one clean sheet in their last five outings.
With an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game over the season, their defensive vulnerabilities could be a significant factor in their upcoming match against Fiorentina.
Parma Calcio 1913 Key Players
Parma Calcio 1913 will heavily depend on their top scorer, Ange-Yoan Bonny, who has netted 6 goals this season. His performance up front will be crucial, especially against Fiorentina’s sturdy defense.
Dennis Man and Hernani play vital roles in the attacking and midfield lines, respectively. Man’s ability to create chances and Hernani’s control in the midfield could make a significant difference.
Expected lineup for Parma Calcio 1913:
- Goalkeeper: Zion Suzuki
- Defenders: Enrico Del Prato, Lautaro Valenti, Alessandro Vogliacco, Emanuele Valeri
- Midfielders: Hernani, Adrián Bernabé, Simon Sohm
- Attackers: Dennis Man, Ange-Yoan Bonny, Jacob Ondrejka
Individual battles to watch include Bonny up against Fiorentina’s defenders Marin Pongračić and Luca Ranieri.
Parma Calcio 1913 Suspensions & Injuries
Parma Calcio 1913 are facing a tough time with a number of key players out due to injuries and suspensions, which could have a significant impact on their performance against Fiorentina.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Kowalski | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Alessandro Circati | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Yordan Osorio | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Gabriel Charpentier | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Valentin Mihaila | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Adrian Benedyczak | Ankle injury | Doubtful |
| Matteo Cancellieri | Muscle injury | Late April 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| ———————— | ————————————– | ———————— |
| Pontus Almqvist | Red card | 1 match left |
With key defenders like Pontus Almqvist suspended and Alessandro Circati, along with Mateusz Kowalski, out for the season, Parma’s defensive line looks vulnerable. The absence of attackers like Gabriel Charpentier and Valentin Mihaila further weakens their frontline, putting extra pressure on the remaining fit players to step up.
Parma Calcio 1913 Tactics and Formation
Parma Calcio 1913’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Ange-Yoan Bonny
- Midfield Trio: Hernani, Adrián Bernabé, Simon Sohm
- Defensive Setup: With one clean sheet in their last five games, the defense has shown some resilience despite numerous injuries.
- Notable Strategy: Parma tends to focus on a high press, especially during the middle 30 minutes of each half.
In Defence:
- With key absences and suspensions, including Pontus Almqvist and Mateusz Kowalski, the back line may see Lautaro Valenti and Alessandro Vogliacco as pivotal figures.
In Attack:
- Ange-Yoan Bonny, supported by Dennis Man and Jacob Ondrejka, will aim to break Fiorentina’s defense, relying heavily on counter-attacks and set-pieces.
Overall:
- Parma’s current formation and strategy indicate a balanced approach, blending cautious defense with swift counter-attacks.
Fiorentina vs Parma Calcio 1913 Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Fiorentina | 2024-08-17 | Serie A | 1-1 |
| Fiorentina | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2023-12-06 | Coppa Italia | 2-2 (4-1 PSO) |
| Fiorentina | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2023-07-20 | Club Friendlies | 1-1 |
| Fiorentina | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2021-03-07 | Serie A | 3-3 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Fiorentina | 2020-11-07 | Serie A | 0-0 |
These recent encounters show a history of closely contested matches between Fiorentina and Parma, with several draws in different competitions.
Despite Fiorentina being the bookmakers’ favourite and sitting higher in the league table, Parma has proven to be a tough opponent in their previous clashes. Expect a competitive game with potential surprises.
Odds accurate as of 11 April 2025 14:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
