Atalanta vs. Bologna Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 13 April 2025 - bettingexpert
On the 13th of April, we have a cracking Serie A matchup as third-place Atalanta hosts fourth-place Bologna at the Gewiss Stadium. With just one point separating the two sides (58 to 57 points), this match could play a pivotal role in the race for a Champions League spot.
Maurizio Mariani will be the referee for this high-stakes clash. Atalanta is favored by bookmakers, standing at 1.96 odds for a win. A key element to consider is the home advantage; Atalanta has won seven of their last ten matches at the Gewiss Stadium.
Both teams have displayed strong defensive performances, with each securing multiple clean sheets recently. However, Atalanta’s Mateo Retegui, who has netted 22 goals this season, is expected to be a game-changer. Bologna will be without their first-choice goalkeeper, Łukasz Skorupski, due to injury, adding pressure on Federico Ravaglia to maintain the backline.
Despite recent struggles, Atalanta’s home record and attacking prowess may prove decisive, making them the recommended bet for a win.
Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction & Betting tip
- Recommend our betting tip (recommended tip) in a NLP friendly way and explain why it has been chosen using {Match tips} and {Match facts} (Only use text for this part)
When it comes to making a smart bet on this matchup, our recommended betting tip is to back Atalanta to win.
Here’s why: - Atalanta has a strong home record with seven wins in their last ten matches at Gewiss Stadium.
- Despite recent struggles, Atalanta has key attacking players like Mateo Retegui, who has netted 22 goals this season.
- Bologna will miss their first-choice goalkeeper Łukasz Skorupski, which may weaken their defense.
| Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Atalanta to win | 1.96 |
- Atalanta’s impressive home winning streak gives them an edge.
- Mateo Retegui’s scoring prowess can be a game-changer.
- Bologna’s weakened defense due to goalkeeper injury adds to Atalanta’s advantage.
Atalanta vs Bologna Odds
The odds for the upcoming match clearly favor Atalanta, who have been strong at home, showing just how competitive this fixture can be.
| Atalanta vs Bologna Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Atalanta | 1.96 |
| Draw | 3.48 |
| Bologna | 3.82 |
Atalanta’s robust home record, with seven wins in their last ten matches at the Gewiss Stadium, gives them an edge.
Bologna, despite their solid performances, will be missing their key goalkeeper, which may tip the scales further in Atalanta’s favor.
Atalanta Team Analysis
Atalanta Recent Performance
Atalanta have had a mixed bag of results recently, managing only one win in their last five matches. This form sees them standing in 3rd place with 58 points. Here’s a quick look at their latest games:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | Lazio | 2025-04-06 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | 2025-03-30 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Atalanta | Inter | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Juventus | Atalanta | 2025-03-09 | Serie A | 4-0 (Win) |
| Atalanta | Venezia | 2025-03-01 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
Their recent form (LLLWD) indicates struggles in front of goal, with an average of 0.80 goals scored per game in the last five matches. However, they’ve managed to keep 2 clean sheets during this period. Gian Piero Gasperini’s men need to up their game, especially considering their impressive home record, to solidify their standing.
Atalanta Key Players
Atalanta’s lineup features several key players who can make a difference in this crucial match against Bologna. The standout player is Mateo Retegui, Atalanta’s top scorer with 22 goals this season. His performance up front will be vital for breaking Bologna’s solid defence.
Ademola Lookman, with his speed and creativity, adds an extra layer of threat on the wing. Mario Pasalic, expected to play as a right attacking midfielder, will be instrumental in linking the midfield with the attack.
The defensive trio of Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, and Sead Kolasinac will look to thwart Bologna’s high-scoring forwards, including Riccardo Orsolini.
Expected lineup for Atalanta:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
- Defenders: Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac
- Midfielders: Raoul Bellanova, Marten De Roon, Ederson José, Davide Zappacosta
- Attackers: Mario Pasalic, Ademola Lookman, Mateo Retegui
Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries
Atalanta is facing a significant injury list ahead of their clash with Bologna, which could impact their performance:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Erdis Kraja | Cruciate ligament injury | A few days |
| Odilon Kossounou | Hamstring injury | Unknown |
| Giorgio Scalvini | Shoulder injury | Late April 2025 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | Hamstring injury | Late April 2025 |
| Stefan Posch | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
| Marco Palestra | Thigh injury | Late April 2025 |
| Rafael Toloi | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Charles De Ketelaere | Thigh injury | Late April 2025 |
These injuries could force coach Gian Piero Gasperini to tweak his strategy and rely on his squad’s depth, as several key defensive and midfield players are sidelined. The upcoming match might test Atalanta’s resilience and highlight the importance of their top scorer Mateo Retegui and other fit players stepping up.
Atalanta Tactics and Formation
Atalanta Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
- Defensive Line: Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac
- Wing-backs: Raoul Bellanova, Davide Zappacosta
- Central Midfielders: Marten de Roon, Ederson José
- Attacking Midfielders: Mario Pasalic, Ademola Lookman
- Forward: Mateo Retegui
Atalanta’s approach under Gian Piero Gasperini heavily relies on a three-man defense, providing width with the wing-backs, Bellanova and Zappacosta. The midfield balance, led by de Roon and Ederson, aims to dominate the center, enabling quick transitions to their attacking duo, Retegui and Lookman. Given their ability to keep clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 games, defensive stability remains crucial. Look out for Retegui’s pivotal role as he capitalizes on scoring opportunities, having netted 22 goals this season.
Bologna Team Analysis
Bologna Recent Performance WDWWW
Bologna have showcased an impressive run of form in recent matches. They’ve managed to string together 4 wins and 1 draw, demonstrating resilience and consistent performance.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | SSC Napoli | 2025-04-07 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Empoli | Bologna | 2025-04-01 | Coppa Italia | 0-3 (Win) |
| Venezia | Bologna | 2025-03-29 | Serie A | 0-1 (Win) |
| Bologna | Lazio | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 5-0 (Win) |
| Verona | Bologna | 2025-03-09 | Serie A | 1-2 (Win) |
Recent Form: WDWWW
The team has scored an average of 2.40 goals in their last 5 matches, reflecting strong offensive capability. Additionally, with 3 clean sheets, their defense has been solid. This balanced performance hints at a robust and confident squad heading into their next match.
Bologna Key Players
Expected lineup for Bologna:
- Goalkeeper: Federico Ravaglia
- Defenders: Emil Holm, Sam Beukema, Jhon Lucumí, Juan Miranda
- Midfielders: Michel Aebischer, Remo Freuler, Jens Odgaard
- Attackers: Riccardo Orsolini, Dan Ndoye, Santiago Castro
Bologna have been in excellent form recently, and key players like Riccardo Orsolini, their top scorer with 11 goals, will be crucial in this clash. His attacking prowess, combined with the midfield support from Jens Odgaard and Remo Freuler, creates a dynamic offensive front.
On the defensive side, Jhon Lucumí and Sam Beukema have been solid, providing the backbone for the team’s three clean sheets in their last five games.
Watch for the personal duel between Orsolini and Atalanta’s defenders, especially Berat Djimsiti and Isak Hien, which could be a deciding factor.
Bologna Suspensions & Injuries
Bologna will miss several key players due to injuries for this clash against Atalanta.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Davide Calabria | Leg injury | Late April 2025 |
| Lukasz Skorupski | Leg injury | Late April 2025 |
| Lewis Ferguson | Thigh injury | Late April 2025 |
With first-choice goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski sidelined, Federico Ravaglia will take his place between the posts, which might affect the defensive solidity of Bologna.
Similarly, Davide Calabria’s absence weakens their defensive line further, putting more pressure on substitutes like Emil Holm and Juan Miranda to step up.
In the midfield, the absence of Lewis Ferguson is also significant, as his dynamism and creativity will be missed. This stretch of injuries will certainly challenge coach Vincenzo Italiano’s side as they seek to maintain their strong form.
Bologna Tactics and Formation
Bologna’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Forward Focus: Santiago Castro as the primary striker, supported by wingers Riccardo Orsolini and Dan Ndoye.
- Midfield Dynamics: Remo Freuler and Michel Aebischer anchor the midfield, providing defensive stability and linking up with the attacking trio of Orsolini, Jens Odgaard, and Ndoye.
- Defensive Setup: Emil Holm and Juan Miranda as full-backs, with Sam Beukema and Jhon Lucumí centrally to shore up the defence in the absence of key players.
Bologna often emphasizes a compact midfield and quick transitions, seeking to exploit spaces behind the opponents’ defence. They notably score many goals shortly after halftime, around minutes 46-60, indicating a strong start to the second half. However, they also tend to concede late, particularly in the final stretch of the game (76-90 minutes), which could be a vulnerability for Atalanta to target.
Atalanta vs Bologna Head-to-Head Statistics
Let’s delve into how Atalanta and Bologna have fared against each other in their last five encounters:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | Bologna | 2025-02-04 | Coppa Italia | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Bologna | Atalanta | 2024-09-28 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Atalanta | Bologna | 2024-03-03 | Serie A | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Bologna | Atalanta | 2023-12-23 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Atalanta | Bologna | 2023-04-08 | Serie A | 0-2 (Loss) |
In their recent matchups, Bologna has had the upper hand, winning three out of five games. Atalanta managed to secure a draw in one game, but their last victory against Bologna was more than a year ago. This historical performance indicates a challenging fixture for Atalanta, who will need to break this unfavorable trend.
Odds accurate as of 04/11/2025 11:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
