Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction - Serie A Fixtures

Our Italian football expert Daniele Fisichella has previewed Atalanta vs Inter Milan, another top of the table clash in one of the most exciting Scudetto races ever. 

For Atalanta, a win propels them deeper into the championship conversation. For the Nerazzurri, fresh off qualification to the Champions League’s quarter-finals, it’s a chance to demonstrate the steel of champions.

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction: Is it now or never for Gasperini?

Italy, Serie A, Sunday, March 16th, 19:45 (UK)

La Dea comes into this match riding a wave of momentum, having just beaten Juventus 4-0 on their own turf in Turin. 

Unfettered by mid-week games, Gian Piero Gasperini’s squad can focus entirely on chasing their historic first Serie A title. 

Although our in-house model, BETSiE assigns them just a 7.9% chance of winning the title, their recent form suggests they are still very much in contention. 

Undefeated in their last seven league matches, with four wins and three draws, the Orobici showcase resilience as Gasperini and Ademola Lookmam have put aside their qualms. 

Yet, Atalanta faces a significant hurdle – they haven’t beaten Inter in over six years. 

Despite their recent exploits, a victory at home has eluded them in 2025, as they’ve settled for four draws and one defeat. 

Expect goals after half-time

Leaders Inter Milan reclaimed some swagger at the San Siro with a comeback 3-2 win over Monza, overturning a 2-0 deficit. 

However, their travels have proven tricky, with their last away win dating back to January 26th, and they haven’t returned from an away fixture with maximum points in their last four attempts. 

While Simone Inzaghi’s side eyes another historic treble, his team has found life in top-of-the-table clashes more challenging this season, averaging only 1.42 points against the league’s elite. 

This inconsistency could be a chink in their armor that Atalanta looks to exploit.

The duel between the front lines promises to be electrifying, underscored by both teams’ ability to exceed their expected goals this season; Atalanta with a xG of 51.18 and Inter’s slightly higher at 52.19, yet both have scored 63. 

While caution may define the first half, history implies that the second half will likely explode into life. 

In fact half of Atalanta’s last 10 games have seen at least two goals scored after the break, a figure matched by Inter. 

BETSiE Projections: MD 30		HGF	AGF	GD	GT	Home Win %	Draw %	Away Win %
Atalanta	Inter	1.14	1.33	-0.18	2.47	32.10%	27.0%	40.9%

• Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction: Both Teams To Score – Yes (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.70
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 10/10 (TRACKED BET)

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction odds via bet365 as at 16:25, March 12th, 2025. Odds may now differ.

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Injuries, Team News and Possible Lineups Prediction: Pasalic’s role could be key

Juan Cuadrado has been ruled out with a grade one tear in the right biceps femoris muscle. The injury will keep him out for at least three weeks, meaning he’ll miss Sunday’s clash. 

The Colombian winger will miss the match, along with Scamacca, Scalvini, Kossounou and Posch. 

Hien is fully fit and will form the defensive lineup with Djimsiti and Kolasinac. There might be a change in the attacking midfield role, with the possibility of Pasalic (pictured below) being deployed to put early pressure on Hakan Calhanoglu, aiming to disrupt Inter’s ability to build from the back. Up front, Lookman and Retegui are set to lead the attack, with Charles De Ketelaere ready to make an impact off the bench.

In Inter’s camp Bastoni will play on the left side of defense, with Pavard and Acerbi alongside him. On the wings, Dumfries and Carlos Augusto are set to start, with the latter coming off two assists against Monza and Feyenoord. 

In midfield, the rested Barella will join Calhanoglu and Mkhitaryan. Up front, Marcus Thuram, who is regaining form after recent niggles, will partner Lautaro Martinez, who is expected to recover from the knock picked up against Monza.

Davide Frattesi is expected to be among the substitutes while Stefan de Vrij’s knee issue could see him miss out on the big match. Di Gennaro, Darmian, Dimarco, Zielinski, and Zalewski remain unavailable. 

Atalanta possible starting lineup:
Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Kolasinac; Bellanova, Ederson, De Roon, Zappacosta; Pasalic, Lookman; Retegui.

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Augusto; Lautaro, Thuram.

Match Stats: Old foes and negative top of the table records

• Inter are unbeaten in the 14 games in all competitions against Atalanta and have won the last seven in a row with an aggregate score of 19-5. 
• Three of the last four games played in Bergamo between these two sides have ended with both teams on the scoresheet. 
• Inter average only 1.42 points per game against teams occupying the top nine positions in the table in Serie A. Last season the Nerazurri averaged 2.50 points per match in big matches.  
• Referee Davide Massa has officiated two matches involving Atalanta this season, both away from home: their victory over Lecce and a draw at the Stadio Olimpico against Lazio. He was also in charge for Roma vs. Inter at the Olimpico, where Inzaghi’s side secured a 1-0 win. 
• So far, Massa has handed out 99 yellow cards and five red cards, though only one of the red cards has been in Serie A. He has awarded six penalties, half of which have come in Italy’s top division.

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