Valencia vs. Mallorca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips

Get ready as Valencia hosts Mallorca at Estadio Mestalla in what promises to be an intriguing LaLiga clash on 30th March 2025 at 17:30. With both teams at differing ends of the table, this match holds significance for several reasons.

Valencia, sitting 16th, are looking to secure their LaLiga survival and build some momentum as they face the challenge of climbing the standings. Meanwhile, Mallorca, currently 7th, aim to maintain or even improve their position as they prepare for a demanding April, part of which will include an intense fixture against Barcelona.

Both teams have a propensity for drawing games, and with Valencia’s recent 1-1 result against Girona and Mallorca’s tight schedule influencing their form, a draw seems a likely outcome here.

Referee Francisco José Hernández will be officiating. Recommended bet: Draw.

Valencia vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tip

Let’s get straight into it. Our recommended betting tip for Valencia vs Mallorca is a Draw. Here’s why:
Valencia and Mallorca have shown a tendency to draw matches, especially given their recent form where both teams have had several draws. Here’s the betting tip in an easy-to-digest table:

Valencia vs Mallorca Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Draw	3.11

• Draw History: Both teams have a history of drawing in their previous encounters, making a draw a probable outcome.
• Recent Form: Valencia’s recent matches include many draws, including their 1-1 against Girona.
• Scheduling Factors: With Valencia aiming for survival and Mallorca contending for a higher position, a tightly contested match with a draw as the result is likely.

Valencia vs Mallorca Odds

Right, let’s get into the nitty-gritty of the odds for this showdown at the Estadio Mestalla. The bookmakers have pegged Valencia as the favorites to win, likely due to their home advantage and recent scrappy performances. However, don’t count Mallorca out just yet. Here’s a quick look at the betting odds:

Valencia vs Mallorca Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Valencia	2.14
Draw	3.11
Mallorca	3.70

Considering both teams’ recent form, a draw seems like a sensible bet. Valencia has been highly inconsistent, while Mallorca tends to grind out results, making this match a potentially evenly-fought contest.

Valencia Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Valencia’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This form sees them sitting in 16th place in the table, making every point crucial as they fight to avoid relegation. Here’s a look at their last five outings:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Girona	Valencia	2025-03-15	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Valencia	Real Valladolid	2025-03-08	LaLiga	2-1 (Win)
Osasuna	Valencia	2025-03-02	LaLiga	3-3 (Draw)
Valencia	Atletico Madrid	2025-02-22	LaLiga	0-3 (Loss)
Villarreal	Valencia	2025-02-15	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)

Recent Form: DWDLD

Valencia has struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game this season. On the flip side, they have been able to find the net relatively consistently, scoring in 79% of their home matches, and averaging 1.4 goals in their last five outings.

Valencia Key Players

Key players for Valencia in this crucial match against Mallorca include their top scorer, Hugo Duro, although he is doubtful with a muscle injury. Valencia’s attack will further depend on the likes of André Almeida and Rafael Mir, who are expected to spearhead their offensive efforts. In midfield, Javi Guerra and Enzo Barrenechea will be pivotal in dictating the game’s tempo and providing defensive cover. Valencia’s defense will look towards the leadership and experience of José Gayà to organize the backline.

Expected lineup for Valencia:

• Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
• Defenders: Dimitri Foulquier, Cristhian Mosquera, César Tárrega, José Gayà
• Midfielders: Enzo Barrenechea, Javi Guerra, Luis Rioja, André Almeida, Diego López
• Forward: Rafael Mir

Valencia Suspensions & Injuries

Valencia has several key injuries that could impact their performance against Mallorca. Here’s a detailed look at their injury list:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Thierry Correia	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Hugo Duro	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Ivan Jaime	Hamstring injury	Mid-April 2025
Sadiq Umar	Virus	Doubtful

These injuries may challenge Valencia, especially in attack, where their top scorer Hugo Duro and forward Sadiq Umar are both doubtful. Carlos Corberán will need to rely on other players to step up in this crucial match.

Valencia Tactics and Formation

Valencia Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Rafael Mir
• Midfield Trio: André Almeida, Javi Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea
• Defensive Line: Dimitri Foulquier, Cristhian Mosquera, César Tárrega, Jose Gaya
• Notable Strategy: Flexibility in wing play and robust midfield transitions.

Valencia is expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation under Carlos Corberán. With their primary goal being offensive fluidity, the midfield trio of Almeida, Guerra, and Barrenechea will look to dominate possession and provide robust defensive cover.

Rafael Mir will lead the attack, aiming to capitalize on Mallorca’s shaky away form. Valencia’s defense needs to tighten up, especially with injuries to key players, as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five games.

Expect Valencia to use wide areas more actively, leveraging the speed and crossing abilities of Jose Gaya and Dimitri Foulquier on the flanks. They will likely aim to control the tempo in the middle of the park while being cautious of leaving gaps for counter-attacks.

Mallorca Team Analysis

Mallorca Recent Performance

Mallorca boasts solid recent form, with no losses in their last five matches, making them a formidable opponent. Despite this strong showing, they have struggled a bit away from home, drawing three out of their last five away games. Their recent matches have shown a balanced attack and defense, averaging 1.60 goals scored per game while also conceding.

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Mallorca	Espanyol	2025-03-15	LaLiga	2-1 (Win)
Athletic Club	Mallorca	2025-03-09	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Mallorca	Deportivo Alaves	2025-03-02	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Sevilla	Mallorca	2025-02-24	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Mallorca	Las Palmas	2025-02-16	LaLiga	3-1 (Win)

Mallorca has not kept any clean sheets in their last five games, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities. However, their ability to score consistently makes them a threat to any opposition.

Mallorca Key Players

Expected lineup for Mallorca:

• Goalkeeper: Dominik Greif
• Defenders: Pablo Maffeo, Martin Valjent, Antonio Raíllo, Johan Mojica
• Midfielders: Samú Costa, Manu Morlanes, Takuma Asano, Sergi Darder, Dani Rodriguez
• Forward: Vedat Muriqi

Vedat Muriqi is a critical player for Mallorca, leading the team’s attack with 7 goals this season. His battle against Valencia’s defenders, particularly César Tárrega and Cristhian Mosquera, will be one to watch.

Sergi Darder also plays a pivotal role as the attacking midfielder, orchestrating the team’s forward plays. The dynamics between Mallorca’s midfielders and Valencia’s defense could very well determine the outcome of this clash.

Mallorca’s balanced lineup promises a competitive edge even against the bookmaker favorite, Valencia.

Mallorca Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Robert Navarro	Muscle injury	Early April 2025

Mallorca enters this match with a relatively clean bill of health, save for the absence of Robert Navarro due to a muscle injury. Expected to return in early April 2025, Navarro’s creative influence in midfield will be missed.

This injury could force coach Jagoba Arrasate to make tactical adjustments, perhaps relying more heavily on the likes of Samú Costa and Sergi Darder to fill the creative void left by Navarro.

These disruptions can affect the team’s balance, but Mallorca has shown resilience and depth this season.

Mallorca Tactics and Formation

Mallorca’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Vedat Muriqi
• Midfield Duo: Samú Costa, Manu Morlanes
• Defensive Backbone: Pablo Maffeo, Martín Valjent, Antonio Raíllo, Johan Mojica

Mallorca’s approach under Jagoba Arrasate has been quite consistent, focusing on a balanced 4-2-3-1 formation.

Key Strategies:

• Attacking Midfield: Sergi Darder, operating as the attacking midfielder, adds creative flair and links play between the lines.
• Wing Play: Takuma Asano and Dani Rodriguez provide width and pace on the flanks, ensuring crosses and cut-ins to the center forward.
• Solid Defense: Despite the lack of clean sheets, the defensive unit maintains tight marking and coordinated pressing.

This tactical setup aims to control the midfield and create scoring opportunities for Muriqi, making them a formidable opponent.

Valencia vs Mallorca Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Mallorca	Valencia	2024-11-29	LaLiga	2-1 (Loss)
Valencia	Mallorca	2024-03-30	LaLiga	0-0 (Draw)
Mallorca	Valencia	2023-10-07	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Mallorca	Valencia	2023-05-25	LaLiga	1-0 (Loss)
Valencia	Mallorca	2022-10-22	LaLiga	1-2 (Loss)

Valencia and Mallorca have been closely matched in their recent encounters, with Mallorca having the upper hand overall. Out of their last five meetings, Mallorca has secured two wins, while the remaining games ended in a draw and one victory for Valencia.

These matches have shown that both teams are capable of tight contests, often resulting in narrow scorelines.

This past performance sets the stage for what should be another closely contested game.

Odds accurate as of 28.03.2025 16:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.