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Brighton vs. Chelsea Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 February 2025 - bettingexpert

Brighton-Chelsea
Premier League
Fulltime
BrightonBrighton
3 - 0
ChelseaChelsea
(HT 2-0)

Brighton and Chelsea are set to kick off the 25th round of the Premier League on 14 February 2025 at 20:00 at The American Express Community Stadium. Brighton, currently 10th with 34 points, recently faced a tough 0-7 defeat against Nottingham Forest but showcased resilience by eliminating Chelsea from the FA Cup with a 2-1 victory. They will look to build on this momentum despite several key defensive absences.

Chelsea, sitting 4th with 43 points, aims to secure a Champions League spot. They have struggled in away games this season but boast a better overall form in the league. Under Chris Kavanagh’s officiating with overcast conditions and light winds, both teams have their defensive vulnerabilities.

Considering the recent performances, a tightly contested game is expected, with a draw being a likely outcome. Recommended bet: Draw with odds of 3.85.

Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting tip

Our recommended betting tip for this match is a draw, given the recent form and head-to-head statistics.

Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Draw 3.85
  • Recent Form: Both teams have had mixed results in their last five matches, but Brighton’s recent FA Cup win against Chelsea hints at a closely contested game.
  • Head-to-Head: The last encounter between these sides ended in a 2-1 victory for Brighton, showcasing their ability to compete with Chelsea.
  • Injuries and Suspensions: Both teams are plagued by injuries, leveling the playing field and making a draw a reasonable outcome.

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Brighton vs Chelsea Odds

The odds for the upcoming clash between Brighton and Chelsea are tight, reflecting the anticipated close contest between the two sides. Despite Brighton’s recent FA Cup victory over Chelsea, the bookmakers still favor Chelsea, possibly due to their higher league position and stronger overall performance this season.

Brighton vs Chelsea Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Brighton 2.94
Draw 3.65
Chelsea 2.26

The draw looks particularly appealing given both teams’ recent form and the fact that their last encounter ended in a narrow 2-1 win for Brighton. Considering the injuries affecting both sides, a draw seems like a reasonable bet for this encounter.

Brighton Team Analysis

Brighton Recent Performance

Brighton has had a mixed bag of results in their last five fixtures, showing both their potential and vulnerabilities. Their form over these games reads WLLWW, indicating a couple of tough losses but also some significant wins.

Brighton Chelsea 2-1 (Win)
Nottingham Brighton 7-0 (Loss)
Brighton Everton 0-1 (Loss)
Man United Brighton 1-3 (Win)
Ipswich Brighton 0-2 (Win)

Brighton’s average goals scored over these games is 1.40, with one clean sheet. Considering Brighton recently ousted Chelsea in the FA Cup, they have shown resilience that could make this Premier League clash much tighter than the table suggests. Brighton has consistently found the back of the net in 83% of their matches this season, showcasing their attacking capability.

Brighton Key Players

Brighton will be relying heavily on their top scorer, Danny Welbeck, who has netted 6 goals so far this season. His presence up front will be crucial against Chelsea’s defense. Additionally, Kaoru Mitoma, a key playmaker, is expected to add flair and creativity in midfield, aiming to penetrate Chelsea’s backline.
Potential key battles include Welbeck taking on Chelsea’s centre-halves, Tosin Adarabioyo and Levi Colwill, which could be an intriguing duel given Chelsea’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Expected lineup for Brighton:

  • Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
  • Defenders: Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Tariq Lamptey
  • Midfielders: Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma
  • Attackers: Danny Welbeck, João Pedro

Brighton Suspensions & Injuries

Brighton is dealing with several key player absences, especially in defense, which could impact their performance against Chelsea.

Player Injury Expected return
James Milner Hamstring Injury Doubtful
Joel Veltman Virus A few days
Ferdi Kadioglu Toe injury Doubtful
Mats Wieffer Thigh injury Late February 2025
Igor Thigh injury Early June 2025
Jason Steele Shoulder injury Mid March 2025
Solly March Muscle injury Late February 2025
Yasin Ayari Muscle injury Doubtful
Carlos Baleba Muscle injury Doubtful
Pervis Estupiñán Muscle injury Doubtful

These injuries mean that Brighton will be without key players like Estupiñán and March. Their absence could make it challenging to maintain a solid defense against Chelsea’s attacking prowess. Coach Fabian Hürzeler will need to rely on his bench strength to fill the gaps effectively.

Brighton Tactics and Formation

Brighton Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Danny Welbeck
  • Midfield Trio: Kaoru Mitoma, Georginio Rutter, Yankuba Minteh
  • Defensive Strength: Despite only one clean sheet in their last five games, Lewis Dunk will lead the central defense.
  • Notable Strategy: Brighton tends to attack through the flanks, utilizing the pace and creativity of Mitoma and Welbeck.

Brighton, under coach Fabian Hürzeler, will likely emphasize a balanced approach. Their 4-2-3-1 formation aims to provide stability in midfield while allowing Mitoma and Pedro to exploit Chelsea’s defensive lapses. With several key defenders injured, maintaining defensive cohesion will be crucial to withstand Chelsea’s attacking threats.

Chelsea Team Analysis

Chelsea Recent Performance LWLWD

Chelsea have shown a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, encapsulated perfectly by their LWLWD form:

Home team Away team Result
Brighton Chelsea 2-1 (Loss)
Chelsea West Ham 2-1 (Win)
Manchester City Chelsea 3-1 (Loss)
Chelsea Wolverhampton 3-1 (Win)
Chelsea Bournemouth 2-2 (Draw)

Chelsea’s attack has been relatively potent, averaging 1.8 goals per match over their last five games. However, their defense seems a bit porous, having not kept a clean sheet in these encounters.
Their inconsistency is reflected in their fluctuating results, but they still manage to hold on to the 4th position in the league. The team will look to remedy their defensive issues against Brighton.

Chelsea Key Players

Expected lineup for Chelsea:

  • Goalkeeper: Filip Jörgensen
  • Defenders: Reece James, Tosin Adarabioyo, Levi Colwill, Marc Cucurella
  • Midfielders: Moisés Caicedo, Enzo Fernández, Noni Madueke, Cole Palmer, Jadon Sancho
  • Forward: Nicolas Jackson

The spotlight will be on Chelsea’s top scorer, Cole Palmer, who has netted 14 goals this season. His creative playmaking and finishing skills will be crucial.

Moisés Caicedo and Enzo Fernández will look to control the midfield against Brighton’s dynamic duo of Georginio Rutter and Jack Hinshelwood.

In defense, Reece James could be pivotal in handling Brighton’s Danny Welbeck, who is in good scoring form.

Noni Madueke’s pace could also be a game-changer, especially in his battles against Tariq Lamptey.

Chelsea Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Wesley Fofana Hamstring Injury Mid May 2025
Benoît Badiashile Muscle injury Doubtful
Gabriel Slonina Finger injury About a week
Roméo Lavia Knock injury Early April 2025
Marc Guiu Muscle injury Late February 2025
Nicolas Jackson Thigh injury Doubtful

These injuries could significantly impact Chelsea’s depth and rotation. Wesley Fofana’s absence leaves a hole in their defensive stability. Benoît Badiashile and Nicolas Jackson being doubtful may force coach Enzo Maresca to re-strategize for crucial positions. Gabriel Slonina’s finger injury means they are already making changes in the goalkeeper department.

With a combination of these factors, Chelsea will need to rely on their available key players to secure a strong performance against Brighton.

Chelsea Tactics and Formation

Chelsea’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Nicolas Jackson (if fit)
  • Creative Force: Cole Palmer
  • Defensive Midfield Duo: Moisés Caicedo and Enzo Fernández
  • Defensive Structure: Reece James and Marc Cucurella as full-backs
  • Attacking Flank: Noni Madueke on the right wing and Jadon Sancho on the left

Under coach Enzo Maresca, Chelsea’s 4-2-3-1 formation aims to balance defense and attack. Cole Palmer serves as the pivotal playmaker in the attacking midfield role, while the pairing of Caicedo and Fernández provides a sturdy yet creative midfield base.

Defensively, the presence of Reece James and Marc Cucurella is crucial for both protection and pushing forward. Chelsea’s attacking strategy often focuses on leveraging the pace and skills of wingers Noni Madueke and Jadon Sancho to stretch the opponent’s defense.

Expect intricate playmaking and quick transitions in this matchup.

Brighton vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Statistics

Here’s a quick look at Brighton and Chelsea’s recent head-to-head encounters:

Home Away Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Chelsea 2-1
Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2
Brighton & Hove Albion Chelsea 1-2
Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2
Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0

Brighton managed to secure a win in their most recent encounter on 8 February 2025, pulling off a significant 2-1 victory.

However, in the last five matches, Chelsea have emerged victorious three times. Notably, Chelsea has a stronger overall performance history, which could create an interesting dynamic heading into this Premier League clash.

Odds accurate as of 02.12.2025 20:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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