Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction - EFL Cup
Newcastle and Brentford square off in the EFL Cup Quarter Finals at St James’ Park. This matchup is crucial for both teams, with Newcastle being the bookmakers’ favourite. They have a recent history of great performances in this tournament, remaining unbeaten in six straight matches and scoring in each of them.
The weather is expected to be overcast with a temperature of 9°C, adding an extra layer of challenge for the players. Pressure is on for both teams to perform amidst a plethora of injuries.
Newcastle, managed by Eddie Howe, will be without key players like Sven Botman and Callum Wilson. The team might also be distracted by transfer speculations, including potential sales of Kieran Trippier and Miguel Almiron to comply with Financial Fair Play regulations. Meanwhile, Brentford’s hopes will rest on their top scorer Kevin Schade and the defensive solidity offered by players like Christian Nørgaard.
Brentford has not lost in four consecutive away matches in the tournament and will look to extend this streak. Our match tips lean towards a handicap advantage for Brentford with a +1.00 goal at 1.93 odds. This can be an intriguing aspect for punters as it tilts the match’s dynamics, potentially favouring a tight contest.
Prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Brentford.
Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tip
Our betting tip for this match is to back Brentford with a +1.00 Asian Handicap. This choice is recommended based on several match facts and tips which favor Brentford, giving them a goal advantage that could prove crucial given the tight nature of this contest.
| Newcastle vs. Brentford Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Brentford +1.00 (Asian Handicap) | 1.93 |
- Brentford have not lost in their last four consecutive away matches in this tournament.
- Newcastle have key players out due to injuries, which could impact their performance.
- The Asian Handicap of +1 gives Brentford a crucial advantage, making it a safer bet for punters.
Newcastle vs Brentford Odds
The odds for this EFL Cup Quarter Finals clash showcase Newcastle as the clear favourites according to bookmakers. Let’s break down the betting options:
| Newcastle vs. Brentford Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Newcastle | 1.55 |
| Draw | 4.32 |
| Brentford | 5.26 |
Newcastle Team Analysis
Newcastle’s recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches. With an average of 2.00 goals scored per game and just one clean sheet in the last five outings, they will look to tighten their defense. Their recent results are as follows:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | Leicester City | 4-0 (Win) |
| Brentford | Newcastle United | 4-2 (Loss) |
| Newcastle United | Liverpool | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Crystal Palace | Newcastle United | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Newcastle United | West Ham United | 0-2 (Loss) |
Despite recent setbacks, Newcastle’s ability to score in almost every match remains a positive note. However, they need to improve defensive stability, given their injury challenges.
Newcastle Key Players
Alexander Isak will be crucial for Newcastle, as he leads the team’s goal-scoring charts. The Swedish striker will look to build on his tally, having already netted once in this tournament. Expect his partnership with Anthony Gordon and Jacob Murphy up front to be vital in breaking down Brentford’s defence. Another key player to watch is Bruno Guimaraes in midfield, providing both defensive stability and creative sparks. Despite recent challenges, Sandro Tonali is expected to shine under Eddie Howe’s guidance, and his performance could be pivotal given Newcastle’s defensive injuries.
Expected lineup for Newcastle:
- Goalkeeper: Martin Dubravka
- Defenders: Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schaer, Daniel Burn, Lewis Hall
- Midfielders: Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton
- Attackers: Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Anthony Gordon
Newcastle Suspensions & Injuries
Newcastle United are contending with a few significant injuries that could impact their performance in the upcoming EFL Cup quarter-final against Brentford. The extent and expected return of key players are outlined below.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Sven Botman | Cruciate ligament injury | Early January 2025 |
| Jamaal Lascelles | Cruciate ligament injury | Early January 2025 |
| Emil Krafth | Broken collarbone | Mid January 2025 |
| Nick Pope | Knock injury | Doubtful |
| Callum Wilson | Hamstring injury | Early February 2025 |
Newcastle Tactics and Formation
Newcastle Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Alexander Isak
- Midfield Trio: Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitions Eddie Howe has consistently deployed a 4-3-3 formation, which emphasizes versatile wing play and an agile midfield. The trio of Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, and Joelinton orchestrates both defensive duties and transitions into attack.
With Alexander Isak leading the line, Newcastle focuses on rapid counter-attacks, often engaging the forwards in swift plays during the transition phase. The backline, featuring Fabian Schär and Dan Burn, has shown solidity, though the team’s defensive setup is missing key players due to injury. Martin Dubravka, stepping in for the doubtful Nick Pope, will likely be pivotal in maintaining defensive stability against Brentford’s potent attack.
Brentford Team Analysis
Brentford has shown a mixed bag of performances lately with a form of LWLWD. They have been scoring consistently, averaging two goals per game in their last five matches. Both Brentford and Newcastle have managed just one clean sheet in their last five outings, indicating vulnerabilities in their defenses.
Brentford’s recent results are as follows:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Brentford | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Brentford | Newcastle United | 4-2 (Win) |
| Aston Villa | Brentford | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Brentford | Leicester City | 4-1 (Win) |
| Everton | Brentford | 0-0 (Draw) |
Brentford’s ability to bounce back with emphatic wins against Newcastle United and Leicester City showcases their potential on the big stage despite inconsistency. They must capitalize on this momentum against Newcastle in the EFL Cup quarter-final.
Brentford Key Players
Brentford’s side for this match will be spearheaded by Kevin Schade, their top scorer with 1 goal to his name. His ability to find the net will be crucial as they face a resilient Newcastle defense.
Expected lineup for Brentford:
- Goalkeeper: Mark Flekken
- Defenders: Sepp van den Berg, Ethan Pinnock, Nathan Collins
- Midfielders: Mads Roerslev, Yegor Yarmolyuk, Christian Nørgaard, Mikkel Damsgaard, Keane Lewis-Potter
- Attackers: Bryan Mbeumo, Yoane Wissa
Key individual battles to watch include Bryan Mbeumo against Newcastle’s Fabian Schär, as well as midfield matchups featuring Christian Nørgaard and Bruno Guimarães.
Brentford must leverage their attacking strengths while maintaining defensive resilience to secure a favorable result.
Brentford Suspensions & Injuries
Brentford are facing several injury setbacks ahead of their EFL Cup quarter-final clash against Newcastle. These absences could significantly impact their performance, particularly in maintaining defensive stability and midfield control. Here’s a detailed look at their injury list:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Rico Henry | Knee injury | Doubtful |
| Joshua Da Silva | Knee surgery | Mid January 2025 |
| Aaron Hickey | Hamstring injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Gustavo Nunes | Back injury | Doubtful |
| Mathias Jensen | Hamstring injury | Early January 2025 |
Brentford Tactics and Formation
Brentford’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3 is one of their recent tactics, though they have also deployed 3-5-2 and 4-4-2.
- Key Forwards: Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa lead the charge upfront, providing pace and creativity.
- Midfield Trio: Christian Nørgaard is pivotal, supported by Mads Roerslev and Mikkel Damsgaard, focusing on stability and distribution.
- Defensive Strength: Despite having inconsistent form recently, their adaptation to various defensive alignments has kept the opposition guessing.
- Notable Strategy: They rely on swift counter-attacks and maximizing set-pieces, which have been effective in their recent high-scoring games. This tactical flexibility and understanding could be crucial against Newcastle.
Newcastle vs Brentford Head-to-Head Statistics
The last five meetings between Newcastle United and Brentford have been action-packed, with Newcastle winning three of those encounters and Brentford securing two victories. Here’s a quick look at the recent fixtures:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford | Newcastle United | 4-2 |
| Brentford | Newcastle United | 2-4 |
| Newcastle United | Brentford | 1-0 |
| Brentford | Newcastle United | 1-2 |
| Newcastle United | Brentford | 5-1 |
Breaking down these results, we can see that Newcastle tends to dominate when playing at home, with convincing wins in their last two meetings at St James’ Park. Brentford, however, has managed to turn the tables when hosting Newcastle, demonstrated by their recent 4-2 win in early December. This adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming EFL Cup Quarter-Final, making it a clash to watch out for.
