Bournemouth vs Ipswich Prediction: Betting Preview
Bournemouth vs Ipswich Prediction 1: Both teams with plenty to play for
Bournemouth are just four points off Manchester City in fifth and the potential for Champions League football at the Vitality Stadium seems a real chance. However, it’s just one win in their last six games, with four defeats in that period, so a match against third bottom Ipswich Town represents a great opportunity to get back on track. The Tractor Boys are a huge nine points from safety and survival looks bleak with odds of just 1.05 to be relegated. However, they play Wolves next, so if they could pick up two wins, coupled with a West Ham win at Molineux this midweek, the gap would be down to only three points. There’s plenty to play for both teams with nine games remaining.
England, Premier League, Wednesday, April 2nd, 19:45 (UK)
- Bournemouth vs Ipswich Prediction 1: Both teams to score (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.80
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10 (TRACKED BET)
Ipswich come into this having lost eight of their last nine matches and further back it’s 13 defeats in their last 17 games. Their issues come unsurprisingly from their inability to keep the ball out of the back of their net. They have the third worst defence having conceded 62 goals in 29 games at an average of 2.14 per-game. It’s no surprise when they concede on average 15.0 shots per-game of which the chances are of high quality with them conceding the second most expected goals at 65.20 – 3.20 more than their actual total – suggesting there could be more to come.
Ipswich’s poor defensive record is not helped by the uncertainty at the back beginning with the goalkeeper. They began the season with £10M summer signing Arijanet Muric in goal who had joined from Burnley, who despite only having 10 Premier League appearances in his career, actually had a fantastic +6.7 Post Shot xG – Goals Allowed record – the second best record in the league last season. However, life at Ipswich hasn’t gone so smoothly with him having made the joint-most errors leading to goals in the league with five and recording a PSxG – GA figure of -1.6. Since Christmas he’s been dropped in favour of Christian Walton but in his six games he conceded 16 goals (2.67 per-game) with a PSxG – GA record of -1.0. After picking up a groin injury, the Tractor Boys moved to bring in West Brom keeper Alex Palmer for a fee up to £5M, however in his five games he’s conceded 13 goals (2.60 per-game) with a PSxG – GA figure of -1.1.
Given all of the above, it is thus no surprise that Bournemouth are just 1.07 to score here. The Cherries average the third most shots per-game with 16.0 and in-turn have generated the second most expected goals this season with 59.42. We can boost that 1.07 to a huge looking 1.80 by just adding Ipswich to score. They’ve found the net in 10 of their 14 away games but they’ve also conceded in all 10 giving a very healthy strike rate of 71%. 16 of Bournemouth’s last 24 games across all competitions have also seen both teams to score (67%) to further strengthen our case.
Indeed Bournemouth won the reverse fixture 2-1 despite Ipswich taking the lead. And despite Bournemouth’s excellent season, they’ve only scored the first goal 14 times (48%) and Ipswich have impressively opened the scoring in seven of their away games (50%). The bet could play out perfectly if the Tractor Boys take the lead again.
Bournemouth vs Ipswich Prediction odds via bet365 as at 12:00, March 27th, 2025. Odds may now differ.
Bournemouth vs Ipswich Injuries, Team News and Possible Lineups Prediction: Brand new Bournemouth
After a tricky period with a glut of injuries, Bournemouth have welcomed many of their absences with just Enes Unal (ACL knee injury) and Adam Smith (calf injury) longer-term issues. Ipswich have long-term issues with all of Sammie Szmodics, Wed Burns and Chiedozie Ogbene. Szmodics suffered a setback with his recovery and recently underwent ankle surgery and may be back before the end of the season. Burns had surgery to repair his ACL in February and won’t likely be back until 2026. Ogbene had surgery to repair an Achilles tear in November and won’t play again this season. Conor Chaplin (knee) and Axel Tuanzebe (hand) have shorter-term issues and it’s hoped they’ll be available again soon.
Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Kepa; Cook, Zabarnyi, Huijsen, Kerkez; Christie, Adams; Tavernier, Kluivert, Semenyo; Evanilson
Ipswich possible starting lineup:
Palmer; O’Shea, Woolfenden, Greaves, Davis; Phillips, Cajuste; Philogene, Hutchinson, Enciso; Delap
Match OPTA Stats: Both teams bad at clean sheets
- Ipswich have lost 8 of their last 9 matches in the Premier League
- Ipswich have conceded at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 league matches
- 16 of Bournemouth’s last 24 games across all competitions have seen both teams score
- 10 of Ipswich’s 14 Premier League away games have seen both teams score
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