Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction - Premier League Fixtures

Everton, currently sitting 16th in the Premier League with 17 points, host Aston Villa, who are 8th with 32 points, in what promises to be a crucial encounter at Goodison Park. This match has added importance, with seasoned manager David Moyes returning to Everton, aiming to steer the club away from the relegation zone. The weather is expected to be cold and overcast.

Despite their lower league standing, Everton are tipped to win, with solid recent form and home advantage playing essential roles. Aston Villa, managed by Unai Emery, are vying for a Champions League spot and will be a formidable opponent. A tight contest is expected, reflecting Everton’s strategic defensive setup and Villa’s attacking prowess.

Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tip

Our recommended betting tip for this match is to back Everton for the win.
Everton may be the underdogs, but several compelling reasons suggest they have a big chance:

• Home Advantage: Playing at Goodison Park gives Everton a significant boost.
• Current Form: Despite their league position, Everton have shown solid form recently, including a notable draw against Manchester City.
• Value for Money: The odds for an Everton win offer great value, making this a potentially lucrative bet.

Everton vs. Aston Villa Prediction
Betting Tip	Odds
Everton to win	3.25

• Everton’s recent performances at home indicate they have the capability to pull off a surprise win.
• Aston Villa have struggled to keep clean sheets in their last five games.
• Given Everton’s defensive resilience and home support, they could very well edge out a victory.

Everton vs. Aston Villa Odds

For this Premier League clash, Aston Villa are the bookmakers’ favourites, while Everton trail as the underdogs despite their home advantage.

The odds highlight a competitive match, with each result providing varying levels of value:

Everton vs. Aston Villa Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Everton	3.18
Draw	3.22
Aston Villa	2.30

Backing Everton could be considered a high-value bet, especially with their recent draw against Manchester City under David Moyes’ renewed leadership. Aston Villa’s struggles in maintaining clean sheets may also balance the scales slightly toward an Everton upset. The draw offers almost identical odds to an Everton win, suggesting a balanced contest.

Everton Team Analysis

Everton has had a mixed bag of results in their recent fixtures, with a record of 1 win, 2 losses, and 2 draws in their last five matches. Their defensive approach has resulted in two clean sheets, but they have struggled to find the net, scoring only three goals across these five games, averaging 0.60 goals per game. David Moyes’ return seems to have brought some stability, evidenced by their recent FA Cup win against Peterborough.

Home team	Away team	Result
Everton	Peterborough United	2-0 (Win)
AFC Bournemouth	Everton	1-0 (Loss)
Everton	Nottingham Forest	0-2 (Loss)
Manchester City	Everton	1-1 (Draw)
Everton	Chelsea	0-0 (Draw)

Their improved defensive record, with two clean sheets in the last five games, will be a crucial component in their strategy against Aston Villa.

Everton Key Players

For Everton, David Moyes’ return has brought a sense of rejuvenation, and there’s a lot riding on the key players to deliver.
Iliman Ndiaye, Everton’s top scorer with three goals this season, will be crucial in leading the attacking efforts. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Jack Harrison are expected to start alongside him in the forward positions.
In midfield, the experienced Idrissa Gueye and Orel Mangala will look to control the tempo and break down Villa’s plays.
Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
Defenders: Ashley Young, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitalii Mykolenko
Midfielders: Idrissa Gueye, Orel Mangala, Abdoulaye Doucoure
Forwards: Jack Harrison, Iliman Ndiaye, Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Expect intriguing battles, especially between Calvert-Lewin and Aston Villa’s robust defenders like Tyrone Mings.

Everton Suspensions & Injuries

Everton have several key players sidelined due to injuries, which could impact their performance against Aston Villa. The absence of these players might limit squad depth and options for manager David Moyes. However, there are no suspensions to report.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Tim Iroegbunam	Foot injury	Early February 2025
James Garner	Back injury	Late January 2025
Dwight McNeil	Knee injury	Doubtful
Seamus Coleman	Muscle cramps	Doubtful
Youssef Chermiti	Muscle injury	Late January 2025
Armando Broja	Knock injury	Doubtful

These injuries pose a significant challenge for Everton, especially with key players like McNeil and Coleman listed as doubtful. The squad’s depth will be tested, and Moyes might need to rely on less experienced players to step up and fill the gaps.

Everton Tactics and Formation

Everton Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Dominic Calvert-Lewin
• Midfield Trio: Idrissa Gueye, Orel Mangala, Abdoulaye Doucoure
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in their last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong counter-attacking play, leveraging pace on the flanks

Under the experienced guidance of David Moyes, who has just returned to the club, Everton will likely adopt a pragmatic and disciplined approach. The 4-3-3 formation allows flexibility to switch between a solid defensive stance and rapid transitions into attack.

With Dominic Calvert-Lewin leading the line, supported by wide players Iliman Ndiaye and Jack Harrison, Everton will aim to exploit Aston Villa’s defensive vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, the midfield trio will focus on breaking up play and providing cover for the backline.

Aston Villa Team Analysis

Aston Villa have demonstrated a solid run of form recently, as evidenced by their last five matches:

Home team	Away team	Result
Aston Villa	West Ham	2-1 (Win)
Aston Villa	Leicester City	2-1 (Win)
Aston Villa	Brighton & Hove	2-2 (Draw)
Newcastle United	Aston Villa	3-0 (Loss)
Aston Villa	Manchester City	2-1 (Win)

With three wins, one draw, and one loss, they have managed to secure 10 points in their last five outings. Despite not keeping any clean sheets in these matches, they have an average of 1.60 goals scored per game, showcasing attacking prowess spearheaded by Ollie Watkins. Unai Emery’s side has shown resilience even against top-tier opponents, which has helped them hold firm in 8th place.

Aston Villa Key Players

Expected lineup for Aston Villa:

• Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martinez
• Defenders: Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne
• Midfielders: Youri Tielemans, Boubacar Kamara, Morgan Rogers
• Attackers: Jacob Ramsey, Ollie Watkins, Leon Bailey

Ollie Watkins will be Aston Villa’s key player to watch, topping the team’s scoring charts with 8 goals this season. His battle against Everton’s seasoned defender James Tarkowski could be pivotal in determining the game’s outcome.

In midfield, Youri Tielemans and Boubacar Kamara’s ability to control play will be vital for Villa in maintaining possession and creating chances. Leon Bailey, featuring on the right wing, will also look to exploit Everton’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly up against Vitalii Mykolenko.

With potential match-winners across the park, Villa’s balanced attack and creative midfield could pose a significant threat.

Aston Villa Suspensions & Injuries

Aston Villa will be heading into the match against Everton with a few notable absentees due to injuries, which could affect their performance.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Pau Francisco Torres	Foot injury	Late January 2025
Diego Carlos	Foot injury	Doubtful
John McGinn	Hamstring injury	Early February 2025

Aston Villa Tactics and Formation

Aston Villa’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ollie Watkins, who has netted 8 goals this season, will lead the attack and is expected to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Everton.
• Midfield Trio: The midfield will be orchestrated by Youri Tielemans and Boubacar Kamara, providing both defensive cover and attacking thrust. Morgan Rogers will add dynamism to the central midfield role.
• Defensive Setup: With Tyrone Mings and Ezri Konsa as the centre-back pairing, bolstered by full-backs Matty Cash and Lucas Digne, Villa aims to contain Everton’s forwards.
• Notable Strategy: Expect Unai Emery to utilize quick transitions and the pace of Leon Bailey and Jacob Ramsey on the wings to exploit Everton’s flanks.
  Villa’s shape and pressing game will be crucial in stifling Everton’s build-up play while creating counter-attacking opportunities.

Everton vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head Statistics

Recent clashes between Everton and Aston Villa provide an interesting context for this Premier League encounter. Here’s a look at their last five meetings:

Home	Away	Result
Aston Villa	Everton	3-2
Everton	Aston Villa	0-0
Aston Villa	Everton	1-2
Aston Villa	Everton	4-0
Everton	Aston Villa	0-2