The Expert’s Acca: From Swindon to Peru

The Expert’s Acca: Expert Tips and Predictions From bettingexpert This Weekend

The international break is over, and a sizable, plump Expert’s Acca is back to house the leading tips and predictions this weekend from the team at bettingexpert.

Daniele Fisichella, after his impressive form throughout the international break, is back with his take on a punt in Serie A. ErYoung Haaland takes Jack Wright’s fancy in League Two, Nathan Joyes can be found scuttling around Peru in the hunt for goals, while Scott Thornton is doing something similar in Germany—that, and plenty more below.

In this article:

• Jack Wright’s Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Matthew O’Regan’s Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Nathan Joyes’ Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Scott Thornton’s Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Daniele Fisichella’s Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Steve Wyss’ Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Matt Kirby’s Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Tom Winch’s Best Free Tip and Prediction For This Weekend
• Responsible Gambling

Swindon vs Walsall: Will Young continue to make Bantams regret telling him to Leave Right Now?

England, League Two, Saturday, September 16th, 15:00 (UK)

When Jake Young signed for Bradford City in May 2022 from Forest Green Rovers, it was a dream move – one of, if not the biggest club in League Two, managed by a world-renowned centre forward in Mark Hughes and local to his Huddersfield roots.

He got off to a dream start, coming off the bench in the 60th minute and scoring an equaliser just five minutes into his full debut against Barrow. Nine games into the season, and he had scored four times from a total of just 371 minutes at a goal every 93 minutes – but had made only three starts.

The 22-year-old found himself frozen out at Valley Parade, with Hughes stating he was not at the level of his other striking options. He was loaned to Barrow for the second half of the campaign, where he failed to score in 17 appearances.

Deemed surplus to requirements ahead of the new campaign, Young agreed to join Swindon on loan just ten days ahead of the league curtain raiser. Coming on at half-time for his league debut, he took just two minutes to get on the scoresheet – and hasn’t looked back since.

Hughes’ last instructions were for the 6ft 1” forward to “take an opportunity and show what he can do”. There is no question those words have been very much listened to.

Young fired in a brace against Wrexham in an incredible 5-5 draw before revealing he had a sleepless night about a missed chance. He was disappointed to have not won his side the game but also to miss out on a hat-trick and wonder when he would get another chance.

The answer was seven days later when he plundered four goals in a 6-0 drubbing of Crawley—a feeling he described as crazy and no better one for a striker.

Manager Michael Flynn has been given a lot of credit for making his on-loan marksman feel at home and full of confidence. The Welshman has paired veteran Charlie Austin as his strike partner, and it has paid instant dividends.

Young has nine goals in total from his six league appearances, as well as three assists, illustrating his all-round involvement. He has contributed to the Robins being the top scorers in England’s top four divisions with 20 goals.

This game screams goals, with at least three scored in all of Swindon’s four home and all of Walsall’s five away games across all competitions this term. To see six players ahead of Young in the betting to score is a massive surprise, so I am more than happy to take the price here and see if he can continue his incredible scoring start to the campaign.

• Expert: Jack Wright
• Selection: Jake Young to Score
• Best Odds: 3.20
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 10/10 (TRACKED BET)

AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe: The net bulges when Crewe come to town

England, League Two, Saturday, September 16th, 15:00 (UK)

A potentially exciting encounter is on display in Southwest London as 11th-placed AFC Wimbledon host 6th-placed Crewe at the Cherry Red Records Stadium.

It was a disappointing return to League 2 for Johnnie Jackson’s side, finishing 21st, just five clear of relegation. This was mainly due to a shambolic 2023, winning just two of their final 23 games.

However, the board kept faith in the 41-year-old, and the Dons have looked better this season, sitting just 2 points off of the playoffs with 10 points from seven games.

While over 2.5 goals has only landed in 3/7, AFC Wimbledon are creating an abundance of chances each week, ranking third for the highest xG in the league. Their games have seen combined xG’s of 3.05, 3.35, 3.19,3.19, 3.49, 1.92, and 1.82.

Coincidentally, their last two games saw over 2.5 goals for the lowest xG yet for them.

The visitors on Saturday are Crewe. Lee Bell’s side has seen over 2.5 goals land in 86% of games, with the exception being a 1-0 defeat against a Bradford side whose games average 1.71 goals per game. The Alex have also scored at least two in 6/7 games.

It should be an entertaining, end-to-end game with plenty of goals.

• Expert: Matthew O’Regan
• Selection: Over 2.75 Goals
• Best Odds: 1.97
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 10/10 (TRACKED BET)

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco: Giordana to guide Garcilaso to victory

Peru, Liga 1 Clausura, Saturday, September 16th, 22:00 (UK)

I am taking a trip to Cusco this week as ground sharers Deportivo Garcilaso and Cusco face off in round 12. Both teams can score, and I’m here to share why.

Fortunately for us, this hasn’t been factored into the prices. Cusco have been dire on the road, collecting one point, losing four, scoring twice, and conceding nine goals in the process.

However, at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, they’ve accumulated 12 points from six matches, scoring eight goals. In fact, they’ve only failed to score once at “home” in 25 matches – and they had a man sent off in the 18th minute on that occasion.

Can Garcilaso keep their end of the bargain? Well, their form at this stadium has been impressive enough, but they also have a not-so-secret weapon set to lead the line.

In 2023 to date, Santiago Giordana has scored 22 goals in 26 matches – including nine in the Clausura – making him the top goal scorer to date. The 28-year-old Argentine has expressed his desire to impress clubs back in his native country and so is in the mood to impress.

Giordana will be looking for redemption after missing a penalty to draw level in a 2-1 defeat the last time these sides met, but the goal machine has been prolific, and he can score his 10th of the campaign.

• Expert: Nathan Joyes
• Selection: BTTS – Yes
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10 (TRACKED BET)

Leipzig vs Augsburg: Set for another goal-laden encounter

RB Leipzig lost their opening game of the season against Bayer Leverkusen but have responded remarkably in recent weeks. They beat Stuttgart at home and recorded an impressive away victory over Union Berlin. Marco Rose’s side have the potential to contend for the Bundesliga title this season and will want to build on their recent displays here.

Augsburg have two points after three matches. The side could be set for another battle against relegation this season. They avoided the relegation playoff by a single point last campaign.

RB Leipzig’s matches have seen the joint 2nd highest average goals per game in the league so far, with an average of 4.67 per game. Their 3-0 win over Union Berlin saw them earn their only clean sheet of the league season so far. They conceded five goals across their two meetings with Augsburg last season. Those matches finished 3-2 and 3-3.

We look set for a glut of goals once again. Augsburg’s matches this season have seen an average of 5.33 goals per game, with both teams scoring in all three of those matches. Enrico Maassen’s side even managed to find the net at the Allianz Arena when Bayern beat them.

• Expert: Scott Thornton
• Selection: Over 2.5 Goals In the Match & Both Teams To Score
• Best Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 9/10 (TRACKED BET)

Salernitana vs Torino: Juric’s men to get some joy against ‘masters of draws’

Italy, Serie A, 18th September 2023, 5.30 (UK time)

A goal in stoppage time gave Torino their first home win since March (4 draws and four defeats in this period). In an un-spectacular contest against Genoa, the Granata created more chances and showed that grit and determination typical of their manager, Ivan Juric.

The signing of Duvan Zapata from Atalanta gives Torino more options up-front, although with last year’s top-scorer Toni Sanabria sidelined because of a muscular injury, they’ll likely continue to play only with one up top. But behind the Colombian, the likes of Vlasic, Radonjic and Karamoh could create problems for the defence of Salernitana, who have kept only one clean sheet in their last 10 Serie A games.

The hosts lived dangerously last season: they scored plenty (30 at the Arechi, same as Fiorentina and more than Roma) but also conceded a lot. Their goalkeeper, Mexican legend Guillermo Ochoa, was often the man of the match, and this year is no different.

Salernitana have drawn 17 games in 2022/2023 and two in this campaign; they will probably still be without Boulaye Dia (14 goals last season) as well as holding midfielder Lassana Coulibaly. Last season, Torino collected 31 points away from home (more than Inter, Juventus, Milan and Roma) and did not deserve to lose by such a significant margin (4-1, with two dubious penalties awarded by VAR to AC Milan) in their recent game at San Siro.

• Expert: Daniele Fisichella
• Selection: Draw or Torino Double Chance and Over 1.5 Goals
• Best Odds: 1.74
• Bookmaker: Unibet
• Stake: 10/10 (TRACKED BET)

Vålerenga vs Aalesund: Must win game for Oslo giants in relegation battle

Norway, Eliteserien, Sunday September 17th, 18:15 (UK)

The worst home team faces the worst away team in the Eliteserien, and I can only presume Vålerenga’s terrible stats in front of their own fans is the only reason why they are so generously priced here. They have, at worst, a mid-table squad, and in pre-season, many predicted them to be a top-six outfit. It’s been a miserable year, but Geir Bakke took over as manager and has gradually steadied the ship. Vålerenga has lacked wins, but four consecutive draws, many of them vs high-flying opponents such as Molde and Viking, have to be very encouraging. They have lost 7 out of 10 home fixtures this season, but this is an ideal chance to register 3 points because Aalesund are atrocious on the road.

The visitors are rock bottom of the table on 11 points, and it looks highly likely they’ll be automatically relegated. This is surely a last-chance saloon for them, so they will have to be aggressive and take risks. Aalesund have played ten and lost ten away from home this season with a staggering 5:31 goal difference. They have lost seven of those matches by at least a two-goal margin, so the percentages are in favour of backing Vålerenga on a -1.25 Asian handicap. To make matters worse for Aalesund, they have injury doubts over defenders David Fallman and Nikolai Hopland.

Vålerenga definitely has the extra quality and class. They should realistically start to distance themselves from the relegation battle soon, and this is the easiest possible fixture the Oslo-based outfit can have right now. If they can get over their home issues, this could turn into a blowout if they perform as they have been vs better teams in this division.

• Expert: Steve Wyss
• Selection: Vålerenga -1.25 Asian Handicap
• Best Odds: 2.03
• Bookmaker: Bet365
• Stake: 7/10 (TRACKED BET)

Forest Green vs Doncaster: Green by name, Green by nature

England, League Two, Saturday, September 16th, 15:00 (UK)

When looking through the corner lines on bet365, my eye was drawn to a low one set for this game at The New Lawn. It might not be the most glamourous fixture of the weekend, with Doncaster yet to win and Forest Green notching just two of their own, but this looks like a good opportunity for one of the best bets on the EFL slate.

FGR are Green by name, and their Adam Choi corners page is a sea of green. David Horseman’s side maintained their 100% record in this market in Saturday’s 4-1 home defeat at the hands of Crewe, with the game hitting exactly 10.

Forest Green’s seven League Two games so far this term have averaged 11.4 corners per game, with their four here at the New Lawn seeing 14, 11, 11 & 10. Doncaster’s record sits at 72% for hitting over 9 corners (5/7), with their three road trips seeing 7, 10 & 10 – so a 75% record on that front.

Looking at the individual teams, Forest Green are averaging 6.5 corners per home game, while Grant McCann’s side averages 5.7 corners per 90 in their away matches. Despite a winless start and a potential lack of confidence, Donny can do their bit to help the count towards double figures.

Given Forest Green’s 100% record for hitting this line, I was slightly surprised to see the bar set so low, so roll the dice on the ball being in all four corners at The New Lawn.

• Expert: Matt Kirby
• Selection: Over 9.5 Corners
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10 (TRACKED BET)

Hartlepool vs Woking: Three strikes and it’s job done

England, National League, Saturday, September 16th, 15:00 (UK)

Heading to Hartlepool with my selection this weekend, after looking at the host’s results so far this season, you’d know why. Eight games, 36 goals, BTTS in each, with this selection returning profits in all.

Woking have seen 20 goals scored in their eight matches so far this season. Many of their outings have been against teams that have seen a low goal tally in the early stages. I expect this game to be a complete contrast.

It’ll be difficult to see this game feature less than three goals. Hartlepool have bagged multiple times in all and can easily cover this line on their own. Woking have found the back of the net in five separate matches so far and should be fancying themselves to improve that record against one of the leakiest defences in the division.

• Expert: Tom Winch
• Selection: Over 2.75 Asian Goal Line
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10 (TRACKED BET)

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