Real Betis vs. Sevilla Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
The Derbi Sevillano is back this Sunday as Real Betis host Sevilla at the Estadio Benito Villamarín for the 29th round of LaLiga. With Betis in 6th place on 44 points and Sevilla in 10th on 36, this local derby promises to deliver.
Betis have been in scintillating form with five consecutive wins, showcasing both offensive firepower and defensive solidity. They are averaging 2.4 goals per game and have kept two clean sheets in the last five games. Even if players like Giovani Lo Celso and Marc Roca are possibly missing, key players such as Isco and Antony are expected to step up.
Sevilla, on the other hand, face challenges with injuries and suspensions, including key absences such as Lucien Agoumé and Djibril Sow. They have still managed respectable performances away from home, scoring in 71% of their matches. However, potential distractions, such as the rumoured transfer of Loïc Badé, might impact their focus.
The match, officiated by Mateo Busquets, comes with an expectation of high intensity and several cards, as past derbies have shown.
Betis are the favourites, backed at 1.87 odds, but considering the resilience of Sevilla, a draw could also be on the cards. The weather could also play a role, with rain and 8°C forecasted, promising a fiercely competitive encounter.
Recommended bet: Draw.
Real Betis vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting tip
| Real Betis vs Sevilla Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.47 |
- The Derbi Sevillano often results in close matches, with three of the last five encounters ending in draws.
- Sevilla’s resilience away, scoring in 71% of their away games this season, suggests they can hold off Betis.
- Both teams’ recent form indicates balanced competition; Betis’ strong form contrasts with Sevilla’s ability to grind out results despite player absences.
Real Betis vs Sevilla Odds
| Real Betis vs Sevilla Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Real Betis | 1.87 |
| Draw | 3.47 |
| Sevilla | 4.24 |
Real Betis comes into this local derby as the bookmakers’ favorite, with odds of 1.87 highlighting their strong home form. A draw offers solid value at 3.47, considering the historical tendency for close matches between these teams. Sevilla, despite their mid-table position and recent form, are outsiders with odds of 4.24.
Expect a tightly contested match, influenced by recent suspensions and injuries for both teams.
Real Betis Team Analysis
Real Betis Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | Real Betis | 2025-03-16 | LaLiga | 2-3 (Win) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Real Betis | 2025-03-13 | Conference League | 0-4 (Win) |
| Real Betis | Las Palmas | 2025-03-09 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Real Betis | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 2025-03-06 | Conference League | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Real Betis | Real Madrid | 2025-03-01 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Win) |
Real Betis is in exceptional form, having won four of their last five games, including an impressive 4-0 away win in the Conference League and a vital 2-1 triumph against Real Madrid. They averaged 2.4 goals per game over this stretch and kept two clean sheets, demonstrating both offensive flair and defensive solidity. Their recent success has bolstered their ambitions as they remain strong contenders for European competition spots. Arsenal’s visitors will have a tough task keeping them at bay.
Key Players
Antony, Isco, and Juan Hernandez will be pivotal in driving the team forward, especially given their recent scoring form. The potential absence of Giovani Lo Celso due to a muscle injury may affect Betis’s creativity, but the depth in their squad should offer adequate cover.
Suspensions & Injuries
Real Betis will miss Nobel Mendy (knee) and have doubts over Marc Roca (foot) and Lo Celso (muscle), which could impact their lineup.
Tactics and Formation
Manuel Pellegrini has favored a 4-2-3-1 formation lately, emphasizing a solid defense and dynamism in the attack. With players like Antony and Isco, Betis is likely to focus on controlling midfield and exploiting width to break down Sevilla’s defense.
Real Betis Key Players
Antony, Isco, and Juan Hernandez will be pivotal in driving Real Betis forward, especially given their recent impressive form. Antony has revitalized his career at Betis, contributing significantly in recent matches. Isco continues to be the creative force in the midfield, pulling the strings and making things happen for his team.
The potential absence of Giovani Lo Celso due to a muscle injury might impact Betis’s creativity, but the depth in their squad should offer adequate cover.
Expect exciting individual battles on the pitch, particularly Antony against Sevilla’s left-back Adrià Pedrosa and Juan Hernandez against the centre-back duo of Loïc Badé and Kike Salas.
Expected lineup for Real Betis:
- Goalkeeper: Adrian
- Defenders: Youssouf Sabaly, Marc Bartra, Diego Llorente, Romain Perraud
- Midfielders: Sergi Altimira, Johnny, Antony Matheus dos Santos, Isco, Jesús Rodriguez
- Forward: Cucho Hernández
Real Betis Suspensions & Injuries
Real Betis are facing a few injury concerns leading up to this match, which could impact their performance. Most notably, Giovani Lo Celso and Marc Roca are doubtful, with Lo Celso nursing a muscle injury and Roca dealing with a foot injury. Nobel Mendy is back in training after recovering from a knee injury but remains a doubt.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Nobel Mendy | Knee injury | Back in training |
| Marc Roca | Foot injury | Doubtful |
| Giovani Lo Celso | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
The potential absence of Lo Celso might weaken Betis’s midfield creativity, putting added pressure on Isco and Antony to deliver. However, their recent form and depth should provide some assurance to their fans.
Real Betis Tactics and Formation
Real Betis Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Cucho Hernández
- Midfield Trio: Antony Matheus dos Santos, Isco, Jesús Rodriguez
- Defensive Pairing: Marc Bartra and Diego Llorente
Manuel Pellegrini has Betis playing an attacking 4-2-3-1 formation, with Isco orchestrating the play from an attacking midfield position. In the absence of Giovani Lo Celso, the creative burden falls on Isco, while Antony and Jesús Rodriguez stretch the defense out wide. Defensively, the team relies on the experienced pairing of Marc Bartra and Diego Llorente, who have been key to their two clean sheets in the last five games. Real Betis enjoys dictating the tempo and is particularly strong in the second half, especially between the 61-75 minute interval, utilizing their squad depth effectively.
Sevilla Team Analysis
Sevilla Recent Performance
Sevilla’s recent form has been a mixed bag, highlighted by gritty performances that balance wins with a couple of draws and a solitary loss. They have shown resilience, particularly in away matches, where they average 1.40 goals scored per game and have managed to keep clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 encounters.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Athletic Club | 2025-03-16 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Real Sociedad | Sevilla | 2025-03-09 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Win) |
| Rayo Vallecano | Sevilla | 2025-03-01 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Sevilla | Mallorca | 2025-02-24 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Real Valladolid | Sevilla | 2025-02-16 | LaLiga | 0-4 (Win) |
Sevilla has been sturdy on the road, reflected in their 71% success rate of scoring in away fixtures. Despite their defensive challenges, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, they remain a formidable opponent able to hold their ground and, at times, upset stronger teams. Their recent 4-0 victory over Real Valladolid exemplifies their potential to cause surprises.
Sevilla Key Players
Sevilla’s lineup features several influential players who could make a significant impact in this derby. Dodi Lukebakio, the top scorer with 11 goals, will be key in spearheading the attack. His match-up against Real Betis defenders Marc Bartra and Diego Llorente will be one to watch. Saúl Ñíguez, expected to control the midfield, and Ørjan Nyland in goal, provides defensive stability. With Lukebakio joined by Isaac Romero and Ruben Vargas up front, Sevilla has the potential to unsettle Betis’ defense, especially with their tendency to concede 1.3 goals on average per game.
Expected lineup for Sevilla:
- Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
- Defenders: José Ángel Carmona, Loïc Badé, Kike Salas, Adrià Pedrosa
- Midfielders: Juanlu Sánchez, Nemanja Gudelj, Saúl Ñíguez
- Attackers: Dodi Lukebakio, Isaac Romero, Ruben Vargas
Sevilla Suspensions & Injuries
Sevilla will be missing some key players due to suspensions and injuries, which could significantly impact their performance in this derby.
Suspensions
Two crucial midfielders will be unavailable for selection due to one-match suspensions from accumulated yellow cards:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Lucien Agoumé | Yellow cards | 2025-04-06 |
| Djibril Sow | Yellow cards | 2025-04-06 |
Injuries
While Sevilla has some concerns on the injury front, only one player’s status remains uncertain:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi | Thigh injury | Unknown |
The absence of Agoumé and Sow will demand tactical adjustments, with Juanlu Sánchez and Nemanja Gudelj likely stepping up to fill the void in midfield. The team must also cope without the defensive solidity provided by Kouassi, meaning others will need to raise their game.
Sevilla Tactics and Formation
Sevilla’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Dodi Lukebakio, with 11 goals this season.
In this derby, Sevilla will likely stick to their 4-3-3 formation, which has provided a balance between defensive solidity and attacking prowess.
- Midfield Trio: Juanlu Sánchez, Nemanja Gudelj, and Saúl Ñíguez
With Lucien Agoumé and Djibril Sow suspended, Sánchez and Gudelj are expected to step up. Saúl will provide the creativity and ball progression to keep the midfield functioning smoothly.
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games indicate a solid defensive setup.
- Notable Strategy: Look for strong pressure during the 61-75-minute interval, as Sevilla tends to amp up their attacking efforts during this period.
Expect Sevilla to rely on quick transitions and maintaining a compact defensive shape to counteract Real Betis’s attacking threats.
Real Betis vs Sevilla Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Real Betis | 2024-10-06 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Real Betis | Sevilla | 2024-04-28 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Sevilla | Real Betis | 2023-11-12 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Real Betis | Sevilla | 2023-08-03 | Club Friendlies | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Sevilla | Real Betis | 2023-05-21 | LaLiga | 0-0 (Draw) |
In recent meetings, there has been a pattern of closely contested matches, with three of the last five encounters ending in draws. Sevilla edged out a win in their most recent clash, adding extra spice to this upcoming derby.
Expect another intense battle, typical of city derbies.
Odds accurate as of 28.03.2025 19:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
