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Osasuna vs. Valencia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 2 March 2025 - bettingexpert

Osasuna-Valencia
LaLiga
Fulltime
OsasunaOsasuna
3 - 3
ValenciaValencia
(HT 3-2)

This LaLiga encounter at Estadio El Sadar on 2 March 2025 promises intrigue as Osasuna hosts Valencia. The match kicks off at 20:00 with Mario Melero officiating, and both teams have something to fight for.
Osasuna, currently 12th in the standings with 32 points, are the bookmakers’ favourites. Despite a mixed bag of results lately (LDDLW), a win here could set them up nicely before their tough next fixture against Barcelona. Vicente Moreno’s team has been fairly consistent at home, scoring in 92% of their matches. However, their defensive frailties are clear, with no clean sheets in their last five games.
On the other hand, Valencia sits in a precarious 18th position with 23 points. Carlos Corberán’s men have shown glimpses of improvement, collecting seven points from their last three games (LDWLW). However, they are still struggling overall and are desperate for points to escape relegation. Valencia, dealing with key injuries such as Thierry Correia and potentially Hugo Duro, will need their remaining stars to step up.
Given the recent history between these sides and their current form, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome. Both clubs need the points for different reasons, which may result in a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.
Match Prediction: Draw.

Osasuna vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the recent form and match facts, our recommended betting tip for this LaLiga encounter is a draw. Both teams have exhibited tendencies towards drawing matches, and with Osasuna’s inconsistent home performances and Valencia’s recent resilience, this appears to be a likely outcome.

Osasuna vs Valencia Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Draw 3.3
  • Both teams have drawn two of their last five matches, indicating a propensity for evenly matched games.
  • Osasuna has conceded goals in nearly every recent fixture, and Valencia struggles defensively as well, which could balance out into a draw.
  • Valencia has managed to gather seven points in their last three matches, showing signs of improvement and making them tough to beat.

Osasuna vs Valencia Odds

The bookmakers have made their predictions for this La Liga clash, and it’s interesting to see the numbers laid out.

Osasuna vs Valencia Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Osasuna 2.27
Draw 3.15
Valencia 3.32

Osasuna is the favourite, likely due to their home advantage at Estadio El Sadar and better league position. However, with Valencia showing recent improvement under new management, the 3.32 odds for an away win are tempting. Given both teams’ tendencies to draw matches, the 3.15 odds for a draw might offer the best value.

Osasuna Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Here’s a look at Osasuna’s recent matches:

Home team Away team Result
Celta Vigo Osasuna 1-0 (Loss)
Osasuna Real Madrid 1-1 (Draw)
Mallorca Osasuna 1-1 (Draw)
Real Sociedad Osasuna 2-0 (Loss)
Osasuna Real Sociedad 2-1 (Win)

Osasuna’s recent form has been a bit mixed, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. They haven’t managed any clean sheets in these games, averaging 0.80 goals scored per match.

Despite their struggles, they sit in 12th place with 32 points and have a knack for scoring at home, having found the net in 92% of their home matches this season. This home scoring record could be pivotal as they look to bounce back against Valencia.

Osasuna Key Players

Osasuna’s main threat lies with their top scorer Ante Budimir, who has netted 13 goals this season. Budimir’s presence up front will be crucial in breaking down Valencia’s defense.
With Lucas Torró and Jon Moncayola orchestrating the midfield, their ability to control the tempo will be pivotal.
Another key player to watch is Bryan Zaragoza, who will be providing width and creativity on the wings.

Expected lineup for Osasuna:

  • Goalkeeper: Sergio Herrera
  • Defenders: Jesús Areso, Alejandro Catena, Flavien Boyomo, Juan Cruz
  • Midfielders: Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torró, Rubén García, Aimar Oroz, Bryan Zaragoza
  • Forward: Ante Budimir

Individual battles to keep an eye on include Budimir vs Valencia’s defense, particularly César Tárrega.

Osasuna Suspensions & Injuries

There are no suspensions or injuries reported for Osasuna.
This clean bill of health puts Osasuna in a strong position as they can field their best XI, giving them a crucial advantage in the match against Valencia. With an important game against Barcelona coming up, keeping their squad fit and available is pivotal for Vicente Moreno’s plans.

Osasuna Tactics and Formation

Osasuna Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Ante Budimir
  • Midfield Duo: Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torró
  • Defensive Setup: Jesús Areso, Alejandro Catena, Flavien Boyomo, Juan Cruz

Osasuna, under Vicente Moreno, favors a balanced 4-2-3-1 formation that provides both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. With Ante Budimir leading the line, they rely heavily on his goal-scoring ability.

The presence of midfield anchors Jon Moncayola and Lucas Torró offers protection to their backline and freedom for more creative roles. Bryan Zaragoza and Rubén García on the wings are expected to provide width and stretch Valencia’s defense.

Expect Osasuna to focus on strong wing play and controlling the central areas to dictate the game’s tempo.

Valencia Team Analysis

Valencia Recent Performance

Valencia is finding it hard to solidify their position this season, as reflected in their recent form of LDWLW in the last five matches. Although they have shown some resilience by beating Celta Vigo and Leganes, heavy defeats to Barcelona and Atletico Madrid have highlighted their struggles.

Home team Away team Result
Valencia Atletico Madrid 0-3 (Loss)
Villarreal Valencia 1-1 (Draw)
Valencia Leganes 2-0 (Win)
Valencia Barcelona 0-5 (Loss)
Valencia Celta Vigo 2-1 (Win)

Despite conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, they have managed a clean sheet and are averaging one goal per game in their last five outings. This suggests a team that’s capable but inconsistent, showing flashes of potential under new manager Carlos Corberán.

Valencia Key Players

Valencia will look to their pivotal players to turn the tide against Osasuna. Hugo Duro, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, might be doubtful due to a contusion, but if he plays, he’ll be crucial. His potential absence places additional pressure on players like Sadiq Umar and Iván Jaime to step up in attack.
Expected lineup for Valencia:

  • Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • Defenders: Dimitri Foulquier, César Tárrega, Cristhian Mosquera, Jose Gaya
  • Midfielders: Luis Rioja, Javi Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea, Iván Jaime
  • Forwards: Diego López, Sadiq Umar

Keep an eye on Javi Guerra in the midfield and Sadiq Umar up front, who could be significant threats. The battle between Umar and Osasuna’s defenders, especially Alejandro Catena, will be exciting to watch.

Valencia Suspensions & Injuries

Valencia comes into this match with a couple of notable issues on the injury front. Hugo Duro, their leading scorer with seven goals, is dealing with a contusion and is doubtful for this fixture. Meanwhile, Thierry Correia is out for the season with a cruciate ligament injury, which significantly weakens their defense.

Player Injury Expected return
Thierry Correia Cruciate ligament injury Out for season
Hugo Duro Contusion Doubtful

These injuries are expected to impact Valencia’s performance, particularly if Hugo Duro is unable to play. His absence would put additional pressure on their remaining forwards, like Sadiq Umar, to deliver up front. This could be a deciding factor in their struggle to secure points and avoid relegation.

Valencia Tactics and Formation

Valencia’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-4-2
  • Key Forward: Sadiq Umar
  • Midfield Quartet: Luis Rioja, Javi Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea, Ivan Jaime
  • Defensive Unit: Giorgi Mamardashvili, Dimitri Foulquier, César Tárrega, Cristhian Mosquera, Jose Gaya
  • Notable Strategy: High pressing and exploiting the wings for crosses.

Valencia has been resilient under Carlos Corberán, focusing on a balanced approach between defence and attack. With Hugo Duro doubtful, the attacking responsibility falls on Sadiq Umar, who needs to step up. Their defence, despite struggles, aims to remain compact, while the midfield looks to control possession and create opportunities, particularly during counter-attacks. Valencia’s defensive discipline will be crucial, especially late in the game, as they’ve conceded most goals in the 76-90 minute interval.

Osasuna vs Valencia Head-to-Head Statistics

Let’s look at the recent encounters between Osasuna and Valencia. These statistics can offer a deeper insight into the teams’ past performances against each other.

Home Away Result
Valencia Osasuna 0-0
Osasuna Valencia 0-1
Valencia Osasuna 1-2
Valencia Osasuna 1-0
Osasuna Valencia 1-2

In the last five meetings, Valencia seems to have the upper hand with three wins, including a narrow 1-0 victory in April 2024. However, Osasuna managed to secure a win in their clash back in August 2023.

The most recent fixture ended in a goalless draw, indicating a closely-fought battle. This historical context suggests we should expect another competitive affair, with both teams likely to keep it tight at the back.

Odds accurate as of 28.02.2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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