Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 24 January

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips. This Saturday, 24 January, LaLiga action continues as Rayo Vallecano hosts Osasuna at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas. Both teams are eager to make a significant impact on the league standings, making this clash an intriguing prospect for fans and bettors alike.

Rayo Vallecano will look to capitalise on their home advantage at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, while Osasuna aim to upset the hosts with a strong away performance. As both teams vie for crucial points in LaLiga, this encounter promises to be a competitive and closely contested affair. With both sides keen to climb the league table, this match offers plenty of potential for those interested in betting tips.

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Draw	3.13

Given the current form and standings of both teams, a draw appears to be a sensible betting tip for this match. Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna have been almost evenly matched this season, both earning four points from their last three games. Rayo Vallecano’s home record (2-6-1) and Osasuna’s away record (0-2-8) further highlight the likelihood of a closely contested match.

• Both teams have been sharing points frequently, with Rayo’s home draws and Osasuna’s away struggles.
• The defensive stats show both teams conceding slightly over a goal per game, indicating a balanced match-up.
• Historical data suggests a draw, with Rayo Vallecano ending in stalemates in their last four home games.

Betting Odds

Rayo Vallecano step onto their home turf at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas as the favourites, with betting odds at 2.11. Osasuna, however, should not be underestimated, coming in at 3.74, which could tempt those looking for an upset.

Betting Tip	Odds
Rayo Vallecano to win	2.11
Draw	3.13
Osasuna to win	3.74

The draw is priced at 3.13, suggesting a tightly contested match could be on the cards. For those eyeing goal markets, both teams have shown they can find the net, making the over 2.5 goals market worth considering.

Rayo Vallecano Analysis & Past Performance

Rayo Vallecano’s recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. Their recent outings include victories over Mallorca (2-1) and Granada (3-1), but they have also suffered defeats in their most recent fixtures, such as a 3-0 loss to Celta Vigo and a 2-0 defeat at Deportivo Alavés in the Copa del Rey.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Celta Vigo	Rayo Vallecano	3 – 0 (Loss)	LaLiga	18 Jan 2026
Deportivo Alavés	Rayo Vallecano	2 – 0 (Loss)	Copa del Rey	14 Jan 2026
Rayo Vallecano	Mallorca	2 – 1 (Win)	LaLiga	11 Jan 2026
Granada	Rayo Vallecano	1 – 3 (Win)	Copa del Rey	6 Jan 2026
Rayo Vallecano	Getafe	1 – 1 (Draw)	LaLiga	2 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• LLWWD

Offensively, Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.20 goals per match in their last five games, highlighting some inconsistency in attack. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game, with no clean sheets in this period, indicating vulnerabilities at the back. Their home form is slightly better, with two wins and three draws in their last five matches at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, suggesting they are more resilient at home. Key player Jorge de Frutos leads the scoring charts for Rayo, contributing six goals this season. Currently positioned 13th in LaLiga with 22 points, Rayo Vallecano will need to address defensive frailties and improve their goal-scoring consistency to climb the league standings.

Rayo Vallecano Suspensions & Injuries

Rayo Vallecano are facing a challenging situation with several key absences due to injuries and suspensions. The most notable suspension is Nobel Mendy, who is serving a one-match ban following a red card. This creates a void in defence, potentially filled by Jozhua Vertrouwd, who brings a different style and perhaps less experience, which could test Rayo’s defensive resilience against Osasuna.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Nobel Mendy	Red card	1	Unknown

Injury-wise, Rayo Vallecano are without Khalid Abdul Mumin, who is back in training but not yet match-fit, as well as Luiz Felipe and Andrei Florin Rațiu, both out until early February. Unai López Cabrera and Iván Balliu are doubtful, which could affect midfield creativity and defensive depth. Sergio Camello’s ankle concern adds to the attacking woes, potentially limiting Rayo’s options up front.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Khalid Abdul Mumin	Cruciate ligament injury	Back in training
Luiz Felipe	Muscle injury	Early February 2026
Unai López Cabrera	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Andrei Florin Rațiu	Hamstring injury	Early February 2026
Sergio Camello	Ankle injury	Doubtful
Iván Balliu	Physical discomfort	Doubtful

With these unavailabilities, coach Iñigo Pérez may need to adjust his tactics, perhaps opting for a more conservative approach to compensate for the defensive and midfield gaps. The absences might also influence betting markets, with Rayo Vallecano potentially seen as less formidable, given the weakened squad depth.

Rayo Vallecano Key Players

Jorge de Frutos stands out as Rayo Vallecano’s top scorer with six goals this season. His role as the primary forward will be critical in breaking down Osasuna’s defence. De Frutos is known for his sharp finishing and intelligent positioning, making him a constant threat in the attacking third. His ability to exploit spaces and link up with midfielders such as Isi Palazón and Álvaro García could be pivotal in Rayo’s tactical setup.

In midfield, Isi Palazón and Álvaro García are key players who add creativity and flair. Palazón’s vision and passing range allow him to dictate the tempo, while García’s pace and dribbling skills can stretch opposition defences. Defensively, Florian Lejeune’s presence offers solidity at the back. His strength in aerial duels and composed distribution from defence will be vital in maintaining Rayo’s defensive shape.

Expected lineup for Rayo Vallecano:

• Goalkeeper: Augusto Batalla
• Defenders: Alfonso Espino, Florian Lejeune, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Pep Chavarría
• Midfielders: Pedro Díaz, Carlos Martín, Isi Palazón, Álvaro García, Gerard Gumbau
• Forward: Jorge de Frutos

Rayo Vallecano Tactics and Formation

Rayo Vallecano Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Jorge de Frutos
• Midfield Pivot: Pedro Díaz and Carlos Martín
• Defensive Challenges: Only one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing with emphasis on wide play

Rayo Vallecano’s 4-2-3-1 formation is designed to provide balance across the pitch, with Pedro Díaz and Carlos Martín forming the midfield pivot. This setup allows them to control the tempo and provide defensive cover while supporting attacks. Isi Palazón and Álvaro García, operating on the flanks, offer width and creativity, crucial for breaking down opposition.

Defensively, Rayo Vallecano have faced challenges, keeping just one clean sheet in their last five outings. With Florian Lejeune and Jozhua Vertrouwd at the heart of defence, they need to improve coordination to prevent conceding goals. The full-back duo of Alfonso Espino and Pep Chavarría will be tasked with balancing defensive duties and supporting wide attacks.

Offensively, Rayo tend to focus on high pressing and exploiting spaces on the wings. Jorge de Frutos, as the lone forward, plays a pivotal role in converting chances, supported by the creative efforts of the midfielders behind him. Despite recent struggles, their tactical approach remains aggressive, aiming to unsettle opponents with persistent pressure.

Osasuna Analysis & Past Performance

Osasuna have experienced mixed results in their recent outings, securing two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. Their recent victory against Real Oviedo (3-2) highlights their offensive capabilities, with Ante Budimir being a key figure, having scored eight goals this season.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Osasuna	Real Oviedo	3 – 2 (Win)	LaLiga	17 Jan 2026
Real Sociedad	Osasuna	N/A	Copa del Rey	13 Jan 2026
Girona	Osasuna	1 – 0 (Loss)	LaLiga	10 Jan 2026
Osasuna	Athletic Club	1 – 1 (Draw)	LaLiga	3 Jan 2026
Osasuna	Deportivo Alavés	3 – 0 (Win)	LaLiga	20 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

• WLLDW

Currently ranked 12th in LaLiga, Osasuna’s attack has been efficient, averaging 2.40 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per match, with only one clean sheet in this period, indicating room for improvement in their defensive solidity. Their away performance has been less impressive, with no wins in their last five away games, contributing to a win ratio of 0.40 overall but a disappointing 0.00 away from home.

Osasuna Suspensions & Injuries

Osasuna will be without Alejandro Catena due to a suspension resulting from a recent red card, which leaves a gap in their defensive line. With Catena out, Flavien Boyomo is likely to step in, offering a solid alternative but lacking the same level of experience and leadership that Catena provides. This change may necessitate a more cautious approach from the backline, potentially affecting Osasuna’s ability to build from the back with the same confidence.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Alejandro Catena	Red card	1	Unknown

In terms of injuries, Osasuna are dealing with the absence of Iker Benito, who is sidelined for the season with a cruciate ligament injury, and Aimar Oroz, who is expected to return in early February 2026 due to a knee injury. The absence of Oroz in midfield could be felt, as his dynamic play and creativity are missed. Rubén García and Moi Gómez will need to step up to fill the creative void left by Oroz, ensuring the team maintains fluidity in attack.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Iker Benito	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Aimar Oroz	Knee injury	Early February 2026

The unavailability of these players may influence Osasuna’s tactical setup, possibly prompting coach Alessio Lisci to adopt a more conservative strategy to compensate for the weakened defensive and midfield options. Betting markets might see these absences as a potential opportunity for Rayo Vallecano to exploit, especially given the defensive reshuffle.

Osasuna Key Players

Osasuna’s key player up front is Ante Budimir, the team’s top scorer with eight goals this season. His prowess in front of goal and ability to hold up play make him a constant threat, particularly in set-piece situations where his aerial ability shines. Budimir’s finishing skills will be crucial against Rayo Vallecano, as he looks to exploit any defensive errors.

In midfield, Rubén García and Moi Gómez are pivotal to Osasuna’s tactical approach. García, known for his creativity and vision, will aim to orchestrate play and provide service to Budimir. Meanwhile, Gómez’s work rate and ability to transition from defence to attack can be instrumental in maintaining midfield dominance. Lucas Torró’s presence as a defensive midfielder is also essential, offering protection to the backline and breaking up opposition play.

Expected lineup for Osasuna:

• Goalkeeper: Sergio Herrera
• Defence: Flavien Boyomo, Javi Galán, Jorge Herrando, Valentin Rosier
• Midfield: Lucas Torró, Victor Muñoz, Rubén García, Moi Gómez, Sheraldo Becker
• Forward: Ante Budimir

Defensively, Flavien Boyomo and Javi Galán will be key figures. Boyomo’s solid defensive contributions and Galán’s ability to support forward plays from the back make them crucial in both defending and initiating counter-attacks. Their performances will be vital in keeping Rayo Vallecano’s attack at bay and ensuring a strong defensive base for Osasuna.

Osasuna Tactics and Formation

Osasuna Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ante Budimir
• Midfield Pivot: Lucas Torró and Victor Muñoz
• Defensive Strength: Limited clean sheets in recent games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on controlled possession and attacking through the wings.

Osasuna’s 4-2-3-1 formation focuses on maintaining a strong midfield presence, with Lucas Torró and Victor Muñoz providing balance between defence and attack. This setup allows them to control possession effectively, as seen in their 51% possession against Real Oviedo.

Defensively, Flavien Boyomo joins Javi Galán, Jorge Herrando, and Valentin Rosier to form a backline that aims to be solid but has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in four of their last five outings.

Offensively, the team relies heavily on Ante Budimir, their top scorer, to convert chances. The roles of Rubén García and Moi Gómez on the wings are crucial for creating opportunities, with Sheraldo Becker adding pace and width. Despite recent mixed results, their strategy revolves around exploiting the flanks and creating goal-scoring chances through crosses and quick interplays.

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Head-to-Head Record

Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna have faced off 26 times, with Osasuna holding a slight edge in the head-to-head record with 11 wins to Rayo’s 9, alongside six draws. The last encounter saw Osasuna triumph 2-0 at home in a LaLiga fixture back in September 2025.

The last time Rayo Vallecano hosted Osasuna, they secured a 3-1 victory in September 2024, showing their capability to perform well in front of their home crowd. Historically, matches at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas have been closely contested, with Rayo often finding the back of the net.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Osasuna	Rayo Vallecano	2 – 0	La Liga	2025-09-14
Osasuna	Rayo Vallecano	1 – 1	La Liga	2025-01-19
Rayo Vallecano	Osasuna	3 – 1	La Liga	2024-09-16
Rayo Vallecano	Osasuna	2 – 1	La Liga	2024-04-20
Osasuna	Rayo Vallecano	1 – 0	La Liga	2023-12-15