Deportivo Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
Get set for an intriguing LaLiga clash at Estadio Mendizorroza as Deportivo Alaves take on Rayo Vallecano on 29 March 2025 at 17:30. This match holds significant importance for both sides, with Alaves fighting to stay above the relegation zone and Vallecano aiming to solidify their place in the top half.
Currently, Alaves are 17th in the standings with 27 points, just a breath away from the danger zone. They’re coming off a mixed streak of performances (DWDLD), and their cautious approach makes a draw a likely outcome. Eduardo Coudet’s side will look to their top scorer Kike Garcia to deliver, especially given he’s netted 11 goals this season.
Rayo Vallecano, sitting comfortably at 9th with 37 points, has struggled lately with their recent form (DLDLL). They’ll miss Andrei Ratiu, a standout performer whose impressive season has caught the eye of top teams like Barcelona. Coach Iñigo Pérez will need to innovate to cover this gap, especially against strong opposition.
With referee Jose Munuera overseeing the game, both teams’ defensive records and recent form suggest a tight match. Recommended bet: a draw.
Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tip
For this upcoming LaLiga fixture on 29 March 2025, the most prudent betting recommendation is to back a draw. Both Deportivo Alaves and Rayo Vallecano have shown a propensity for draws in their recent matches, coupled with their current form and statistical data. Here’s a table to distill the betting tip clearly:
| Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 2.97 |
- Both teams are showing a pattern of draws recently: Alaves come into this match with two draws in their last five games, while Rayo Vallecano have also drawn twice in the same period.
- Cautious approach from Alaves: Given their precarious position just above the relegation zone, Alaves will likely aim to avoid a loss rather than risk too much for a win.
- Rayo Vallecano’s struggles against stronger teams: Despite ranking higher, Vallecano have found it difficult to secure wins against formidable opponents, often resulting in tight, low-scoring games.
Betting on a draw seems to be the safest choice given the form and circumstances surrounding both teams.
Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Odds
For those looking to place a bet on the upcoming LaLiga fixture between Deportivo Alaves and Rayo Vallecano, here are the current odds:
| Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Deportivo Alaves | 2.23 |
| Draw | 2.97 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 3.63 |
Deportivo Alaves are the bookmaker’s favourites, reflecting their home advantage and slightly better recent form.
Rayo Vallecano’s odds indicate less confidence in their ability to secure a win, largely due to their challenges in breaking down stronger defenses.
Considering both teams’ tendency to draw, the odds for a draw (2.97) might be an enticing option for bettors.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-03-14 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Villarreal | 2025-03-08 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Mallorca | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-03-02 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Espanyol | 2025-02-22 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Leganes | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-02-15 | LaLiga | 3-3 (Draw) |
Deportivo Alaves have had a mixed run of form recently, with a record of DWDLD in their last five matches. They have managed to score an average of 1.40 goals per game during this period and have secured one clean sheet. Despite the inconsistency, their ability to find the net in 71% of their games shows that they have the attacking potential to trouble most defenses. However, issues at the back remain a concern as they have conceded 1.5 goals on average per game this season.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
Deportivo Alaves will be relying heavily on their top scorer, Kike Garcia, who has netted 11 goals this season. His ability to disrupt defenses will be crucial in breaking Rayo Vallecano’s backline. Pairing him in the attack is Carlos Martin, whose dynamic play can create numerous scoring opportunities. The midfield trio of Joan Jordán, Carlos Vicente, and Carles Aleña is anticipated to control the tempo of the game, providing both defensive cover and creative thrust.
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Santiago Mouriño, Manu Sanchez
- Midfielders: Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Joan Jordán, Carles Aleña
- Attackers: Kike Garcia, Carlos Martin
Individual battles to look out for include Kike Garcia against Rayo’s potential defender, Andrei Ratiu, whose performances have caught the eye of major clubs like Barcelona.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
Deportivo Alaves have a couple of notable absentees due to injuries, which could impact their squad depth and tactical options for the upcoming match against Rayo Vallecano.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tomás Conechny | Skull fracture | Late April 2025 |
| Antonio Sivera | Head injury | Early April 2025 |
The absence of Tomás Conechny, due to a skull fracture until late April 2025, along with Antonio Sivera recovering from a head injury and expected to return in early April 2025, means Deportivo Alaves could be slightly constrained in their lineup choices. This situation may lead Eduardo Coudet to lean on his backup players more, specifically in the midfield and goalkeeping positions.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forward: Kike Garcia
- Midfield Quartet: Carlos Vicente, Joan Jordán, Ander Guevara, Carles Aleña
- Defensive Setup: 4-man backline featuring Nahuel Tenaglia and Manu Sanchez on the flanks
- Goalkeeper: Adrian Rodriguez (expected due to Sivera’s injury)
Eduardo Coudet will likely stick to a 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing a balanced approach between defense and attack. Kike Garcia is expected to spearhead the attack with strong contributions from the wings, while a solid midfield quartet ensures effective ball distribution and defensive coverage. With only one clean sheet in their last five games, the defensive line will be crucial to keeping Rayo Vallecano at bay.
Rayo Vallecano Team Analysis
Rayo Vallecano Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Sociedad | 2025-03-16 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 2025-03-09 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Rayo Vallecano | Sevilla | 2025-03-01 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal | 2025-02-22 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Barcelona | Rayo Vallecano | 2025-02-17 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
Rayo Vallecano has struggled recently, indicated by their last five-match record of DLDLL. During this stretch, they’ve managed to score an average of 0.80 goals per game but haven’t secured any clean sheets. Their defensive challenges are noticeable, with no shutouts in their last five outings, leaving them vulnerable to conceding goals. Despite their mid-table 9th position, they need to tighten their defense and find more scoring opportunities to shift their momentum positively.
Rayo Vallecano Key Players
Expected lineup for Rayo Vallecano:
- Goalkeeper: Augusto Batalla
- Defenders: Andrei Florin Rațiu, Pelayo Fernández, Aridane Hernández, Pep Chavarría
- Midfielders: Jorge de Frutos, Pedro Díaz Fanjul, Pathé Ciss, Álvaro García Rivera
- Attackers: Adrián Embarba, Oscar Trejo
Key players for Rayo Vallecano will certainly include Jorge de Frutos, the team’s top scorer with 4 goals this season.
Pathé Ciss and Pedro Díaz Fanjul in midfield will be pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo.
Expect de Frutos to challenge Deportivo Alaves’ defense, particularly against center-backs Abdel Abqar and Santiago Mouriño.
Oscar Trejo’s playmaking skills will also be something to watch, hoping to capitalize on the spaces created by Álvaro García’s runs.
The key battle will likely be between Rayo’s attackers and Alaves’ sturdy backline.
Rayo Vallecano Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Raúl de Tomás | Illness | Doubtful |
| Jhonathan Montiel | Ankle injury | Doubtful |
| Sergio Camello | Foot injury | Doubtful |
| Isi Palazón | Knee injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Randy Nteka | Muscle injury | Early April 2025 |
| Khalid Abdul Mumin | Knee injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Pelayo Fernández | Muscle injury | Early April 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Florian Lejeune | Yellow cards | 1 match ban |
The injury list for Rayo Vallecano is quite extensive and could significantly impact their performance on the pitch.
With key players like Isi Palazón and Khalid Abdul Mumin sidelined with knee injuries, and both Raúl de Tomás and Jhonathan Montiel doubtful due to illness and ankle injuries, respectively, Iñigo Pérez has some tough decisions to make.
Additionally, the suspension of Florian Lejeune adds to the defensive woes, especially considering his experience and leadership at the back.
These absences might force Pérez to field a less familiar lineup, posing a challenge in maintaining team cohesion and overall strategy.
Rayo Vallecano Tactics and Formation
Rayo Vallecano’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Adrián Embarba
- Midfield Trio: Jorge de Frutos, Pedro Díaz, Pathé Ciss
- Defensive Strength: Despite recent struggles, they maintain solid organization at the back
Notable Strategy:
- Emphasis on quick transitions from defense to attack
- Utilization of wingers Jorge de Frutos and Álvaro García to stretch the opponent’s defense
- Central midfielders Pedro Díaz and Pathé Ciss focus on breaking up play and initiating counters
With several key players injured and Florian Lejeune suspended, Iñigo Pérez will need to rely on less familiar faces, impacting team cohesion and overall strategy. Expect tactical adjustments throughout the game.
Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Deportivo Alaves | 2024-10-26 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Rayo Vallecano | 2024-03-10 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Rayo Vallecano | Deportivo Alaves | 2023-09-15 | LaLiga | 2-0 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Rayo Vallecano | 2022-04-16 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Rayo Vallecano | Deportivo Alaves | 2021-12-18 | LaLiga | 2-0 (Win) |
The last five encounters between Deportivo Alaves and Rayo Vallecano have been a seesaw battle, with both teams demonstrating their capacity to secure victories at home.
Deportivo Alaves and Rayo Vallecano have each produced crucial wins, with the home advantage playing a significant role. Alaves took the spoils in their most recent meeting at Estadio Mendizorroza, with a narrow 1-0 victory.
Expect another tight clash this time around.
Odds accurate as of 27 March 2025, 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
