Las Palmas vs. Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 March 2025 - bettingexpert
The 28th round of LaLiga brings us a crucial relegation battle as Las Palmas host Deportivo Alavés at Estadio de Gran Canaria on 14 March 2025. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the table, with Las Palmas in 19th position and Alavés just one spot ahead in 18th. Las Palmas are struggling, having not won in their last nine games, while Alavés are looking to capitalize on Las Palmas’ poor form to move out of the relegation zone.
Despite missing key players due to injuries and suspensions, Alavés have shown slightly better form with a win and two draws in their last five matches. Las Palmas, on the other hand, are dealing with several absences, including Essugo and Viti Rozada, though they welcome back McKenna and Moleiro.
Recent matches between these two have been low-scoring affairs. Given the current form and injuries, it seems likely Deportivo Alavés might seize a narrow win. The odds favour Alavés, and they’re likely to utilize counterattacks or set pieces to their advantage.
Prediction: Deportivo Alavés to win 1-0.
Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction & Betting Tip
Given their current form and standings, betting on a low-scoring match seems prudent. Our recommended betting tip is "Under 2.5 Goals" for the upcoming clash.
| Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.95 |
- Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, with Las Palmas averaging only 0.60 goals and Alavés 1.00 goal in their last five games.
- Previous encounters between the sides have often been low-scoring affairs.
- Key players will be missing due to injuries and suspensions, likely limiting their attacking firepower.
By focusing on a match with fewer goals, this bet considers the defensive struggles and offensive limitations of both teams.
Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alavés Odds
Let’s dive into the odds for the upcoming LaLiga clash between Las Palmas and Deportivo Alavés:
| Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alavés Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Las Palmas | 2.95 |
| Draw | 3.02 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 2.56 |
Deportivo Alavés are the bookmaker’s favorites, albeit marginally, reflecting their slight edge in recent form and standing.
Both teams are desperate for points to move out of the relegation zone, making this a high-stakes encounter.
Given their history of low-scoring games, bettors might also consider options like "Under 2.5 Goals".
Las Palmas Team Analysis
Las Palmas Recent Performance
Las Palmas have had a challenging recent run of form, recording zero wins in their last five games. The team has struggled to find the back of the net, scoring an average of 0.60 goals per game in their previous five fixtures and failing to register any clean sheets.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Las Palmas | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Real Valladolid | Las Palmas | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Las Palmas | Barcelona | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Mallorca | Las Palmas | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Las Palmas | Villarreal | 1-2 (Loss) |
Recent Form: LDLLL
Las Palmas have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match. With important players like Essugo, Viti Rozada, Mármol, Kirian Rodríguez, and Benito Ramírez unavailable, Diego Martinez’s squad must step up significantly to turn their fortunes around. The upcoming clash against Deportivo Alavés is crucial for them to avoid sinking further into the relegation zone.
Las Palmas Key Players
Las Palmas has struggled recently, but some key players could still make a difference in their upcoming match. Sandro Ramírez is their top scorer with 8 goals this season, and he will be crucial in breaking through Alavés’ defense. Midfielder José Campaña’s vision and passing ability will be essential in feeding Ramírez and forward Fábio Silva.
The defensive line, including Alex Suárez and Scott McKenna, must tighten up to avoid conceding late goals, as Las Palmas has been susceptible in the 76-90 minute interval.
Expected lineup for Las Palmas:
- Goalkeeper: Jasper Cillessen
- Defenders: Marvin Park, Alex Suárez, Scott McKenna, Álex Muñoz
- Midfielders: Javi Munoz, Stefan Bajcetic, José Campaña
- Attackers: Sandro Ramírez, Fábio Silva, Alberto Moleiro
Las Palmas Suspensions & Injuries
Las Palmas will have to deal with several absences for the upcoming match due to injuries and suspensions. They are missing key players, which adds to their already challenging season.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Kirian Rodríguez | Virus | Doubtful |
| Andy Pelmard | Thigh injury | Late March 2025 |
| Mika Mármol | Ankle injury | Late March 2025 |
| Benito Ramírez | Muscle injury | Late March 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Dario Essugo | Yellow/red card | 1 match left |
| Víctor Álvarez Rozada | Yellow cards | 1 match left |
These absences could disrupt Las Palmas’ defensive stability and midfield creativity. The lack of depth might force Coach Diego Martinez to rely more on younger or less experienced players to fill the gaps.
Las Palmas Tactics and Formation
Las Palmas Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Fábio Silva
- Midfield Trio: Javi Muñoz, Stefan Bajcetic, José Campaña
- Defensive Line: Jasper Cillessen in goal, with full-backs Marvin Park and Álex Muñoz, and center-backs Alex Suárez and Scott McKenna
Coach Diego Martinez seems to favor a 4-3-3 setup, although the team has frequently switched between that and a 4-2-3-1 formation recently. The midfield trio will be crucial in driving the team’s play forward and connecting with the forwards.
Their defense has been shaky, having conceded the most goals in the final 15 minutes of matches this season. To address this, they might look to reinforce their midfield and backline to shore up late-game weaknesses.
Expectations are high for the newly returned Scott McKenna and Alberto Moleiro, who should add a certain stability to both defense and attack.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance
Deportivo Alaves have experienced a mixed bag of results in their last five matches. Their recent form of WDLDL highlights some consistency issues. Here’s a breakdown:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Villarreal | 1-0 (Win) |
| Mallorca | Deportivo Alaves | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Espanyol | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Leganes | Deportivo Alaves | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Getafe | 0-1 (Loss) |
Despite a recent win against Villarreal and a hard-fought draw at Mallorca, they’ve struggled to maintain form with losses to Espanyol and Getafe. Alaves have averaged 1.0 goals scored per match in their last five games and managed just one clean sheet. Their defensive lapses have cost them crucial points and placed them in the relegation zone.
Deportivo Alavés Key Players
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alavés:
- Goalkeeper: Adrián Rodríguez
- Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Santiago Mouriño, Manu Sánchez
- Midfielders: Pau Cabanes, Ander Guevara, Joan Jordán, Carles Aleña
- Attackers: Carlos Martín, Kike
Key players for Deportivo Alavés include their top scorer Kike García, who has netted 11 goals this season, making him a vital component in their attacking lineup.
In midfield, Joan Jordán and Carles Aleña will be crucial in controlling the tempo and breaking down Las Palmas’ defensive setups. Their battle against Las Palmas’ midfielders, such as José Campaña, will be interesting to watch.
Additionally, the defensive duo of Nahuel Tenaglia and Santiago Mouriño will need to be on top form to contain Las Palmas’ forward Fábio Silva.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tomás Conechny | Skull fracture | Mid April 2025 |
| Jesús Owono | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Hugo Novoa | Thigh injury | Late March 2025 |
| Carlos Benavidez | Muscle injury | Late March 2025 |
| Antonio Sivera | Head injury | Late March 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| —————— | ——————– | ———————- |
| Antonio Blanco | Red card | 1 match |
| Antonio Sivera | Red card | 1 match |
| Moussa Diarra | Yellow cards | 1 match |
The suspensions and injuries for Deportivo Alaves against Las Palmas are quite substantial. The loss of goalkeeper Antonio Sivera due to a head injury and red card means backup Adrián Rodríguez will need to step up. Midfield dynamo Antonio Blanco’s absence due to a red card suspension will affect their ability to control the game, putting more pressure on Joan Jordan and Ander Guevara.
Alaves will have to rely on their depth to navigate these challenges effectively.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves’ Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forward: Kike Garcia, with 11 goals this season.
- Midfield Engine: Joan Jordan and Ander Guevara, essential in maintaining possession and providing defensive cover.
- Defensive Unit: Nahuel Tenaglia and Abdel Abqar form a strong defensive pair but need to compensate for Sivera’s absence in goal.
- Notable Strategy: The potential for exploiting set pieces, as Alaves shows potential to capitalize on counterattacks or set pieces.
Eduardo Coudet prefers a balanced approach with a solid defensive base, relying on quick transitions and set pieces to create scoring opportunities. Kike Garcia will be pivotal upfront, supported by Carlos Martin on the wing. The midfield’s coordination, led by Joan Jordan, will be key to disrupting Las Palmas’ attacks and launching swift counters.
Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Las Palmas | 2-0 |
| Las Palmas | Deportivo Alaves | 1-1 |
| Deportivo Alaves | Las Palmas | 0-1 |
| Las Palmas | Deportivo Alaves | 0-0 |
| Deportivo Alaves | Las Palmas | 1-1 |
Their last five meetings have mostly been low-scoring affairs, highlighting their competitive but cautious encounters.
Both teams are in desperate need of points to avoid the drop, which adds an extra layer of drama to this crucial fixture.
Odds accurate as of 03.12.2025 20:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
