Sheffield Wednesday to win
Sheffield Wednesday has a strong home record, scoring the majority of their goals at home while also showing a capacity to win matches, often by narrow margins. Their recent home performances suggest they are more comfortable and effective at home. Sheffield Wednesday's higher Elo rating indicates they are considered a stronger team compared to Cardiff City, which might correlate with an increased likelihood of winning.
Cardiff City has shown inconsistency in recent performances, especially defensively, suffering multiple defeats. They have not performed well away from home, as evidenced by their low goal tally and high percentage of matches with under 2.5 goals.
With both teams showing tendencies for close matches (especially Sheffield) and Cardiff’s struggles to score consistently away from home, this increases the probability of Sheffield securing a victory.