Swansea vs. Derby Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 5 April 2025 - bettingexpert
The Championship clash between Swansea City and Derby County on 5 April 2025 promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both sides find themselves in the lower half of the league standings, with Swansea sitting 16th and Derby 20th. Despite their standings, the match holds significant importance as each team seeks valuable points to move away from the relegation zone.
Swansea comes into this fixture with mixed results, showing a LLWDW form in their last five games. Meanwhile, Derby has displayed a run of strong performances with a WWWWL form. With Alan Sheehan at the helm, Swansea boasts a slight edge and are the bookmakers’ favorites for good reason, having won recent encounters against Derby.
Both teams have key players to watch, with Swansea’s Liam Cullen leading the charge, having netted 10 goals this season. In contrast, Derby’s Jerry Yates has been in form, scoring 8 goals. Expect a tight match, but Swansea’s historical edge and home advantage make them a strong bet.
Recommended bet: Swansea to win.
Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tip
The upcoming match between Swansea City and Derby County is shaping up to be a thrilling encounter. With Swansea’s current form and historical edge, they are the bookmakers’ favourites to clinch a victory at the Swansea.com Stadium.
| Swansea vs Derby Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Swansea to win | 2.02 |
- Liam Cullen, Swansea’s top scorer, is in fine form with 10 goals this season.
- Swansea holds a historical edge, winning recent encounters against Derby.
- Home advantage and a slight edge in performance make Swansea a strong candidate for victory.
This recommendation is based on a combination of match facts, recent form, and historical performance, highlighting Swansea’s potential for securing a win.
Swansea vs Derby Odds
This Championship clash between Swansea City and Derby County is a contest not just on the pitch but in the betting market too. Here’s a quick glance at the odds:
| Swansea vs Derby Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Swansea City | 2.02 |
| Draw | 3.22 |
| Derby County | 3.77 |
These odds indicate that Swansea City are the favourites, thanks to their slightly better form and home advantage. A draw is next in line, while Derby are the underdogs, reflecting their current lower league position and recent form against stronger sides. Engage with these insights to enhance your understanding before placing your bets.
Swansea Team Analysis
Swansea Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | Swansea | 2025-03-29 | Championship | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Swansea | Burnley | 2025-03-15 | Championship | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Watford | Swansea | 2025-03-12 | Championship | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Swansea | Middlesbrough | 2025-03-08 | Championship | 1-0 (Win) |
| Preston | Swansea | 2025-03-04 | Championship | 0-0 (Draw) |
Swansea City’s recent performances have been somewhat mixed, with a record of two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings.
Despite the fluctuations in form, they have managed to keep two clean sheets during this stretch, showcasing some defensive solidity. However, their average goals scored per game is only 0.60, indicating a struggle in the attacking third.
The last match saw a hard-fought draw against Leeds, hinting at resilience. With a record of LLWDW, the Swans are showing signs of potential, especially at home, where they will look to capitalize against Derby.
Swansea Key Players
Swansea will rely heavily on their standout performers this weekend, with top scorer Liam Cullen leading the charge with 10 goals this season. He’s a forward with a keen eye for goal and can be expected to be at the heart of their attacking play.
Adding to Cullen’s threat upfront, Lewis O’Brien and Gonçalo Franco are crucial in the midfield, both offering creativity and dynamism. In defense, center-back Ben Cabango and left-back Josh Tymon have been solid, contributing to Swansea’s two clean sheets in their last five games.
Expected lineup for Swansea:
- Goalkeeper: Lawrence Vigouroux
- Defenders: Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Hannes Delcroix, Josh Tymon
- Midfielders: Harry Darling, Jay Fulton, Lewis O’Brien, Gonçalo Franco
- Attackers: Ronald, Liam Cullen
Swansea Suspensions & Injuries
Swansea City will unfortunately be without two of their key players for the upcoming tie against Derby due to injuries.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Kristian Pedersen | Hamstring Injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | Back injury | Mid April 2025 |
These injuries could have a significant impact on the Swans’ lineup, particularly with Pedersen’s reliability at the back and Peart-Harris’s contributions in the midfield. Swansea will need to find suitable replacements to maintain stability in their squad, which might affect their game plan and overall performance against Derby.
Swansea Tactics and Formation
Swansea City Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Likely to go with a 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Liam Cullen, who has netted 10 goals this season
- Midfield Trio: Jay Fulton and Harry Darling as defensive midfielders, with Lewis O’Brien in an advanced role
- Defensive Line: Features right back Josh Key and left back Josh Tymon, with centre-backs Ben Cabango and Hannes Delcroix
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Swansea often concedes most goals in the final 15 minutes, highlighting potential vulnerability in closing stages
Alan Sheehan will look to leverage veterans like Ben Cabango and integrate new talents to steady the ship and clinch crucial points against Derby.
Derby Team Analysis
Derby Recent Performance
Derby County has been in impressive form lately, with a record of four wins and one loss in their last five matches. This good run has seen them pick up crucial points as they battle to avoid relegation. Here’s a look at their recent results:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | Preston | 2025-04-02 | Championship | 2-0 (Win) |
| Plymouth | Derby | 2025-03-15 | Championship | 2-3 (Win) |
| Derby | Coventry | 2025-03-11 | Championship | 2-0 (Win) |
| Derby | Blackburn | 2025-03-08 | Championship | 2-1 (Win) |
| Middlesbrough | Derby | 2025-03-01 | Championship | 1-0 (Loss) |
Derby has averaged 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings, showing a potent attack led by their top scorer, Jerry Yates, who has netted 8 goals this season. Defensively, they’ve managed two clean sheets in these matches, giving them a solid foundation to build on as they try to climb the standings from their current 20th position.
Derby Key Players
Derby County’s key players for the upcoming match against Swansea will play crucial roles in determining the game’s outcome. Their top scorer, Jerry Yates, who has netted 8 goals this season, will be a pivotal figure leading the attack. Another significant player to watch will be Marcus Harness, whose partnership with Yates has been effective in Derby’s recent matches.
Expected lineup for Derby County:
- Goalkeeper: Jacob Widell Zetterström
- Defenders: Nathaniel Phillips, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth
- Midfielders: Ryan Nyambe, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Liam Thompson, Callum Elder
- Forwards: Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness
A key battle to watch will be between Yates and Swansea’s defenders Ben Cabango and Josh Key. Yates’ ability to break through the defensive line and create scoring opportunities could prove decisive.
Derby County Suspensions & Injuries
Derby County will be facing a challenging battle against Swansea City, especially considering their extensive injury list. Here’s a rundown of their current absences:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Curtis Nelson | Cruciate ligament injury | Early October 2025 |
| Dajaune Brown | Hamstring injury | Late May 2025 |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | Hamstring injury | Mid April 2025 |
| David Ozoh | Thigh injury | Out for season |
| Ben Osborn | Hamstring injury | Early May 2025 |
| Kemar Roofe | Hamstring injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Lars-Jorgen Salvesen | Knee surgery | Late July 2025 |
These injuries could significantly impact Derby’s performance against Swansea, resulting in a reliance on less experienced squad members. Coach John Eustace might need to make tactical adjustments to cope with these absences, particularly in the midfield and defensive areas.
This extensive injury list makes it tougher for Derby to field their best side, which could be a crucial factor in the outcome of Saturday’s match. The absence of key players like Curtis Nelson and Kemar Roofe might hinder their ability to defend effectively and launch successful attacks.
Derby County Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 3-5-2
Derby County’s Tactical Breakdown: - Key Forwards: Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness
- Midfield Setup:
- Right Midfielder: Ryan Nyambe
- Central Midfield Trio: Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Liam Thompson
- Left Midfielder: Callum Elder
- Defensive Strength:
- Right Center Back: Nathaniel Phillips
- Central Back: Matt Clarke
- Left Center Back: Craig Forsyth
- Two clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy:
- Strong attack during the 46-60-minute interval
- Vulnerability noted in conceding goals between the 61-75-minute interval
With an injury-hit squad, Derby’s 3-5-2 formation aims to balance defensive solidity and midfield control, relying heavily on Yates and Harness for forward movements.
Swansea vs Derby Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | Swansea City | 2024-11-27 | Championship | 1-2 (Win) |
| Swansea City | Derby County | 2022-04-09 | Championship | 2-1 (Win) |
| Derby County | Swansea City | 2021-10-02 | Championship | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Swansea City | Derby County | 2021-05-01 | Championship | 2-1 (Win) |
| Derby County | Swansea City | 2020-12-16 | Championship | 2-0 (Loss) |
Swansea City has been dominant in recent encounters, securing three wins out of the last five matches against Derby County.
Derby County managed only one win and a draw, showcasing Swansea’s historical edge in this fixture.
These head-to-head statistics display Swansea’s slight upper hand and their ability to clinch close matches against Derby. With a similar head-to-head record, Saturday’s clash promises an intriguing battle.
Odds accurate as of 04.03.2025 15:05, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any {bookmaker}.
