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Middlesbrough vs. Norwich Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 26 April 2025 - bettingexpert

Middlesbrough-Norwich
Middlesbrough
Norwich
Recent form:
MID
NOR
8 Tips
1
1.55
0 Tips
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4.60
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5.50

Get ready, football fans, for an exciting Championship clash as Middlesbrough hosts Norwich at Riverside Stadium on 26 April 2025. With just two rounds left in the season, this match holds high stakes for both teams, especially for Michael Carrick’s seventh-placed side, who are still in the hunt for a promotion play-off spot. Middlesbrough currently sit on 63 points, 10 points ahead of 14th-placed Norwich.

Recent form sees Middlesbrough as slight favourites, with a win-loss-win-loss-win pattern in their last five games. Their key man, Tommy Conway, has netted 13 goals this season and will look to exploit Norwich’s defense, which concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game. Bookmakers seem to favour Middlesbrough to take all three points, with odds at 1.52 for a home win.

Norwich, under Johannes Thorup, find themselves mid-table with 53 points. Despite not having much left to fight for, Norwich boasts the fifth-highest xG in the league and possesses dangerous attacking talent in Borja Sainz and Joshua Sargent, who have combined for 32 goals in the Championship. However, their recent slump, illustrated by a dismal LDLLL form, might make it tough for them to spoil the party for the promotion-chasing hosts.

The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a recommended bet on Over 2.5 goals reflecting both teams’ recent defensive lapses. Middlesbrough, who typically score late in matches, may just have the edge to secure victory in this crucial fixture. So, mark your calendars for this 15:00 kickoff—it’s poised to be a thrilling encounter!

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tip

Recommending our top betting tip: "Over 2.5 Goals." This tip has been chosen based on the likelihood of a high-scoring affair, as indicated by the match facts and trends.

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Over 2.5 Goals 1.75
  • Middlesbrough have shown attacking strength, particularly in the latter stages of their matches, often scoring most of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
  • Norwich’s defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game this season.
  • Both teams have only managed one clean sheet each in their last five games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that could result in multiple goals.

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Odds

Here’s a look at the betting odds for this anticipated Championship clash:

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Middlesbrough 1.52
Draw 4.43
Norwich 5.42

Given these odds, Middlesbrough are the clear favourites to secure all three points at Riverside Stadium.
They have a solid home record, and with better odds compared to Norwich, they are expected to come out on top.
The draw and a Norwich win are considered less likely by bookies, but anything can happen in the beautiful game.
Expect a thrilling encounter with plenty of attacking intent from both sides.

Middlesbrough Team Analysis

Middlesbrough Recent Performance

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Sheffield Wednesday Middlesbrough 2025-04-21 Championship 2-1 (Loss)
Middlesbrough Plymouth 2025-04-18 Championship 2-1 (Win)
Millwall Middlesbrough 2025-04-12 Championship 1-0 (Loss)
Middlesbrough Leeds 2025-04-08 Championship 0-1 (Loss)
Blackburn Middlesbrough 2025-04-04 Championship 0-2 (Win)

Middlesbrough is currently in 7th place with recent form showing inconsistency – two wins and three losses in their last five matches, summarized as WLLWL.

They have averaged 1.00 goals per game in these fixtures and managed only one clean sheet, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities.

Although some injuries have hit the squad, the team has shown capability in attacking, especially with a strong late-game push, making their home games at Riverside Stadium exciting for fans.

Expect them to bounce back swiftly with the support of their top scorer, Tommy Conway, and a cohesive strategy orchestrated by Michael Carrick.

Middlesbrough Key Players

Middlesbrough will be looking to their standout performers to make a difference in this crucial fixture against Norwich. Tommy Conway, their top scorer, has been in fine form with 13 goals this season, and his presence up front will be pivotal.
Aidan Morris and Hayden Hackney will be key in controlling the midfield, while defender Jonathan Howson will be crucial in organizing the back line.
Expect key individual battles, such as Conway going up against Shane Duffy in defense, which could influence the outcome significantly.

Expected lineup for Middlesbrough:

  • Goalkeeper: Mark Travers
  • Defenders: Anfernee Dijksteel, Jonathan Howson, Rav van den Berg, Samuel Iling-Junior
  • Midfielders: Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Marcus Forss, Morgan Whittaker, Finn Azaz
  • Forward: Tommy Conway

Middlesbrough Suspensions & Injuries

Middlesbrough are grappling with a host of injuries, which could significantly impact their squad depth and tactical flexibility against Norwich.

Player Injury Expected return
Alex Bangura Achilles tendon injury Early May 2025
Solomon Brynn Dislocated shoulder Early May 2025
Ben Doak Thigh injury Early May 2025
Seny Dieng Achilles tendon injury Early May 2025
Luke Ayling Ankle injury Early May 2025
Neto Borges Ankle injury Early May 2025

These injuries could affect Middlesbrough’s defensive resilience and options in the later stages of the match. Key players like Tommy Conway and Marcus Forss will need to step up to maintain their push for a playoff spot.

Middlesbrough Tactics and Formation

Middlesbrough Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Tommy Conway
  • Midfield Trio: Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Marcus Forss
  • Defensive Set-Up: Despite having only one clean sheet in the last five games, Middlesbrough maintains a solid defense led by Jonathan Howson and Rav van den Berg.
  • Notable Strategy: The team has shown a knack for scoring late in matches, especially in the final 15 minutes.

Middlesbrough’s approach is built around a balanced midfield that supports both defensive duties and attacking transitions. Expect Michael Carrick’s side to maximize wing play with Morgan Whittaker and Finn Azaz providing width and creativity.

Norwich Team Analysis

Norwich Recent Performance

Norwich City have struggled for form in their last five Championship outings, managing just one draw and suffering four losses.

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Millwall Norwich 2025-04-21 Championship 3-1 (Loss)
Norwich Portsmouth 2025-04-18 Championship 3-5 (Loss)
Burnley Norwich 2025-04-11 Championship 2-1 (Loss)
Norwich Sunderland 2025-04-08 Championship 0-0 (Draw)
Plymouth Norwich 2025-04-05 Championship 2-1 (Loss)

Recent Form: LDLLL
These results have left them in 14th place with 53 points. Norwich have averaged 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches, but defensive frailties have seen them concede frequently, managing just one clean sheet. Conceding an average of 1.5 goals in the league highlights their defensive challenges this season.
They need to capitalize on defensive lapses and turn their form around soon to climb up the table.

Norwich Key Players

Norwich City will rely heavily on their top scorer Borja Sainz, who has netted 17 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial if Norwich hopes to break their poor run of form. Another player to watch is Josh Sargent, the central forward who is expected to spearhead the Norwich attack. Sargent’s physical presence and ability to hold up play can make a significant impact, especially against Middlesbrough’s experienced defender Jonathan Howson. Midfielder Marcelino Núñez will be the engine in the middle of the park, tasked with both defensive duties and creating chances for the attackers.

Expected lineup for Norwich:

  • Goalkeeper: Vicente Reyes
  • Defenders: Jack Stacey, Shane Duffy, José Córdoba, Kenny McLean
  • Midfielders: Marcelino Núñez, Jacob Wright, Oscar Schwartau, Emiliano Marcondes
  • Attackers: Borja Sainz, Josh Sargent

Norwich Suspensions & Injuries

Norwich City faces several key absences that could influence their performance. The injury list is extensive, impacting both defense and attack.

Player Injury Expected return
Gabe Forsyth Knee injury Mid May 2025
Lewis Dobbin Calf injury Out for season
Ben Chrisene Ankle injury Out for season
Lucien Mahovo Knee injury Early May 2025
Ante Crnac Ankle injury About a week
Matej Jurasek Leg injury Doubtful
Angus Gunn Personal reasons A few days

These injuries notably deplete their bench strength, particularly with long-term absentees like Lewis Dobbin and Ben Chrisene. Gabe Forsyth’s extended absence will affect defensive solidity. Additionally, the uncertainty around Matej Jurasek’s return further complicates selection for coach Johannes Thorup.

Norwich Tactics and Formation

Norwich City’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Josh Sargent
  • Midfield Duo: Marcelino Núñez and Jacob Wright
  • Defensive Setup: Jack Stacey, Shane Duffy, José Córdoba, Kenny McLean
  • Notable Strategy: They aim to leverage Borja Sainz’s pace and flair on the left wing to create scoring opportunities.

With a focus on a solid backline and maintaining possession in midfield, Norwich will be looking to exploit Middlesbrough’s defensive lapses through quick transitions and wing play.

Expect Emiliano Marcondes to play a pivotal role in connecting the midfield to the attack, aiming to supply key passes to Sargent and Sainz.

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Norwich City Middlesbrough 2024-10-27 Championship 3-3 (Draw)
Middlesbrough Norwich City 2024-03-06 Championship 3-1 (Win)
Norwich City Middlesbrough 2023-10-24 Championship 1-2 (Win)
Middlesbrough Norwich City 2023-04-14 Championship 5-1 (Win)
Norwich City Middlesbrough 2022-11-12 Championship 1-2 (Win)

Middlesbrough has had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning four of the last five meetings against Norwich.
This historical advantage might play a psychological role in the upcoming fixture.
Considering the head-to-head streak and the current form of both teams, Middlesbrough seems to have the edge going into this match.

Odds accurate as of 24/04/2025 15:01, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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