Derby vs. Burnley Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 8 April 2025 - bettingexpert
As we head into the tail end of the Championship season, Derby County hosts league leaders Burnley at Pride Park this Tuesday evening. With Derby positioned at 21st and fighting to avoid relegation, and Burnley sitting comfortably at the top aiming for automatic promotion, this match carries significant implications for both sides.
Derby comes into this game unbeaten in their last four home matches and will hope to continue this streak. Their current form has been solid with four wins out of their last five matches, keeping them above the drop zone. However, they’re challenged with a string of injuries that have put key players on the sidelines.
Burnley, on the other hand, boasts an impressive unbeaten run stretching across 27 matches in the Championship. They’re a force to be reckoned with, having scored in their last seven consecutive matches. With players like Josh Brownhill, who has netted 13 goals this season, they will be a tough nut to crack.
Expect a tight game as recent encounters between the two sides have often resulted in low-scoring affairs, including their last 0-0 draw. Given Derby’s resilience at home and Burnley’s robust defense, our recommended bet is Derby +0.5 (Asian Handicap).
This match will undoubtedly have fans on the edge of their seats as both teams vie for critical points for very different outcomes this season.
Derby vs Burnley Prediction & Betting tip
| Derby vs Burnley Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Derby +0.5 (Asian Handicap) | 1.90 |
- Derby is unbeaten in their last 4 home matches, showcasing strong form at Pride Park.
- Recent head-to-head encounters have often been low-scoring, indicating a closely contested match.
- Burnley hasn’t lost in their last 5 games, making them tough to beat but not necessarily dominant away from home.
Expect a tight and competitive fixture given the stakes for both teams in the season’s final stretch.
Derby vs Burnley Odds
| Derby vs Burnley Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Derby | 4.36 |
| Draw | 3.18 |
| Burnley | 1.90 |
Burnley comes into this clash as the bookmaker’s favorite, reflecting their strong unbeaten streak and their top-of-the-table position. Derby, sitting at 21st, faces a challenging task but has shown resilience at home recently. The odds for a Derby win are quite long at 4.36, indicating that they’re underdogs. A draw, priced at 3.18, suggests it’s within the realm of possibility, especially given some low-scoring previous encounters between the two teams. Burnley winning at 1.90 underscores their superior form this season.
Derby Team Analysis
Derby Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | Derby | 2025-04-05 | Championship | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Derby | Preston | 2025-04-02 | Championship | 2-0 (Win) |
| Plymouth | Derby | 2025-03-15 | Championship | 2-3 (Win) |
| Derby | Coventry | 2025-03-11 | Championship | 2-0 (Win) |
| Derby | Blackburn | 2025-03-08 | Championship | 2-1 (Win) |
Derby has shown resilience recently, winning four of their last five matches and maintaining clean sheets in two of those games. With an average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five outings, they’ve displayed decent offensive form.
Their recent form, marked by a run of positive results, including a notable away win at Plymouth and solid home victories against Preston and Coventry, reflects their fighting spirit to escape the relegation zone. However, their latest loss to Swansea highlights that consistency remains a challenge.
Derby Key Players
Derby’s journey to secure vital points continues with key figures likely to be at the heart of the action. Jerry Yates, the top scorer for Derby with 8 goals this season, is instrumental. His sharp finishing and ability to find space could prove critical against Burnley’s sturdy defense.
In midfield, Ebou Adams and Harrison Armstrong will need to exert control and create scoring opportunities, especially through the middle of the park. Adams, in particular, has been a consistent presence, providing grit and determination.
Derby’s defense, led by Matt Clarke and Craig Forsyth, must remain watertight, as Burnley’s Josh Brownhill, with 13 goals to his name, will be a constant threat.
Expected lineup for Derby:
- Goalkeeper: Jacob Widell Zetterström
- Defenders: Nathaniel Phillips, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth
- Midfielders: Kane Wilson, Liam Thompson, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Sondre Langås
- Attackers: Kayden Jackson, Marcus Harness
Derby Suspensions & Injuries
Injuries continue to plague Derby County, impacting their squad’s depth and options. Here’s a detailed look at the current injuries and expected return dates:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Curtis Nelson | Cruciate ligament | Early October 2025 |
| Dajaune Brown | Hamstring | Late May 2025 |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | Hamstring | Mid April 2025 |
| David Ozoh | Thigh | Out for season |
| Ben Osborn | Hamstring | Early May 2025 |
| Kemar Roofe | Hamstring | Mid April 2025 |
| Lars-Jorgen Salvesen | Knee surgery | Late July 2025 |
| Ryan Nyambe | Hamstring | Early May 2025 |
These injuries could severely limit Derby’s tactical flexibility and depth, notably in defense and midfield, affecting their ability to rotate players and manage fatigue late in the season. This challenge might force Coach John Eustace to rely heavily on his fit first-team regulars.
Derby Tactics and Formation
Derby Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Kayden Jackson, Marcus Harness
- Midfield Quintet: Kane Wilson, Liam Thompson, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Sondre Langås
Derby has been consistent with their 3-5-2 formation in recent matches. This setup includes a solid back three, aiming to provide defensive stability, especially with Jacob Widell Zetterström between the sticks and defenders like Nathaniel Phillips and Matthew Clarke.
Midfield is where Derby looks to control the game, with Liam Thompson and Ebou Adams anchoring the play, supported by the pacey wing-backs, Kane Wilson and Sondre Langås.
In attack, the duo of Kayden Jackson and Marcus Harness will be crucial, leveraging their speed and agility to outmaneuver Burnley’s defense. Derby’s recent form, unbeaten in their last four home matches, suggests this tactical approach is working well under Coach John Eustace.
Burnley Team Analysis
Burnley Recent Performance
Burnley have been in scintillating form, winning their last five matches and maintaining an unbeaten streak. They sit comfortably at the top of the Championship table, showcasing their dominance this season.
Burnley have been consistently strong both defensively and offensively, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game in their last five matches and keeping three clean sheets. Their solid defense and potent attack have been key to their recent success.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | Burnley | 2025-04-05 | Championship | 1-2 (Win) |
| Burnley | Bristol City | 2025-03-29 | Championship | 1-0 (Win) |
| Swansea | Burnley | 2025-03-15 | Championship | 0-2 (Win) |
| Burnley | West Bromwich | 2025-03-11 | Championship | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Burnley | Luton | 2025-03-08 | Championship | 4-0 (Win) |
Burnley’s top scorer, Josh Brownhill, has been instrumental, with 13 goals this season. Coach Scott Parker’s tactics have clearly been effective, making Burnley a formidable opponent.
Burnley Key Players
Burnley have several key players who will look to make a significant impact at Pride Park. Their top scorer, Josh Brownhill, has been a standout performer with 13 goals this season. His keen eye for goal could prove to be the difference-maker. Alongside Brownhill, Lyle Foster will also be pivotal in the attack, as his recent form has been impressive.
In the midfield, Josh Cullen and Josh Laurent are crucial for dictating the tempo and providing the creative spark needed to break down Derby’s defense. Defensively, the combination of Connor Roberts and Maxime Estève will be looking to keep things tight at the back and contribute to Burnley’s consistent defensive record.
Expected lineup for Burnley:
- Goalkeeper: James Trafford
- Defenders: Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Estève, Lucas Pires
- Midfielders: Marcus Edwards, Josh Cullen, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony
- Attackers: Josh Brownhill, Lyle Foster
Burnley Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Louis Jordan Beyer | Hamstring Injury | Late April 2025 |
| Mike Trésor | Leg Injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Bashir Humphreys | Hip Injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Jonjo Shelvey | Leg Injury | Early May 2025 |
| Enock Agyei | Muscle Injury | Late May 2025 |
Burnley will step onto the pitch on 8 April 2025, missing some key players due to injuries, which could impact their overall performance. The absence of Louis Jordan Beyer could weaken their defense, while Mike Trésor’s and Bashir Humphreys’ injuries might affect their midfield solidity. Jonjo Shelvey’s creativity and Enock Agyei’s energy will also be missed. Despite these setbacks, Burnley’s depth and quality should still make them formidable opponents.
Burnley Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Lyle Foster
- Midfield Trio: Marcus Edwards, Josh Cullen, Josh Laurent
Burnley, under the guidance of Scott Parker, will likely stick with their tried and tested 4-2-3-1 formation for this clash against Derby.
In Defence:
- Defensive Strength: Burnley boasts three clean sheets in their last five games.
- Key Players: James Trafford between the sticks, supported by a solid back four comprising Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Estève, and Lucas Pires.
In Midfield:
- Dynamic Duo: Josh Cullen and Josh Laurent will anchor the midfield.
- Creative Force: Marcus Edwards and Jaidon Anthony are expected to provide width and creativity.
In Attack:
- Playmaker: Josh Brownhill, the top scorer, will play a crucial role just behind the striker.
- Target Man: Lyle Foster will lead the line, looking to capitalize on any opportunities created by the midfield.
Burnley’s tactics focus on maintaining a solid defensive shape and exploiting spaces with quick transitions, making them a formidable opponent for Derby.
Derby vs Burnley Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Derby | 2024-12-10 | Championship | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Burnley | Derby | 2016-01-25 | Championship | 4-1 (Win) |
| Derby | Burnley | 2015-09-21 | Championship | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Burnley | Derby | 2014-03-01 | Championship | 2-0 (Win) |
| Derby | Burnley | 2013-08-31 | Championship | 0-3 (Loss) |
The last five encounters between Derby and Burnley have seen a mix of outcomes, with Burnley often having the upper hand.
- The most recent match ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tight contest.
- Burnley secured convincing wins in earlier fixtures, including a 4-1 victory back in January 2016.
- Derby managed two goalless draws, showing their capability to keep Burnley at bay at times.
These results suggest that while Burnley may appear dominant overall, Derby is capable of resilient performances.
Odds accurate as of 06-04-2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
