Brest vs. Monaco Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 5 April 2025 - bettingexpert
This Ligue 1 encounter sees 8th-placed Brest welcoming 2nd-placed Monaco to Stade Francis le Ble on 5 April 2025. As we head into round 28 of the season, both teams aim to secure valuable points in their respective campaigns.
With Brest’s coach Eric Roy facing numerous injury concerns, including key players like Bradley Locko and Jonas Martin, the task seems steep against Monaco, who are battling at the top of the table. Monaco, led by Adi Hütter, are favorites to win, supported by bookmakers offering odds of 1.93.
Brest’s offense, featuring top scorer Ludovic Ajorque, has been productive at home, averaging 1.80 goals in their last five games. However, with Monaco averaging the same number of goals and backed by talent like Mika Biereth, who has netted 12 goals this season, the match could see plenty of action and goals.
Past encounters favor Monaco with consistent wins, but Brest’s ability to score in 85% of their home matches adds intrigue. The referee for this match is Thomas Leonard, known for controlling high-stakes games efficiently.
Considering both teams’ offensive prowess, our recommended bet is for the match to have over 2.5 goals. The weather forecast remains unreported, but all eyes will be on the fiery pitch at Stade Francis le Ble this Saturday evening.
Brest vs Monaco Prediction & Betting tip
Based on the analysis and match facts, we recommend betting on over 2.5 goals for this upcoming clash between Brest and Monaco.
With both teams averaging around 1.80 goals per game, this fixture promises an offensive display. Monaco has been particularly strong in their attacking third, while Brest also demonstrates solid home attacking form. Historical results show a trend toward high-scoring matches when these two sides meet.
| Brest vs Monaco Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 |
- Both Brest and Monaco consistently find the back of the net, making over 2.5 goals a likely outcome.
- Monaco’s offensive strategy and recent form suggest multiple goals are very probable.
- Brest has scored in 85% of their home games this season, adding to the expected goal tally.
Brest vs Monaco Odds
When assessing the odds for this clash, Monaco emerges as the favorite, bolstered by their higher league standing and recent form.
Brest, however, has shown resilience at home and aren’t entirely out of the running.
Here’s a quick look at the betting odds:
| Brest vs Monaco Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Brest | 3.65 |
| Draw | 3.70 |
| Monaco | 1.93 |
Monaco’s strong offensive play and consistent performances make them the bookmaker’s pick.
Brest’s home advantage and recent goal-scoring consistency could make them a value bet for those eyeing an upset or a high-scoring draw.
Brest Team Analysis
Recent Performance
Let’s dissect Brest’s recent form:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Brest | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 2-4 (Win) |
| Brest | Reims | 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Brest | Angers | 2025-03-09 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Win) |
| Lyon | Brest | 2025-03-02 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Brest | Dunkerque | 2025-02-26 | Coupe de France | 2-3 (Loss) |
Brest’s recent form (LWDWL) indicates a rollercoaster of results. They have managed to score an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches and secured two clean sheets, demonstrating solid defense on occasions. Their recent victory against Toulouse and the clean sheet against Reims highlight their capabilities. They’ve shown they can be dangerous at home, with their offensive play causing trouble for opponents. However, they need to tighten up, especially against stronger teams like Monaco.
Brest Key Players
Brest will rely heavily on Ludovic Ajorque, their top scorer with 10 goals this season, to lead the attack. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial in breaking down Monaco’s defence. Mama Baldé, another attacking threat, and Pierre Lees-Melou’s midfield creativity will also be pivotal.
Key individual battles include Ludovic Ajorque facing Monaco’s centre-backs Thilo Kehrer and Christian Mawissa.
Expected lineup for Brest:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Bizot
- Defenders: Kenny Lala, Julien Le Cardinal, Abdoulaye N’Diaye, Massadio Haidara
- Midfielders: Mathias Pereira Lage, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Kamory Doumbia
- Attackers: Mama Baldé, Ludovic Ajorque
Brest Suspensions & Injuries
Brest is coming into this match with several key players sidelined due to injuries, which could affect their game strategy against Monaco.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Locko | Achilles tendon injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Ibrahim Salah | Foot injury | Mid April 2025 |
| SoumaĂŻla Coulibaly | Groin injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Brendan Chardonnet | Illness | Mid April 2025 |
| Jonas Martin | Hip injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Jordan Amavi | Calf injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Justin Bourgault | Foot injury | Mid April 2025 |
The absence of these players, especially key defenders and midfielders, will force coach Eric Roy to make significant adjustments to the lineup and tactics. Their defensive solidity and midfield creativity might be compromised, making it a tougher challenge against a strong Monaco side.
Brest Tactics and Formation
Brest Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Ludovic Ajorque (10 goals this season)
- Midfield Trio: Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Kamory Doumbia
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
- Challenging Factor: Numerous injuries in defence and midfield
Brest will likely stick to their 4-3-3 formation under coach Eric Roy, favouring a balanced approach to both attack and defence. Ludovic Ajorque’s prowess upfront will be crucial, aiming to capitalize on Monaco’s vulnerability in the 76-90 minute interval.
However, with key players like Bradley Locko and Jonas Martin sidelined, Brest’s defensive solidity and midfield creativity may be compromised, demanding an adaptable strategy from the coach.
Monaco Team Analysis
Monaco Recent Performance
Monaco have shown excellent form recently, making them the favorite for this match. Their last five games include three wins and two draws, reflecting a strong, consistent performance.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | Nice | 2025-03-29 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
| Angers | Monaco | 2025-03-15 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Win) |
| Toulouse | Monaco | 2025-03-07 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Monaco | Reims | 2025-02-28 | Ligue 1 | 3-0 (Win) |
| Lille | Monaco | 2025-02-22 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Recent Form: DWWDW |
In addition to their favorable recent results, Monaco has maintained an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches. Although they have conceded 1.2 goals per game over the season, they’ve recorded two clean sheets in their most recent fixtures. This performance underlines their strong defensive capabilities and considerable offensive prowess, making them formidable opponents for Brest.
Monaco Key Players
Monaco’s squad features key talents who have been driving their success this season. Top scorer Mika Biereth has netted 12 goals so far, showcasing his clinical finishing abilities and making him a player to watch. Complementing Biereth in the attack is Breel Embolo, who also contributes significantly to Monaco’s offensive play.
Midfield dynamo Denis Zakaria is expected to control the tempo from the centre, while defender Thilo Kehrer fortifies the backline with his solid performances.
Expected lineup for Monaco:
- Goalkeeper: Philipp Köhn
- Defenders: Wilfried Singo, Thilo Kehrer, Christian Mawissa, Caio Henrique
- Midfielders: Maghnes Akliouche, Denis Zakaria, Lamine Camara, Takumi Minamino
- Attackers: Mika Biereth, Breel Embolo
Key individual battles to look out for include Mika Biereth going up against Brest’s centre-backs Julien Le Cardinal and Abdoulaye N’Diaye.
Monaco Suspensions & Injuries
Monaco head into this match without any suspended players, which will be a relief for Adi HĂĽtter. However, they do have a few important players on the injury list which could impact their team selection and performance.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Teze | Muscle injury | Back in training |
| Soungoutou Magassa | Head injury | Back in training |
| Kassoum Ouattara | Calf injury | Mid April 2025 |
With Jordan Teze, Soungoutou Magassa, and Kassoum Ouattara potentially still sidelined, Monaco might have to rely on some of their younger or less experienced players. This could impact the team’s dynamics, especially in defense and midfield areas where Teze and Magassa would usually play key roles.
That said, the return of two players to training could be a positive sign for their immediate future matches.
Monaco Tactics and Formation
Monaco Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Mika Biereth (Top scorer with 12 goals)
- Midfield Quartet: Maghnes Akliouche, Denis Zakaria, Lamine Camara, Takumi Minamino
- Defensive Backbone: Wilfried Singo and Thilo Kehrer (2 clean sheets in the last five games)
- Notable Strategy: Strong attacking play with regular scoring, often during the 61-75-minute interval
Monaco’s 4-2-3-1 formation gives them a balanced attack and a solid defensive setup. Biereth leads the charge up front, while the midfielders support both offensively and defensively. Keep an eye on Zakaria, who anchors the midfield, allowing Minamino and Akliouche to push forward. This strategic mix ensures Monaco both scores and defends effectively.
Brest vs Monaco Head-to-Head Statistics
Here’s a look at the last five encounters between Brest and Monaco:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | Brest | 2024-11-22 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 (Win) |
| Brest | Monaco | 2024-04-21 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Lose) |
| Monaco | Brest | 2023-11-05 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Win) |
| Brest | Monaco | 2023-02-19 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Lose) |
| Monaco | Brest | 2023-01-01 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Win) |
Monaco has had the upper hand in their recent matchups against Brest, winning all five of their last meetings. Notably, their last encounter saw Monaco clinch a close 3-2 victory at home.
These results suggest Monaco has a psychological edge, but matches at Stade Francis-Le Blé can still hold surprises.
Odds accurate as of 04.03.2025 18:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
