Marseille vs. Toulouse Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 6 April 2025 - bettingexpert
Marseille will host Toulouse at the Stade Orange Velodrome on the evening of 6 April 2025 in a crucial Ligue 1 encounter. As we head into Round 28 of the competition, both teams are keen on securing valuable points to boost their standings.
Currently, Marseille sits third in the league table with 49 points, aiming to cement their Champions League qualification hopes despite recent struggles and injuries to key players. They have lost four of their last five games, which has placed them under immense pressure.
Toulouse, on the other hand, is 11th with 34 points, oscillating between impressive performances and disappointing defeats.
Marseille is the bookmaker’s favorite to win this match, partly due to Toulouse’s fluctuating form and their own favorable odds.
Incorporating the latest news, Marseille’s manager Roberto De Zerbi might badly need this win to fend off rumors about a managerial change. Hence, our recommended bet is a Marseille win.
Referee Jeremie Pignard will officiate, averaging 4.5 yellow cards per game, so expect some disciplined play. Keep an eye on top scorers Mason Greenwood and Joshua King, who could tip the scales for their teams.
Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tip
| Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Marseille to win | 1.74 |
- Marseille has a strong home advantage and is the bookmakers’ favorite with favorable odds.
- Despite recent inconsistencies, Marseille remains a formidable team with key players like Mason Greenwood, who has already netted 15 goals this season.
- Toulouse has struggled lately, losing their last two matches and generally showing inconsistent form.
Marseille vs Toulouse Odds
| Marseille vs Toulouse Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Marseille | 1.74 |
| Draw | 3.79 |
| Toulouse | 4.48 |
As the bookmaker’s favorite, Marseille stands strong with odds of 1.74 to clinch a victory. Despite recent wobbles, they are still viewed as a tough side to beat, especially at home.
Toulouse, given odds of 4.48, is seen as the underdog in this fixture and has been struggling, making them a riskier bet.
A draw stands at 3.79, reflecting the possibility but not the likelihood given the teams’ current forms.
Marseille Team Analysis
Marseille Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reims | Marseille | 2025-03-29 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Marseille | 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Lens | 2025-03-08 | Ligue 1 | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Nantes | 2025-03-02 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Win) |
| Auxerre | Marseille | 2025-02-22 | Ligue 1 | 3-0 (Loss) |
Recent Form: LLLWL
Marseille is going through a rough patch, losing four of their last five Ligue 1 matches. Their defense has been leaky, conceding 10 goals during this period, and they have struggled offensively with an average of only 0.80 goals scored per game.
Despite only one clean sheet in their last five games, Marseille remains a formidable side, particularly at home. Injuries to key defenders like Luiz Felipe and Leonardo Balerdi have certainly hampered their performance.
However, the squad’s overall quality, led by top scorer Mason Greenwood, keeps their Champions League aspirations alive. With an easier run of matches ahead, they still have a strong chance to finish in the top four.
Marseille Key Players
Marseille’s squad features some standout players, with Mason Greenwood leading the charge as their top scorer with 15 goals this season. His attacking prowess will be crucial in breaking down Toulouse’s defense.
In midfield, Adrien Rabiot and Valentin Rongier play vital roles, contributing both offensively and defensively. Geoffrey Kondogbia will be key in marshalling the defense, especially in the absence of injured players like Luiz Felipe and Leonardo Balerdi.
Expected lineup for Marseille:
- Goalkeeper: Gerónimo Rulli
- Defenders: Pol Lirola, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Derek Cornelius
- Midfielders: Luis Henrique, Ismaël Bennacer, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin
- Attackers: Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot
- Center forward: Amine Gouiri
Look out for key battles like Greenwood against Toulouse’s central defenders, which could be decisive.
Marseille Suspensions & Injuries
Marseille is facing several key injuries that could impact their performance. Here’s a look at the current injury list:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ruben Blanco | Knee injury | Mid-April 2025 |
| Faris Moumbagna | Knee injury | Mid-April 2025 |
| Valentin Rongier | Muscle injury | A few weeks |
| Amine Harit | Calf injury | Mid-April 2025 |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | Calf injury | Mid-April 2025 |
| Luiz Felipe | Hamstring injury | Mid-April 2025 |
| Leonardo Balerdi | Sprained knee injury | Early May 2025 |
These injuries, especially in key defensive roles like Luiz Felipe and Leonardo Balerdi, have contributed to the team’s recent struggles. The midfield injuries might affect their control in the center of the park, potentially impacting their ability to maintain possession and dictate the pace of the game.
Marseille Tactics and Formation
Marseille Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Amine Gouiri
- Midfield Duo: Ismaël Bennacer, Valentin Rongier
- Defensive Line: Pol Lirola, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Derek Cornelius
- Wing Play: Luis Henrique and Quentin Merlin
Under Roberto De Zerbi, Marseille operates with a high-energy 3-4-2-1 formation, aiming for control in the midfield and exploiting width.
Key Strategies:
- Focus on pressing high to disrupt the opponents’ build-up play.
- Emphasis on wing-backs providing width and offensive support.
- Creative playmaking through Mason Greenwood and Adrien Rabiot, linking the midfield to attack.
- Defensive solidity from Kondogbia offers an extra layer of protection.
Despite their recent struggles, expect Marseille to maintain their aggressive and structured approach, leveraging their home advantage at Stade Orange Vélodrome.
Toulouse Team Analysis
Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Brest | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 2-4 (Loss) |
| Strasbourg | Toulouse | 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Toulouse | Monaco | 2025-03-07 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Angers | Toulouse | 2025-03-02 | Ligue 1 | 0-4 (Win) |
| Le Havre | Toulouse | 2025-02-23 | Ligue 1 | 1-4 (Win) |
Toulouse has had an inconsistent run recently, reflecting a form of LLDWW in their last five matches. Their attacking output has been impressive, boasting an average of 2.40 goals per game during this spell. However, their defense has been leaky, managing just one clean sheet. A notable highlight is their prolific scoring, especially in the final quarter-hour of matches. They desperately need to tighten up at the back to secure more points. Coach Carles Martínez will aim to harness their scoring prowess while improving defensive solidity.
Toulouse Key Players
Toulouse will be looking to some key players to make an impact as they face Marseille. Despite recent injuries, the team possesses a number of pivotal figures who can turn the tide in their favor.
Key Players to Watch:
- Joshua King: The experienced forward will be crucial in maintaining Toulouse’s attacking threat, especially with his recent good form.
- Aron Dönnum and Yann Gboho: These attacking midfielders add creativity and flair, vital for breaking through Marseille’s defense.
Expected lineup for Toulouse:
- Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
- Defenders: Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie
- Midfielders: Rafik Messali, Cristhian Cásseres Jr, Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo
- Attackers: Aron Dönnum, Yann Gboho, Joshua King
The individual battle between Joshua King and Marseille’s Geoffrey Kondogbia will be an intriguing one to watch.
Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries
Toulouse is facing a few injury hurdles ahead of their match against Marseille, which could impact their performance. Notable absences include their top scorer Zakaria Aboukhlal, which may affect their attacking potency.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Niklas Schmidt | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | Ankle injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | Thigh injury | Mid April 2025 |
These injuries come at a crucial point in the season, disrupting the team’s regular lineup and strategy. The absence of Aboukhlal, in particular, means Toulouse will have to rely more heavily on Joshua King and their midfielders to compensate for the loss of goalscoring prowess.
Toulouse Tactics and Formation
Toulouse’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Joshua King
- Wing Strength: Rafik Messali and Gabriel Suazo
- Midfield Trio: Cristhian Cásseres Jr, Vincent Sierro, Aron Dönnum
- Defensive Setup: Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie
Despite their recent inconsistency, Toulouse aims to utilize a three-center-back system, providing a solid base in defense. Their midfield focus, with Cásseres Jr. orchestrating play, integrates quick wing play from Messali and Suazo, stretching the opposition’s defense. With top scorer Zakaria Aboukhlal sidelined, Joshua King will be pivotal in leading their attack, especially in the final 15 minutes, where they’ve been most lethal this season.
Marseille vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Statistics
Let’s dive into the recent matchups between Marseille and Toulouse. Here’s a look at their last five encounters:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Marseille | 2024-08-31 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Toulouse | Marseille | 2024-04-21 | Ligue 1 | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Marseille | Toulouse | 2023-09-17 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Toulouse | Marseille | 2023-02-19 | Ligue 1 | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Toulouse | 2022-12-29 | Ligue 1 | 6-1 (Loss) |
Marseille has clearly had the upper hand in these fixtures, winning three matches convincingly while Toulouse has only managed to secure two draws.
Given their historical dominance and current form, Marseille remains the favorite for this upcoming clash.
Odds accurate as of 04 April 2025, 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
