Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 6 April 2025 - bettingexpert
On 6 April 2025, Sevilla will host Atletico Madrid at Estadio R. Sanchez Pizjuan in a LaLiga face-off. This fixture holds significance for both teams as they enter the 30th round of the competition, with Atletico vying to solidify their top-three standing and Sevilla attempting to break into the top half of the table.
Diego Simeone’s men come in as the bookmakers’ favorites, partly due to their consistent ability to score in 93% of matches this season. Atletico, currently third in LaLiga with 57 points, are well ahead of 11th-placed Sevilla, who have 36 points.
Sevilla, coached by García Pimienta, will rely heavily on their top scorer Dodi Lukebakio, who has netted 11 goals this season. However, they have been struggling to find the back of the net, with just 0.80 average goals scored in their last five games.
Atletico’s star, Julian Alvarez, also with 11 goals this season, is pivotal for the visitors. Despite a string of tough results in recent matches, their overall form and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent.
Referee Cesar Soto, known for awarding three penalties in 16 matches this season, will oversee the game.
Considering Atletico’s overall stronger form and consistency, our recommended bet is a surprise win for Sevilla, who play at home and could capitalize on Atletico’s suspensions.
Important match facts:
- Both teams have key players missing due to suspensions and injuries.
- Atletico has struggled in recent matches but consistently finds the back of the net.
- Weather conditions could play a role but remain unspecified.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the current form and stakes, we recommend placing a bet on Sevilla to win. This might seem bold considering Atletico’s position, but several factors make this a worthy consideration.
| Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Sevilla to win | 3.43 |
- Sevilla play at home, and the home advantage at Estadio R. Sanchez Pizjuan could be decisive.
- Atletico are missing key players due to suspensions, which might affect their defensive solidity.
- Sevilla have a strong finisher in Dodi Lukebakio, who could exploit any lapses in Atletico’s defence.
Despite being the underdogs, Sevilla’s home advantage and Atletico’s recent inconsistencies suggest a potential upset.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Odds
Let’s dive into the betting odds for this exciting La Liga clash at the Estadio R. Sanchez Pizjuan. Here are the latest odds from the bookmakers:
| Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Sevilla to win | 3.43 |
| Draw | 3.25 |
| Atletico Madrid to win | 2.18 |
Atletico Madrid enters this match as the bookmaker’s favorite with odds of 2.18, reflecting their superior league position and form.
The odds for a draw stand at 3.25, indicating a closely contested match.
Sevilla’s odds to win are set at 3.43, making them the underdogs despite the home advantage.
Sevilla Team Analysis
Sevilla Recent Performance
Sevilla’s recent form has been a mixed bag with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Here’s how they performed:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Sevilla | 2025-03-30 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Sevilla | Athletic Club | 2025-03-16 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Real Sociedad | Sevilla | 2025-03-09 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Win) |
| Rayo Vallecano | Sevilla | 2025-03-01 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Sevilla | Mallorca | 2025-02-24 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
Sevilla has managed to keep just one clean sheet in their last five games, reflecting some defensive vulnerabilities. Their average goals scored stands at 0.80 per game, indicating a struggle in front of goal recently. As they gear up to face Atletico Madrid, improving their offensive output and tightening up defensively will be key.
Sevilla Key Players
Sevilla’s key players for the upcoming clash against Atletico Madrid include their top scorer, Dodi Lukebakio, who has netted 11 goals this season. His attacking prowess will be vital for Sevilla if they aim to breach Atletico’s strong defensive line. The midfield will be anchored by Nemanja Gudelj, known for his ability to break up play and dictate the tempo. Saúl Ñíguez’s experience will also be crucial, both defensively and offensively.
Expected lineup for Sevilla:
- Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
- Defenders: José Ángel Carmona, Loïc Badé, Kike Salas, Adrià Pedrosa
- Midfielders: Djibril Sow, Nemanja Gudelj, Saúl Ñíguez
- Forwards: Dodi Lukebakio, Isaac Romero, Ruben Vargas
Key individual battles will likely involve Lukebakio against Atletico’s solid centre-backs like Robin Le Normand and Clement Lenglet. Sevilla’s midfield will also need to compete against the dynamic duo of Conor Gallagher and Pablo Barrios.
Improving their finishing and maintaining defensive solidarity will be Sevilla’s focus to counter Atletico’s threats.
Sevilla Suspensions & Injuries
Sevilla have some concerns to address ahead of their clash against Atletico Madrid due to a notable injury and suspensions.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi | Thigh injury | Unknown |
Nianzou Kouassi’s absence in the defensive line due to a thigh injury will hamper Sevilla’s backline stability. His unavailability is particularly significant given Atletico’s attacking prowess honed by players like Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez.
On the bright side, Sevilla have no suspensions to worry about, which means their squad depth is otherwise intact and ready to compete at full strength.
García Pimienta will need to exploit the depth of his squad to mitigate the impact of this key player’s absence.
Sevilla Tactics and Formation
Sevilla Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Dodi Lukebakio
- Midfield Trio: Nemanja Gudelj, Djibril Sow, Saúl Ñíguez
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Scoring most goals in the 76-90-minute interval.
Sevilla will likely adopt their familiar 4-3-3 formation, capitalizing on the offensive prowess of Dodi Lukebakio, supported by wingers Ruben Vargas and Isaac Romero.
The midfield’s defensive solidity comes from Nemanja Gudelj, balanced by the dynamism of Djibril Sow and the creativity of Saúl Ñíguez. Despite struggling with form recently, they possess the capability to hold off offensively potent sides.
Defensively, the absence of Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi due to injury places more responsibility on Loïc Badé and Kike Salas. García Pimienta’s side must stay structured and capitalize on Atletico’s potential defensive lapses, especially late in the match.
Atletico Madrid Team Analysis
Recent Performance
Atletico Madrid have struggled with form recently, managing just one win in their last five outings. Offensively, they’ve averaged 1.40 goals per game in this period, but their defense has been shaky, keeping no clean sheets. This run includes tough losses to heavyweights Barcelona and Real Madrid, showcasing their inconsistent performances.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | 2025-04-02 | Copa del Rey | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Espanyol | Atletico Madrid | 2025-03-29 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | 2025-03-16 | LaLiga | 2-4 (Loss) |
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 2025-03-12 | Champions League | 0-0 (PSO: 2-4 Loss) |
| Getafe | Atletico Madrid | 2025-03-09 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Loss) |
Atletico’s ability to score in 93% of matches this season remains evident, but their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. They still stand strong in 3rd place in the league but need to tighten up at the back to maintain this standing heading into the final rounds of the season.
Atletico Madrid Key Players
Atletico Madrid boast a formidable squad under the management of Diego Simeone. The key players to watch out for include the dynamic forward duo of Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez, both tied as top scorers with 11 goals each this season. Their midfield strength is bolstered by the presence of Rodrigo De Paul and the young talent Pablo Barrios, who have been critical in orchestrating play from the center of the park. In defense, the experienced Marcos Llorente and new addition Clement Lenglet are expected to hold the fort, especially in the absence of José Giménez due to suspension.
Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:
- Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
- Defenders: Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Javi Galán
- Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Conor Gallagher, Pablo Barrios, Samuel Dias Lino
- Attackers: Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez
Key individual battles to watch will include Griezmann and Alvarez against Sevilla’s central defenders Loïc Badé and Kike Salas.
Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries
Atletico Madrid will be facing some challenges in terms of player availability for their upcoming match against Sevilla. They have two significant suspensions in the squad:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ángel Correa | Red card | Matches left: 3 |
| José Giménez | Yellow cards | Matches left: 1 |
The absence of Ángel Correa, who is serving a three-match ban due to a red card, along with the suspension of key defender José Giménez, could disrupt Diego Simeone’s usual defensive setup. Giménez’s suspension, in particular, will require a reshuffle in the backline, potentially putting more pressure on players like Robin Le Normand and Clement Lenglet to step up.
These suspensions could impact Atletico Madrid’s overall performance, especially in maintaining their defensive solidity and attacking fluidity.
Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation
Atletico Madrid’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Julián Álvarez and Antoine Griezmann
- Midfield Quartet: Giuliano Simeone, Conor Gallagher, Pablo Barrios, Samuel Dias Lino
- Defensive Structure: Expect the backline to include Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, and Javi Galán.
- Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
Despite recent suspensions, Diego Simeone is known for his resilient and well-organized defensive structure. He will rely heavily on the dynamic duo of Álvarez and Griezmann for offensive capabilities. The midfield will aim to control the pace of the game, with Simeone’s youngest son, Giuliano, adding a burst of energy.
Expect strong defensive tactics, leveraging Oblak’s skills between the posts, while exploiting scoring opportunities through quick transitions and counter-attacks.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | Sevilla | 2024-12-08 | LaLiga | 4-3 (Win) |
| Sevilla | Atletico Madrid | 2024-02-11 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Atletico Madrid | Sevilla | 2024-01-25 | Copa del Rey | 1-0 (Win) |
| Atletico Madrid | Sevilla | 2023-12-23 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Atletico Madrid | Sevilla | 2023-08-06 | Club Friendlies | 1-1 (Draw) |
Sevilla and Atletico Madrid have played each other five times in the past two seasons, with Atletico Madrid showing the upper hand with three wins, one loss, and one draw.
Atletico Madrid won the latest encounter with a thrilling 4-3 victory at home in December 2024. However, Sevilla managed a narrow 1-0 win in February 2024, illustrating their competitive nature, especially at home.
Atletico Madrid’s consistent performance against Sevilla could play a psychological factor in the upcoming match.
Odds accurate as of 04/04/2025 15:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
