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Horse Racing Solana Sierra vs Despina Papamichail LP Open Expert Tip: Clay Courter to Emerge Victorious
Solana Sierra vs Despina Papamichail (LP Open): Monday, November 13th
We’re into the final few weeks of the tennis season, before a short break in December and the beginning of a new campaign in 2024 that kicks off with the Australian summer of tennis in less than two months.
The main WTA circuit has wrapped up, but there are still chances to play down on the 125K level right through mid-December. This week, they’re in Colina, Chile for the LP Open. Let’s take a look at Solana Sierra vs Despina Papamichail.
For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.
In this article:
- Solana Sierra vs Despina Papamichail Expert Tip
- Solana Sierra Recent Form
- Despina Papamichail Recent Form
- Solana Sierra vs Despina Papamichail H2H Stat of the Match
- Gamble Responsibly
Solana Sierra vs Despina Papamichail Expert Tip
The handicap here is relatively straightforward. We’re getting a young, promising player from Argentina, playing on her more natural surface and in a climate she’s used to in South America against a hard courter without much success on clay.
Now, that is one of the first things that should be baked into the price, but we’re seeing Sierra at a price nearing 1.60 at most bookmakers. That simply isn’t right by my numbers and I’ll happily back her in this spot.
- Expert Tip: Sierra -3.5 Games at 1.90 with bet365 (available at 1.93 with Pinnacle) , using 3/10 stakes.
Odds as at 12:00 am UK Time on November 13th, 2023. Odds may now differ.
Read on for more expert insights.
Solana Sierra Recent Form
The 19-year-old has quietly put together an outstanding year, thanks to some serious success on the lower-level ITF Tour.
She has 3 titles at the W25 level and she’s consistently made deep runs, with an additional eight tournaments that saw her reach the semifinal stage.
She doesn’t necessarily have any big weapons, but she hits with plenty of spin and can move the ball around effectively with her forehand. Her consistency is as strong as one would expect from a clay-court player that enjoys grinding from the baseline and as mentioned above, her surface advantage is hard to understate.
With a 47-16 record in 2023 on the dirt, I expect Sierra to make a push this week for her top-200 debut.
Despina Papamichail Recent Form
On the flip side, we have the veteran from Greece who is anything but proficient on the red clay.
Despite the fact that she employs a fairly underpowered and consistency-based game, she actually struggles mightily on the surface. It’s a good reminder that being comfortable on the surface, playing with spin and moving/sliding on clay is just as important as playing a consistent game.
Papamichail is just 3-14 on the pro tours this season playing on clay, with lopsided losses aplenty to both strong and weaker players.
She’s also on a three-match losing skid, with all of those matches played on her preferred hard courts.
It’s also worth noting that while Sierra has been playing week-in, week-out on clay, Papamichail hasn’t played on it since July.
Solana Sierra vs Despina Papamichail H2H – Stat of the Match
The only thing that is keeping this price where it is has to be the 1-0 lead in the head-to-head category between these two in favour of Papamichail. The fact that it happened on clay is probably giving the market more confidence in the Greek than it should.
Let’s keep in mind that it was a win by a margin of just three games and one break of serve and, more importantly, it was in 2021 – when Sierra was just 17 years of age.
With how much Sierra has improved as a player in the last few seasons, I don’t think that the last encounter is nearly as predictive as the market seems to feel it is.
NOVEMBER 13-19 IS SAFER GAMBLING WEEK 2023
November 13-19 marks an important date in the calendar. Safer Gambling Week is a significant industry-wide event that aims to shed more light on responsible betting. For more information and advice, head to the bettingexpert Safer Gambling hub or our brief explainer below.
