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Boxing Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open Expert Tip: Young Gun to Keep Rolling in Hong Kong
Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez (Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open): Thursday, October 12th
Lovely win from Jodie Burrage for us on Wednesday, as she absolutely crushed the topspin-heavy serves from Alice Robbe. Nice to read a match perfectly, identify a poor number and get paid for it.
As we near the end of another week of tennis, we head back to the WTA 250 Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open to preview Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez.
For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.
In this article:
- Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Expert Tip
- Mirra Andreeva Recent Form
- Leylah Fernandez Recent Form
- Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez H2H Stat of the Match
- Safer Gambling
Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Expert Tip
When we previewed Andreeva’s match with Elena Rybakina, I alluded to the fact that Andreeva is the type of player whose matches can be relatively straightforward to handicap.
Against players without raw power, for the most part, she’s been dominant since making the jump to the main tour in 2023. That’s exactly what we should see in Hong Kong on Thursday night.
Fernandez doesn’t really have the requisite power to hit through her and the night conditions won’t help her as hotter daytime conditions would.
I’ll take Andreeva on the games handicap in a market that I have about a full game to game and a half off.
Odds as at 12:00 am UK Time on October 12th, 2023. Odds may now differ.
Read on for more expert insights.
Mirra Andreeva Recent Form
Already into the world’s top-50 at just 16 years old, Andreeva has been on a one-way bullet train to the top of the women’s game.
Her solidity from the baseline is remarkable, and she’s not just a defender either, with the ability to redirect pace from her opponents’ racquets and this season has become more aggressive at going for her shots, particularly on the forehand side.
Since qualifying for the French Open, Andreeva has only lost six matches, with four of them coming to Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina or Madison Keys. It takes a really strong serve to keep her out of your service games and that’s something each of those players have.
Her first round in Hong Kong came against Dayana Yastremska, who may not have the serve, but certainly has the raw power from the baseline to trouble her and she emerged in straight sets with what felt like a fairly routine win.
Going up against Fernandez, Andreeva should have a lot more time and a big advantage when it comes to consistency.
Leylah Fernandez Recent Form
It hasn’t been the best season for the 2021 U.S. Open finalist. She had dropped outside of the world’s top-75 for a brief period, before reaching the final 16 in Montreal, quarterfinals in Cleveland and quarters in Guadalajara.
Some of that is down to her poor play, but it can also be blamed on tough draws that were the result of the slide down the rankings.
Either way, she’s looked a bit better of late, but still been lacking the real deep runs to help propel her back into the upper echelons of the game.
Even here, she was being trounced by Victoria Azarenka in the opening round before Azarenka suffered an unfortunate ankle injury that forced her to retire once Fernandez snagged the second set.
I’m not convinced Fernandez has the power or ruthless consistency from the baseline that it takes to either beat or outlast Andreeva.
Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez H2H – Stat of the Match
Despite Andreeva being so new to the tour, these two did actually meet earlier this season, when Andreeva won in straight sets by a margin of five games in the altitude of Madrid on clay.
That was the first head at which the teenage sensation turned the collective heads of the tennis world (and another tournament in which she was eliminated by a power player with a huge serve).
I’m not sure the shift to hard courts is worth 2.5 games on the handicap in Fernandez’s favour – especially since the altitude of Madrid does quicken the conditions a tad.
SAFER GAMBLING
At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.
