Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova China Open Expert Tip: Burgeoning Star Worth Backing in all-Russian Contest

Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (China Open): Tuesday, October 3rd

An even tidier win from Elena Rybakina than even I expected on Monday, as she lost just three games en route to beating Qinwen Zheng in straight sets.

For Tuesday, we’ll stick with the China Open in Beijing and preview Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, as the WTA 1000 in the Chinese capital rolls on!

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

In this article:

• Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Expert Tip
• Mirra Andreeva Recent Form
• Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Recent Form
• Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova H2H Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Expert Tip

This is a huge overreaction for me off of last week’s results in Tokyo in terms of the pricing on the elder of the two countrywomen in this matchup.

Pavlyuchenkova put together some nice performances a week ago, but I’m not convinced by how sustainable some of the tennis was, and I do think that an in-form Andreeva should benefit from the conditions in Beijing, while also possessing the ability to grind her 32-year-old counterpart.

• Expert Tip: Andreeva to win at 1.67 with Bet365, using 3/10 stakes.
  Note: 1.75 available at Pinnacle.

Odds as at 1:30 am UK Time on October 3rd, 2023. Odds may now differ.

Read on for more expert insights.

Mirra Andreeva Recent Form

With limits on how much she can play at her age on the professional circuit, this is just Andreeva’s fifth tournament since the French Open back at the beginning of June.

Of her last six events, Beijing marks the fourth of six that are at the WTA 1000 level or a grand slam.

It appears as though the sparsely-lined schedule is doing her some good this week, as she’s cruised into the second round from the qualifying draw, winning all six sets she’s played and doing so in impressive fashion, losing just 12 games along the way.

With an unrelenting style from the baseline, a more aggressive game than she had last year when she was competing as a 14 and 15-year-old and a serve that can still be vulnerable, but has looked stronger in the altitude of Madrid or on the grass at the All England Club, she should be set up well for success this week with relatively quick courts.

Losses to players like Coco Gauff and Madison Keys in several of her most recent events don’t dissuade me much either, considering they’re much better players than Pavlyuchenkova and each of them presents fairly unique problems for the youngster.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Recent Form

After a fairly slow start to the year that saw Pavlyuchenkova looking for form on clay down at the ITF and 125K levels following her surprise run to the French Open quarterfinals, we finally saw her look like her old self again on hard courts last week in Tokyo.

Her performances in Cincinnati and at the U.S. Open were nothing to write home about, but her trio of wins at the 500 in Japan certainly looked more promising. The problem is, she built that on the back of beating a shockingly poor Donna Vekic, an injured Linda Noskova 6-0 in a third set and then Ekaterina Alexandrova. Her loss to Veronika Kudermetova was close, but she had an unsustainably high number of points won behind her first serve for long stretches and also had Kudermetova flabbergasted by the small targets she hit into on a consistent basis.

It’s impressive stuff, but it’s tough to win with regularity playing like that. Eventually the first serves lose pace as matches wear on and those precise shots off the baseline end up going long for errors.

I’m not sold that she’s close to her peak level from a few years back and this is a prime opportunity to oppose her with one of the most promising prospects in the women’s game

Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova H2H – Stat of the Match

With Pavlyuchenkova using the 2023 campaign to rebuild her ranking and Andreeva being so young and barely having played on tour, it’s no surprise these two have yet to meet.

Stats-wise, I find it interesting that despite being limited in how many tournaments she can enter and having played just two-thirds of the events as Pavlyuchenkova in 2023, Andreeva has won just one fewer match against the world’s top-50 players.

With three fewer losses in that same category, the 16-year-old actually has a more impressive record against the better players in the world than Pavlyuchenkova this season.

I’m not sold on the Tokyo run for Pavlyuchenkova, nor the matchup and her season as a whole isn’t all that impressive either.

SAFER GAMBLING

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