Jannik Sinner vs Milos Raonic Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, February 16th

It’s the end of the week of previews, but our first from the ATP 500 ABN AMRO Open in Rotterdam!

The Australian Open champion is on the court again and looking really strong, let’s look into why I believe Jannik Sinner vs Milos Raonic will end up being a one-sided affair.

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Our Sinner vs Raonic prediction is for Sinner to cover the -4.5 games handicap.

In this article:

• Jannik Sinner vs Milos Raonic Prediction
• Jannik Sinner Recent Form
• Milos Raonic Recent Form
• Jannik Sinner vs Milos Raonic H2H Stat of the Match
• Safer Gambling

Jannik Sinner vs Milos Raonic (ABN AMRO Open) Prediction: Comfortable Win for Young Italian

• Prediction: Sinner -4.5 games
• Best Odds: 2.07
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 4/10

Odds as at 2:15 am UK Time on February 16th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Raonic has looked really strong on serve this week (not a surprise, he does have a cannon of a first serve), but I’m not totally sold on his path to reaching this point.

Not only that, but the Proflex hard courts always used in Rotterdam are some of the slowest indoor hard courts we have on tour. That should help Sinner sink his teeth into a few of Raonic’s service games.

Throw in the ageing and perennially hurt Canadian being at a distinct disadvantage these days in baseline rallies, and I’m happy to back the yet-to-be-beaten in 2024 Sinner to come through this in a relatively dominant fashion.

Read on for more expert insights.

Jannik Sinner Recent Form

There’s no need to dissect Sinner’s form all that much. Even the most casual of tennis fans know how good he’s been, having won the first grand slam of the year, beating some incredible players along the way.

He opened his week up in Rotterdam with one dominant win and one in three sets against the older, but still incredibly athletic and talented Gael Monfils.

As good as Raonic has looked on serve, I simply don’t think Sinner should be anything lower than a five-game favourite. Even then, I’d have his -5 games price set at a more expensive mark than we’re seeing on this -4.5!

His power from the baseline is the best in the world for my money (he controls it more and uses it more intelligently than anyone who comes close in terms of raw power), his serve has improved by leaps and bounds in the last eight months, and he’s several tiers better than the current iteration of Raonic.

Milos Raonic Recent Form

As good as it is to see a fellow Canadian in the quarterfinals of an ATP 500 event – especially one that has struggled to get back from a prolonged injury absence and has contemplated retirement – we bet with our brains and not our hearts.

Raonic had a great matchup in the opening round against an underpowered wild card in Jesper de Jong and then played Alexander Bublik who is known to take some matches less than 100% seriously, and let’s just say watching him on return gave me the distinct impression that we were seeing that Bublik on the day.

The points still count, and hopefully, this convinces Raonic to keep plugging away at his return, but I can’t believe that on a medium-slow hard court that he’s going to keep this one particularly close.

Even if his serve doesn’t regress a bit (I expect them to more than just a bit) from his first two matches, he’s now playing one of the game’s elite and will find far more balls coming back at him than he did in rounds one and two.

Further, they won’t be coming back meekly either with Sinner able to fight fire with fire in the power department.

Jannik Sinner vs Milos Raonic H2H – Stat of the Match

No prior head to head between these two. Raonic was away for a few years, after all, during the Sinner ascendancy.

The number to watch here is how many of his first serve points does Raonic win? If he’s in the 97%, or even the 84% range, sure, he can find the holds he needs to cover the handicap.

If that dips, however, Sinner should find the consistent pressure I expect him to more often than not. Throw in Raonic’s subpar return game, and if Sinner finds two or three breaks of serve over the course of two sets, he should be set.

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.