Hubert Hurkacz vs Jack Draper U.S. Open Preview and Expert Tip: Young Upstart to Upset Serve-Oriented Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz vs Jack Draper (U.S. Open): Thursday, August 31st
Picture perfect start to the Stefanos Tsitsipas and Dominic Stricker match, as Stricker wins a long first set and Tsitsipas responds by winning the second set in a tiebreak. That secured the over, with only a few games needed to bring home the handicap for Stricker as well. The young gun’s tennis sustained itself just long enough to get that handicap over the
For Thursday’s ATP preview from the U.S. Open, let’s delve into Hubert Hurkacz vs Jack Draper as the second round wraps up.
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In this article:
- Hubert Hurkacz vs Jack Draper Expert Tip
- Hubert Hurkacz Recent Form
- Jack Draper Recent Form
- Hubert Hurkacz vs Jack Draper H2H Stat of the Match
- Gamble Responsibly
Hubert Hurkacz vs Jack Draper Expert Tip
I’m going back to the well backing a young, talented, 21-year-old lefty.
I understand that Hurkacz is far more established, has more experience at the best-of-five level and doesn’t have the physical concerns Draper does, but in this particular matchup, I love the young gun from England.
He has the huge serve to find easy hold for the patches where Hurkacz is serving well himself, he has the athleticism to out-grind the Pole, who does move surprisingly well for his size and he has far more power from the baseline, while also mixing in some variety.
The market isn’t wrong to make Draper the underdog here, but making him this long of an outsider is a big misprice for me.
Read on for more expert insights.
Expert Tip: Draper to win at 2.63 with Bet365, using 4/10 stakes.
Hubert Hurkacz Recent Form
After a pretty poor spring, the world No. 17 has actually picked up in the form department since Wimbledon.
He reached the second week there (though he beat three relatively easy grass-court opponents) and pushed Novak Djokovic to the brink in the fourth round.
This summer, he’s also benefited from some decent draws, but did beat Stefanos Tsitsipas and he pushed Carlos Alcaraz to three sets not once, but twice.
Playing close games is in the big man’s nature. He has one of the best serves in the world, but his return game is incredibly poor in its right.
That means he keeps some of the best players in the world with arm’s reach, but can also struggle to put away lesser competition with ease.
His first-round match was nothing to write home about either. Marc-Andrea Huesler (who has had a terrible 2023 campaign) not only led him two sets to none but served for the match at 5-4 in the third set. He was a 10.44 odds underdog. I’m still not overly impressed by his play and against a fellow big server who does more from the baseline, I certainly think he’s vulnerable.
Jack Draper Recent Form
Form has been a tough topic when it comes to Draper.
The athletic, big-serving, big-hitting lefty has long been lauded as one of the next stars of the sport, but he’s had an incredibly tough time staying on the court.
Physical issue followed by physical issue, injuries have really disrupted his career to this point. Since last year’s U.S. Open, the Brit has had to retire four times, while also fading physically in his match against Rafael Nadal this past January in Melbourne.
The fact is, his well-rounded style has allowed him to beat some big names in the sport in the last two years when he is fit and just last summer he reached the quarterfinals at the Masters event in Montreal as a qualifier.
The quality is there, it’s just a matter of him stringing together enough tournaments while remaining fit to allow his ranking to match said talent.
Hubert Hurkacz vs Jack Draper H2H – Stat of the Match
Hurkacz has won both previous meetings, but both matches were incredibly close affairs. The first was last fall, when they split two tiebreaks before Draper broke down physically in the third set indoors in Antwerp. The second match came this past spring on clay in Monte Carlo, where they split the first two sets and Hurkacz eked out a 7-5 third set win.
It goes to show just how close this matchup actually is, while the market has one as the definitive favourite to advance.
Odds as at 3:30 am UK Time on August 31st, 2023. Odds may now differ.
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