Dominic Stricker vs Benjamin Bonzi U.S. Open Preview and Expert Tip: Stricker To Keep Pressing On in New York

Dominic Stricker vs Benjamin Bonzi (U.S. Open): Friday, September 1st

Nice stuff from Jack Draper, who took advantage of an ailing Hubert Hurkacz and beat him in straight sets to cash our nice underdog bet on Thursday.

For Friday’s ATP preview from the U.S. Open, let’s delve into Dominic Stricker vs Benjamin Bonzi as the third round gets going.

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

In this article:

• Dominic Stricker vs Benjamin Bonzi Expert Tip
• Dominic Stricker Recent Form
• Benjamin Bonzi Recent Form
• Dominic Stricker vs Benjamin Bonzi H2H Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

Dominic Stricker vs Benjamin Bonzi Expert Tip

I see no reason to stop backing the youngster from Switzerland. He’s proven that his powerful game can beat legitimate tour-level talent for a few rounds now and he’s playing someone who entered the event in horrid form and hasn’t really done all that much to convince me he’s turned the corner (more on that in a second).

There is no doubt that Stricker has the better serve, bigger groundstrokes and better form entering the match, so I’ll take him here as a short favourite. With nine sets of tennis under his belt and him likely needing to get this done relatively quickly, I’ll also back him to win in three or four sets with a smaller staking, but at a nicer price.

Read on for more expert insights.

• Expert Tip: Stricker to win at 1.77 with Unibet, using 5/10 stakes. Stricker -1.5 sets at 2.46 odds with Pinnacle, using 2/10 stakes.

Dominic Stricker Recent Form

We wrote a bit about the Stricker form a few days back in our preview backing him against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

He’s been strong in his last few grand slam appearances (this one included), but had some odd results in between.

The fact is, he’s looked outstanding the last few weeks, both in qualifying and in taking on legitimate main draw opposition.

Now he’s added a career-best win rankings wise against the Greek No. 1 and he did so in impressively resilient fashion. After all, he was down 2 sets to 1 and a break of serve in the fourth and just a game from elimination. Against a server like Tsitsipas, he was as good as out. Yet here he is.

Armed with that huge lefty game, I love him to continue his breakout run with a win on Friday.

Benjamin Bonzi Recent Form

It has been a downright miserable few months for the 27-year-old since returning from injury.

He’s not only struggled for wins, but he’s had some inexplicably poor losses along the way to boot (see: Steven Diez on a hard court at the Challenger level). He’s simply looked far too underpowered and has been searching for ways to actually win points on his own outside of landing a first serve.

Even this week, he’s only beaten his similarly-out-of-form compatriot Quentin Halys and a clearly sick Chris Eubanks (and even then he needed four sets and a tiebreak in the fourth against a player that could barely move around the court and was nauseous from the end of the second set onwards).

Reaching the third round of a grand slam may help with that from a confidence perspective, but looking at this from a betting standpoint, it’s not enough to make me shift my price off of Stricker being a substantial favourite in this one.

Dominic Stricker vs Benjamin Bonzi H2H – Stat of the Match

With each of these guys having spent the last several years on the Challenger Tour, it’s actually incredibly surprising that they have yet to play each other on the professional circuit.

As for the stat to look for in this one, it’s all about the discrepancy in serve. This season, Stricker has posted a higher ace rate, first and second-serve win percentage and hold rate.

With neither of these guys being natural-born returners, nor are they particularly poor in that department, I’m inclined to back the player who has the ability to dictate more naturally, as well as find cheaper points behind their in what could be a rather close affair.

Odds as at 2:30 am UK Time on September 1st, 2023. Odds may now differ.

RESPONSIBLE GAMBLING

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