Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Western and Southern Open Preview and Expert Tip: Medvedev to Move Through Zverev Once More

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev (Western and Southern Open): Thursday, August 17th

Another well-identified poor price in the markets that we simply couldn’t find full rewards for. Ben Shelton pushed Stefanos Tsitsipas to a pair of tiebreaks and wasn’t broken once in the two sets as he sent the match over the games total, even if it didn’t produce the most exciting tennis. He simply couldn’t snag one of the two toss-up tiebreaks (he did lead one by an all-important mini break, however) or win the match.

Onto Thursday, where our ATP preview from the Western & Southern Open centres on Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev.

In this article:

• Expert Tip
• Daniil Medvedev Recent Form
• Alexander Zverev Recent Form
• Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Expert Tip

In a match of two strong servers who can both play some gritty tennis from the baseline, I’m more inclined to side with the player that I believe has played a consistently higher level match-to-match this season in Medvedev.

His head-to-head success is nice as well, though it isn’t by any means a deciding factor in pulling the trigger on this wager.

Read on for more expert insights.

• Expert Tip: Medvedev -3 Games at 1.95 with Pinnacle, using 3/10 stakes.

Daniil Medvedev Recent Form

There may be no player to be done with the “natural surface” (clay and grass) seasons as the Russian, who has been sublime on hard courts this year.

He was the best player of the first few months of the season, thanks to his hard-court prowess and racking up four titles, along with another final at a Masters 1000 event in Indian Wells.

While his run in Toronto seemed a bit lackadaisical, he was thorough in his evisceration of Lorenzo Musetti (somebody he wasn’t nearly as dominant in that Toronto run) in his first match this week.

Much more well-suited to quicker hard courts, it makes sense that Medvedev is enjoying himself far more this week relative to last, and should look stronger as the week progresses.

Alexander Zverev Recent Form

It’s hard to make the case that Zverev hasn’t had a good season, considering the fact that he’s won an ATP 500 event in Hamburg on clay, reached the semifinals at the French Open, as well as the 500 in Halle on grass and in Dubai on hard courts.

He’s worked his ranking back into the top-20 after a gruesome ankle injury suffered at the 2022 French Open and he’s through to the third round this week.

The fact is, his results tell one story, and the eye test tell another.

He’s won a lot of his matches in rather ugly fashion this year and his short summer hard-court season is no different.

After just getting by Tallon Griekspoor in Toronto, he was absolutely crushed by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This week he did manage a dominant win over Grigor Dimitrov, but that was a match impacted in a big way by the wind, which he adjusted to well and his opponent never managed to.

Then against the weaponless, but ultra consistent Yoshihito Nishioka, he was pushed in both sets, with errors drawn from his racquet on a consistent basis.

Not the greatest match to have played coming into this contest, since Medvedev can start points really well, and make you play a lot of balls himself. Combine having a much larger serve and forehand combination and he certainly has the ability to finish the job Nishioka started.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev H2H – Stat of the Match

Medvedev leads this head-to-head series all time by a 10-6 margin, but it’s been his dominance over his German counterpart that has stood out. Despite both being strong players with a big serve and consistent play from the baseline, Medvedev has clipped Zverev all three times they’ve met this season – including a pair of wins from losing positions.

A big reason why is the error rate of these two. That is our stat of the match for this contest as well.

In 2023, Zverev has put up far more clunker type matches and on hard courts has simply committed more errors.

He’s seen over 21% of his points on hard courts this season end with him committing a needless mistake, while Medvedev is about 2% better. That may not seem like a lot, but much like service points or return points won, a few percentage points can swing the result of a set in a low-margin sport like tennis.

Medvedev is just the much more consistent player, who puts up error-strewn sets far less often of the two men with somewhat similar game styles going toe-to-toe in this one.

Odds as at 4:00 am UK Time on August 17th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

Responsible Gambling

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