Dalibor Svrcina vs Zhe Li Huafa Properties Zhuhai Championships Expert Tip: Back Ascending Youngster to Move Through

Dalibor Svrina vs Zhe Li (Huafa Properties Zhuhai Championships): Wednesday, September 20th

Nice quick win for Gijs Brouwer in Saint-Tropez on Tuesday. For our Wednesday preview, we’ll check out the night match from the Huafa Properties Zhuhai Championships in China, as the ATP Tour makes its return to China for the first time in several years and look more at Dalibor Svrcina vs Zhe Li.

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

In this article:

• Dalibor Svrcina vs Zhe Li Expert Tip
• Dalibor Svrcina Recent Form
• Zhe Li Recent Form
• Dalibor Svrcina vs Zhe Li H2H Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

Dalibor Svrcina vs Zhe Li Expert Tip

It’s another instance where I vehemently disagree with the market’s early assessment of a match.

The 37-year-old Li has barely played above the ITF Tour level in the last few years and hasn’t done a whole heck of a lot in the last two to three seasons to warrant taking money and pushing this handicap down below four games.

Svrcina may not be the strongest hard courter in the world, but he’s a far more versatile and athletic player at this stage and he has had some surprising results even on hard courts in the last few seasons. I’ll gladly take him against an ageing and less dimensional player only in this tournament because of his wild card status.

• Expert Tip: Svrcina -3.5 Games at 1.91 with Pinnacle, using 5/10 stakes. Svrcina -4 Games at 2.14 with Pinnacle, using 2/10 stakes.

Odds as at 2:30 am UK Time on September 20th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

Read on for more expert insights.

Dalibor Svrcina Recent Form

The summer has been a mix of good and bad for the 20-year-old.

He’s been to a Challenger final in Finland on clay, and another quarterfinal in Liberec on the dirt, but his hard-court matches haven’t gone nearly as well.

He was sent packing in Stanford by Michael Mmoh and then lost from a dominant set up against Felipe Meligeni in New York in the opening round of qualifying. The caveat here, however, is that both Mmoh and Meligeni are established Challenger players and borderline ATP Tour calibre opponents.

The Svrcina game is heavily based on incredibly consistent play from the baseline, the ability to extend points and coax unforced errors from his opposition’s racquet.

On quicker surfaces, however, we’ve also seen his serve play up a bit, assisting him in covering up what is normally a liability.

I’m not saying Svrcina is a threat to go deep this week, but to have him mov below the -4 game mark in this particular matchup doesn’t feel right.

Zhe Li Recent Form

Outside of a run to a Challenger semifinal in Zhuhai a few weeks back, there is very little to like about Li’s form. He’s beaten a slew of less talented and lesser known players at the lower levels of the sport, and even that run in Zhuhai consisted of two unknown players at that level and then a player who has long been suspected of potentially fixing matches.

Throw in some really poor losses to players much worse than Svrcina that came in straight sets and I’m left wondering where the confidence in the veteran comes from.

Had Svrcina been coming from a North American event last week, I’d be hesitant to back him due to the extended travel. The journey from Europe is much less taxing, and the Czech isn’t off a particularly long week either.

Dalibor Svrcina vs Zhe Li – Stat of the Match

With Svrcina being so young and Li having been away from the European scene for so long (as well as the two preferring different surfaces), it comes as no surprise that these two have yet to meet in their professional careers.

Even statistically, it’s tough to find anything to point at here, since Li plays so sparingly above the ITF Tour level where it’s tough to find data for, meaning the sample size wouldn’t be nearly large enough to draw many conclusions from.

That in and of itself is part of the reason why I like Svrcina here though. The lack of real competition and a still relatively pedestrian record for Li certainly has me questioning how prepared he is for a match like this.

SAFER GAMBLING

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