Coco Gauff vs Jelena Ostapenko U.S. Open Preview and Expert Tip: Can Ostapenko Keep Rolling in New York?

Coco Gauff vs Jelena Ostapenko (U.S. Open) Tuesday, September 5th

A nice routine victory for Aryna Sabalenka over Daria Kasatkina in what may be the most lopsided matchup among top-15 players on the WTA Tour right now.

For our Tuesday preview from the women’s draw, we’re into the quarterfinals at the U.S. Open. Let’s break down Coco Gauff vs Jelena Ostapenko.

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

In this article:

• Coco Gauff vs Jelena Ostapenko Expert Tip
• Coco Gauff Recent Form
• Jelena Ostapenko Recent Form
• Coco Gauff vs Jelena Ostapenko H2H Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

Coco Gauff vs Jelena Ostapenko Expert Tip

I’ve been backing Gauff in her last few matches, as I’m big on the somewhat-improved forehand, strong serve and well-rounded game. The problem is, she’s been utterly disappointing in her last two wins. While it must be noted that she’s really found her level in the third sets, matchup-wise she shouldn’t have needed three sets against either Elise Mertens or Caroline Wozniacki in 2023.

Ostapenko is one of the more volatile players on tour, but with that comes a talent level that not many possess. Her results have reflected as much, with a seven-match win streak during the grass season halted only by a retirement, before she failed to win more than a match at three successive events. Now? She’s into the quarterfinals in New York, with a win over Iga Swiatek along the way.

She’s also been very strong in her third sets the last week, and I’m big on her ability to crush the ball – particularly on the forehand side where she can rush an improved, but still vulnerable Gauff forehand.

With her mentality and personality, one should not be overly concerned with the sure-to-be hostile crowd either. If anything, she’ll embrace the villain role in this contest.

Read on for more expert insights.

• Expert Tips: Ostapenko to win at 3.00 with Bet365, using 1/10 stakes.

Coco Gauff Recent Form

It’s been a dream summer on home soil for the American teen.

A title in Washington, another in Cincinnati and now the quarterfinals at the year’s final grand slam tournament.

As I alluded to earlier, though, the wins haven’t been the most convincing so far in Queens. Three sets to beat Wozniacki and Mertens, as well as Laura Siegemund leaves a bit to be desired.

Her serve has also been a tad too vulnerable for my liking. Make no mistake, her first delivery is very strong. It’s a strength not many other women possess, but when it’s not hitting at a high enough rate, the second serve is attackable, and we’ve seen her susceptible to being broken through four matches.

I also think the slew of wins she’s managed to string together since adding Brad Gilbert to her team has made her a tad overvalued in the betting markets, compared to her play on court (as I’ve learned the hard way in her last few matches). In the right spots, she’s a player that may be profitable to oppose.

Jelena Ostapenko Recent Form

Much like her game on-court, the form has been hit-or-miss this season from the world No. 21 (though that ranking will rise in the coming days).

She now has two quarterfinals at slams…but also has a pair of second-round exits.

She has a title to her name and a semifinal at a 1000 event…yet has also gone months without making it past the final 16 at an event (February through April).

As a former grand slam champion, there is no doubting her abilities.

Ostapenko has elite tier ball striking capabilities and can put anyone on the back foot in a match when she isn’t hitting a bevy of unforced errors.

Much like Bernarda Pera, the talent is too strong for me to pass up odds in the 3.00 range for her.

Coco Gauff vs Jelena Ostapenko Head to Head – Stat of the Match

They’ve tangled twice in the past, with each woman winning once. Gauff got the Latvian in three sets at an indoor event in Austria four years ago, while Ostapenko managed to down Gauff in straight sets earlier this season in Melbourne at the other hard-court grand slam tournament.

Statistically, this match is going to come down to who can back up their second serve more effectively – or, just not have to rely on it as much. In eight combined matches so far, only Gauff (against Mirra Andreeva) managed to win at least half of her second serve points in a match.

As a result, she who can make that serve less vulnerable could very well emerge victorious. Of course, if either can land 65% or more of their first serves, that would help mask the problem as well.

Odds as at 3:45 am UK Time on September 4th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

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