Brandon Nakashima vs Chris Eubanks Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, March 6th 2024

The third preview of the day also comes from the BNP Paribas Open, with this one being the first of the day from the ATP draw. Let’s look at our Brandon Nakashima vs Chris Eubanks prediction.

Eubanks’ win probability is 44.2% while Nakashima is favoured to win at 1.69 odds. The handicap is 1.5 games and the total games line is 23.5.

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

Our Nakashima vs Eubanks prediction is for Nakashima to win and cover the 1.5- game handicap.

In this article:

• Brandon Nakashima vs Chris Eubanks Prediction
• Brandon Nakashima Recent Form
• Chris Eubanks Recent Form
• Brandon Nakashima vs Chris Eubanks H2H Stat of the Match
• Safer Gambling

Brandon Nakashima vs Chris Eubanks Prediction

• Predictions: Nakashima to win & Nakashima -1.5 Games
• Best Odds: 1.69 & 1.91
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10 & 2/10

Odds as at 2:00 am UK Time on March 6th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

What a big change a few months of grinding down on the Challenger Tour circuit can make. Nakashima has returned to the top-100 in the world and has had a week back on home soil to rest up and get some practice in on the slower courts out in California.

While both he and Eubanks prefer quicker courts, I’m more keen to back the better baseliner here, who has stepped up a bit more on return this season than he managed to a year ago. He’s only managed to break at a 20% rate, but that has been in pretty quick conditions, and he’s held 90% of the time, giving him an impressive 110% hold plus break.

Now that’s been at the lower level, but it’s not like Eubanks has been tearing it up at the main tour level.

In fact, since the magical grass season and Atlanta quarterfinal, Eubanks has yet to win more than one match at any given tournament. It appears as though he’s bitten off more than he can chew playing full-time with the best in the world and his serve-centric game isn’t exactly going to be playing in its most fruitful conditions in Indian Wells.

Read on for more expert insights.

Brandon Nakashima Recent Form

I’m not sure how much of a success Nakashima would consider his first few months of 2024, but after his lacklustre 2023 season, even racking up wins against decent competition in Challenger events has to be a step forward.

There haven’t been many high-profile victories, but the opponents that have beaten him have all had explosive games – both from the service line as well as the baseline.

Players like Jakub Mensik (who has now made a final on the main tour) have beaten him twice and are some of the best young players in the world, Leandro Riedi is one of the best indoor players you’ll find on the lower circuit and Jurij Rodionov is both explosive and athletic and likely only beat Nakashima thanks to the American running out of steam after several lengthy weeks of play back-to-back.

He has been better this year statistically and his service game and ability to hit heavy shots and finish points has still been strong as well.

Taking on a less-dimensional server should help him a bit and there’s no doubt about the fact that he’s the form player in this particular match.

Chris Eubanks Recent Form

That streak of winning one or fewer matches at an event? It’s now sitting at 12 tournaments. He hasn’t made the decision to re-group and head down to the Challenger Tour to regain some form and rhythm (as Nakashima has) and one has to wonder if that’s the right call.

Eubanks is heavily reliant on his booming first serve, plus-one power on his forehand and his intelligent timing when it comes to rushing the net.

Other than that, there isn’t a whole lot to his game. His movement isn’t the greatest and his backhand – a one-hander that looked sensational, but potentially unsustainable last summer – has certainly regressed.

That backhand may have more time in the slower conditions, but his approach game will also be more susceptible to passing shots and his serve may lose some potency.

Brandon Nakashima vs Chris Eubanks H2H – Stat of the Match

These two have played four times in the past. The lone meeting that is relevant was in Atlanta last summer, where Eubanks won a very close third set. Now, that was on one of the quicker outdoor hard courts on tour, where Eubanks was able to keep points much shorter and capitalise on a less effective Nakashima return game.

With more time on return and a return game that has looked a bit better, Nakashima should be able to flip the script on his compatriot this time around.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.