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Horse Racing UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill Best Bet - 2 Value Wagers for Saturday’s Main Event
UFC Fight Night: Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill Best Bet: Saturday, May 20th
With 4 consecutive profitable UFC events under our belt, we turn our attention to UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill hoping to continue this run. We will be betting on the main event once again with the bookmakers and the betting public giving us huge value for the clash between Mackenzie Dern and Angela Hill.
In this article:
Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill Preview
Sun, May 21st. 01:00 (UK time)
Mackenzie Dern is making her 11th appearance under the UFC banner this Saturday night, hoping to bounce back from her most recent decision loss against Yan Xionan. She is now ranked 8th in the Women’s Strawweight division with a 7-3 record since joining the UFC back in 2018. She has won just 1 of her last 3 fights and hasn’t tasted victory in over a year, but the bookmakers and a majority of the betting public expect her to come out on top against Hill this weekend.
This made my spidey senses go off and I spilt my morning coffee when I saw the line. Dern is valued as the favourite at 1.61 with 80% of the betting public backing her to win according to Unibet. Hill, on the other hand, is listed at 2.55 at the same bookmaker with a very small portion of punters giving her the nod. This is insane! I see this as a much closer fight than the odds suggest. Why?
Mackenzie Dern is a good fighter, don’t get me wrong, I am well aware of her qualities, but also her flaws. For one, Dern is a world-class grappler with a black belt in BJJ as well as numerous medals in prestigious world competitions like ADCC, the World Cup and more. However, she is still not a good offensive grappler, averaging just 0.61 takedowns per 15 and a takedown accuracy of just 11%. This is definitely not going to cut it against a fighter like Hill.
Angela Hill is an experienced fighter with a total of 27 MMA fights under her belt. Granted, that 15-12 record is nothing to write home about, but she is on a 2-fight winning streak and coming off a dominant performance. The momentum is definitely on her side but it’s not just that. Hill is mostly known for her striking, averaging 5.68 strikes per minute and a takedown defence of 77%.
Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill Best Bet
If Dern is unable to get this fight down to the ground, she will be in big trouble. We have seen some improvement in the striking department on her side recently, but she is facing a striking specialist with a kickboxing background and we don’t think she will be able to compete.
Hill is coming into this fight with a lot of momentum and the only thing we need her to do is stuff a few takedowns. This shouldn’t be too difficult, and we expect her to come out on top and get the nod from the judges at the end.
- Selection: Angela Hill to Win
- Best Odds: 2.55 (Unibet)
- Stakes: 3/10
- Bonus: Hill by Decision at 3.55 odds and 1/10 stakes @ Unibet
Odds as at 1:00 pm on May 17th, 2023. Odds may now differ.
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