Basketball | Tuesday, February 20, 2024 9:35 AM

Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction: February 20th Game Info, Odds, Trends, Stats

IMAGO / USA TODAY Network - San Diego State Aztecs head coach Brian Dutcher reacts during the first half against the Colorado State Rams at Viejas Arena.

EJ Garr

US Sports Expert

We’re turning our attention to the first-place showdown in the Mountain West Conference between Utah State and San Diego State on Tuesday night. The Aggies and Aztecs are tied for the top spot in the MWC headed into this clash in Logan, Utah, and the conference tournament is only two weeks away!

Which program wants the #1 seed bad enough? Let’s see what Ej has to say about his expectations for this highly anticipated game from the Mountain West Conference.

The Utah State Aggies are listed as slight home favourites with a -1.5 on the Handicap, and bet365 is showing 144.5 on the Match Total.

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Odds are available as of February 20th. Odds may now differ.

Our Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction is the Match Total Over 144.5 Points.

Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs PICKS AND PREDICTION

The featured game of the night in the Mountain West Conference features a battle for the top slot in the standings, and with only four games remaining in the regular season, this game could ultimately decide the 1-seed on the conference tourney.

It looked like the Aggies were feeling the pressure of the race to the finish line from their Saturday performance against Colorado State. The Rams handed the Aggies a 20-point beatdown this past weekend, and Utah State was only able to produce 55 points in the losing effort on the road. Returning home should benefit the Aggies considering they are 11 – 1 in Logan, and can I say how happy I am they did flop in that game because of how it affected tonight’s total?

I will tell you right now that if the Aggies pounded the Rams on Saturday and scored 83+ points, this total would be 147… EASY! It was 81 – 67 in the first meeting between these teams in San Diego two weeks ago, and with that win the Aztecs have now beaten the Aggies the last five times they’ve met.

Only one team has held the Aggies under 77 points at home this campaign, and Utah State averages 80.1 PPG overall this year ranking them 49th in the country, The Aggies are going to pick up the pieces from a horrible outing against the Rams, the home crowd is going to do the rest for us.

The Aztecs have won four of their last five games, and they are coming off an 81-point effort against New Mexico resulting in an 11-point win. Keep in mind that last Saturday, the San Diego State vs New Mexico game was also a battle between two teams that are battling for first place in the Mountain West Conference table, as this race is as wide open as it gets.

Any team in the top 5 of the standings can win the 1-seed for the conference tourney, but this game will undoubtedly have an impact on that. I see a 78 – 75 game with over 150 points hitting the scoreboard, so play the total and I’ll see you tomorrow!

Selection: Match Total Over 144.5 Points
Best Odds: 1.91
Bookmaker: bet365
Stakes: 5/10

Go with our tip at bet365

GAME INFO

Wednesday, February 21st
Time: 02:05 UK Time
Venue: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, UT

UTAH STATE AGGIES VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS Odds

Utah State vs San Diego State Betting Lines
bet365 Odds	Moneyline	Match Total	Handicap
Utah State	1.75	Over 144.5	Aggies -1.5
San Diego State	2.15	Under 144.5	Aztecs +1.5

Odds are available as of February 20th. Odds may now differ.

Go with our tip at bet365

TRENDS

San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games.
Utah State has only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 30 games.
Utah State has only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games.
Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games.

UTAH STATE AGGIES SCHEDULE AND FORM

Feb 27th AT Fresno State
Mar 1st Home vs Air Force
Mar 6th AT San Jose State
Mar 9th Home vs New Mexico
End Regular Season

Great Osobor did all he could to try to give life to the Aggies in the loss to Colorado State scoring 15 points and grabbing 13 rebounds. Osobor now has 12 double-doubles this year, and he leads the Aggies roster putting up 17.8 PPG.

The Aggies have three other players averaging double-digits this year, and Darius Brown II has some making up to do tonight! Brown was held to only 2 points in the 75 – 55 loss to the Rams this past weekend, and he has been averaging 12.4 PPG over his last 10 games.

Mason Falsev is one of the four players averaging double-digits for the Aggies, and he only scored 3 points in the losing effort to New Mexico. Falsev has only scored a total of 7 points over his last two games, so the Aggies bench better be ready to relieve him.

SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS SCHEDULE AND FORM

Feb 24th AT Fresno State
Feb 27th Home vs San Jose State
Mar 5th AT UNLV
Mar 8th Home vs Boise State
End Regular Season

Jaedon Ledee is an animal, as he has yet to be held to under double-digit scoring in any game this campaign. He is coming off his 14th game with over 20 points in the win over New Mexico this past weekend, and he is averaging 20.4 PPG for the campaign.

Reese Waters needs to pick up his game, as his average is down to 11.2 PPG, and he has not scored more than 8 points in 5 of his last 7 games.

LaMont Butler has increased his output over the last 11 games having been a double-digit scorer in 7 of those affairs to bring his average to 9.9 PPG. Another double-digit effort could push him to become the Aztecs’ third player averaging double-digits this season.

WHERE TO WATCH

This game can be seen on the CBS Sports Network at 7:05 PM MST (US).

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.

Today’s Daily Nap

HYMAC

Newbury 2.20 (UK time)

Harry Fry maintains an excellent strike rate every winter, and his unexposed young chaser is expected to relish the decent underfoot conditions expected at Newbury on Saturday. His stamina ebbed up the Cheltenham hill when third over an extended 3m3f last time out (couple of mistakes in rear not helping initially), and this flat track on better ground can see him back on the winning trail under Bryan Carver.

Odds: 6.00

bet with pricedUP

Today’s Value Angle

JIPCOT

Newbury 1.45 (UK time)

Jonjo O’Neill’s handicapper has been easy to back and in need of the run in two sighters so far this winter, but those steady run races did not suit at all and he could be a different proposition now tackling this stronger handicap. This flatter track on decent ground should suit (strong traveller), and he can see them all off under a positive ride from Kielan Woods.

Odds: 9.00

bet with pricedUPOdds correct as at 1am December 28th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

ITV Racing Tips – Saturday December 28th

Time (UK)	Track	Horse	Analysis
1:45	Newbury	JIPCOT	Jonjo O’Neill’s handicapper has been easy to back and in need of the run in two sighters so far this winter, but those steady run races did not suit at all and he could be a different proposition now tackling this stronger handicap. This flatter track on decent ground should suit (strong traveller), and he can see them all off under a positive ride from Kielan Woods.
2:00	Leopardstown	HOME BY THE LEE	Joseph O’Brien’s stayer has now won 4 of his 18 career starts over hurdles, and returned to his best form when comfortably taking a Navan Grade 2 in November. He is a thorough relentless stayer at this trip, and a positive ride on the eased ground should make him very hard to pass up the straight.
2:20	Newbury	HYMAC	Harry Fry maintains an excellent strike rate every winter, and his unexposed young chaser is expected to relish the decent underfoot conditions expected at Newbury on Saturday. His stamina ebbed up the Cheltenham hill when third over an extended 3m3f last time out (couple of mistakes in rear not helping initially), and this flat track on better ground can see him back on the winning trail under Bryan Carver.
2:35	Leopardstown	FACT TO FILE	Wille Mullins very progressive chaser is now 4 from 5 in this sphere, and made a terrific return to the fray when taking the Grade 1 John Durkan at Punchestown in November (showing a tenacious attitude in a tight finish despite thought to just be in need of his first run in eight months).
2:55	Newbury	BILL JOYCE	Jonjo O’Neill’s freegoing novice created a deep impression when winning a Sandown Grade 2 earlier in the month, tanking through the race under restraint and remarkably seeing things out strongly up the sapping final climb to home. This better ground and flatter track can see him in an even more positive light now upped in class, and there is plenty more to come after just two starts so far over hurdles.
3:35	Newbury	THEFORMISMIGHTY	Dan Skelton has enjoyed a fantastic December, and his unexposed young chaser can defy the handicapper (upped 10lb) by following up his ready Southwell win 25 days ago (very well backed and drew easily clear turning for home).

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