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Football | Tuesday, June 18, 2024 7:21 AM

Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction: Euro 2024 Team News and Lineups Preview

Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction: Euro 2024 Team News and Lineups Preview
PRESSINPHOTO SPORTS AGENCY / Alamy Stock Photo: Aleksandar Mitrovic of Serbia during the UEFA Euro 2024 match

Slovenia earned a hard-fought draw against Denmark in their first Group C outing. The point gives them an advantage over their opponents here but Serbia won’t be disheartened by their first game. The Serbs were narrowly beaten 1-0 by England. They were able to restrict Gareth Southgate’s side to very few chances and managed to get the game out of the way without suffering on goal difference.

Our Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction is: draw 1-1

Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction 1: Honours Even in Cagey Affair

Europe, Euro 2024, Thursday, June 20th, 14:00 (UK)

Slovenia‘s form coming into the competition was strong. They are now unbeaten in seven matches but they had to dig deep to keep that run going in their opening group game against Denmark. They were able to retain just 32% possession but did manage to create two big chances despite having to remain compact. 

A positive result against Serbia is seemingly a must with England awaiting them in the final group match. Expect them to sit deep and look to remain solid once again. Slovenia are the underdogs but their recent form makes the draw an appealing bet. They have already shown they are capable of frustrating more talented teams and their last two matches have ended all square.

There was little in the way of goalmouth action as Serbia lost against England. Both teams combined for an xG of just 0.7 and there were just 11 shots in the match. Serbia have the firepower required up front but they should be reluctant to open up once again. They have picked up just two wins in their last seven matches.

  • Slovenia vs Serbia  Prediction 1: Draw (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 3.40
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 5/10

Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction 2: Attacks to Come Out on Top

While this doesn’t look set to be a particularly high-scoring game, there looks to be a decent chance that both teams will score in the match. This bet landed in five of the opening seven matches of the tournament and the second round of fixtures tends to see more action with some teams staring down the barrel of elimination.

Serbia scored an average of 1.88 goals per game during their qualifying campaign which saw them finish four points behind Hungary. They conceded an average of 1.12 over that period. In their last 10 matches, Serbia have managed to keep just two clean sheets.

Slovenia boast a strong scoring record in their recent games. Their last 10 matches, including friendlies, have seen them score an average of 1.6 goals per game. They are conceding just 0.8 goals on average in those matches but Serbia must roll the dice in this encounter. 

These teams went head-to-head in the UEFA Nations League back in 2022. Both teams scored in both matches. The most recent of which was a 2-2 draw.

  • Slovenia vs Serbia  Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.83
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 8/10

Slovenia vs Serbia  Prediction 3: Mitrovic to Make an Impact

Aleksandar Mitrovic is the main goal threat for Serbia. He forms a deadly strike partnership with Dusan Vlahovic and their physical presence should cause problems for the Slovenian backline in this game. The former Fulham striker had to feed off scraps in his team’s first game against England.  He had just 24 touches and failed to muster up a single shot on target. However, he will undoubtedly survive here, with Serbia set to see much more of the ball.

Mitrovic moved to the Saudi Pro League when he was at the peak of his powers but he still continues to have an impact for the national team. He was part of a large swathe of players who moved to the Gulf nation after Cristiano Ronaldp’s move to Al-Nassr but only Cristiano managed to score more league goals than Mitrovic last season. Aleksandar scored 28 goals in 28 league appearances to help AL-Hilal win the title.

The striker is Serbia’s all-time top scorer having scored 58 goals in 92 appearances for this country. He scored in their final warm-up game against Sweden and would love to grab his first goal of the tournament here. 

  • Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction 3: Aleksandar Mitrovic To Score
  • Best Odds: 2.75
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 6/10

Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction odds via bet365 as at 11:33, June 17th, 2024. Copa America 2024 Odds may now differ.


Slovenia vs Serbia Euro 2024 Team News and Possible Lineups: Standout Strikers Must Perform

Benjamin Sesko is the standout player for Slovenia. He has attracted interest from the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United in recent months but has recently penned a new deal that will keep him at RB Leipzig. There were no injury concerns for Matjaz Kek following the first game.

Filip Kostic came off injured for Serbia in their game against England the short turnaround means it’s unlikely he will feature here. Dusan Tadic was dropped from the starting eleven for the first game but could well return for this one with the Serbs looking to show more attacking impetus. Milinkovic-Savic could be the player that drops out to accommodate the additional attacker. 

Slovenia possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Karnicnik, Drkusicm Bijol, Janza; Stojanovic, Cerin, Elsnik, Mlakar; Sporar, Sesko

Serbia possible starting lineup:
Rajkovic; Veljkovic, Milenkovic, Pavlovic; Zivkovic, Lukic, Gudelj, Madenovic; Tadic, Vlahovic, Mitrovic


Euro 2024 Match OPTA Stats: Slovenia hard to beat

  • Slovenia and Serbia (then playing as FR Yugoslavia) previously met at UEFA EURO 2000. They drew 3-3 in the group stages after Slovenia were 3-0 up. It’s the only time a team has failed to win a UEFA EURO match after having led by 3+ goals.
  • Six of the previous eight matches between Slovenia and Serbia in all competitions have ended in a draw, with each side winning once apiece in the others.
  • Slovenia and Serbia last met in the UEFA Nations League, in June 2022. Serbia won 4-1 in Belgrade before a 2-2 draw in Ljubljana a week later.
  • Slovenia have played more matches at the UEFA European Championship without ever winning than any other nation, drawing three and losing one of their four matches in the competition.
  • Including games as Yugoslavia, Serbia won two of their first three matches at the UEFA European Championship (L1), reaching the final in both 1960 and 1968. However, since then they’ve won one of their 12 matches in the competition (D2 L9).
  • In all competitions, Slovenia have lost just two of their last 22 matches (W13 D7), going down 2-0 against Finland and 2-1 against Denmark last year in EURO qualifying.

Slovenia Group C Euro 2024 Fixtures: No easy end to Group C

  • Vs England (N)

Serbia Group C Euro 2024 Fixtures: Same Story for the Serbs

  • Vs Denmark (N)

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