Monaco vs PSG Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Here we’ve got a Monaco vs PSG prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview, a fixture which was once dubbed ‘Le Cashique’ Ligue 1 leaders PSG travel to the south coast to face Monaco.

This should be a glitzy affair this Friday evening and French expert Steve Wyss previews the game, bringing you the best value and angles at Le Stade Louis II.

Our Monaco vs PSG prediction is for a 2-2 draw

Monaco vs PSG Prediction, Team News, Lineups and Fixtures Preview

1. Monaco vs PSG Tip 1: Monaco Total Goals Over 1.5
2. Monaco vs PSG Tip 2: Monaco +0.5 Asian Handicap
3. Monaco vs PSG Tip 3: Over 3 Asian Goals

In this article:

• Monaco vs PSG Team News and Possible Lineups
• The Monaco vs PSG, Ligue 1 Standings Prediction
• Monaco vs PSG Match Stats
• Monaco Fixtures
• PSG Fixtures
• Safer Gambling

Monaco vs PSG Tip 1: Hosts carry strong scoring threat

France, Ligue 1, Friday 1st March, 20:00 (UK)

Monaco is not a team that I fully trust, and the key is to get them in the right spot and moments. Last week, it was good to win with the principality side on a DNB handicap away to Lens, with Minamino scoring a late goal to earn them a thrilling 3-2 victory.

That match rather sums up Monaco in a nutshell: They carry plenty of offensive threats but can’t be relied upon defensively. I think the best value bet in this match is for the home team to score over 1.5 goals at a juicy odds-against price. This isn’t the sort of fixture in which Monaco will lie down, and I expect them to put some pressure on PSG.

Monaco has scored at least two goals in 16 of their 23 Ligue 1 games this season, which demonstrates their firepower. The likes of Balogun, Ben Yedder, Minamino and Golovin all make up for a strong attack force, and they usually raise their game vs PSG, scoring three times in all of the last three meetings vs them at this venue.

PSG’s defence is hardly impenetrable, keeping just two clean sheets in their last nine games, and one of those contained a missed penalty by the opposition. With a Champions League game on the horizon, PSG could be distracted. As a bare minimum, I expect Monaco to net twice past the reigning champions.

• Monaco vs PSG Tip 1: Monaco Over 1.5 Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.20
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 10/10

Monaco vs PSG Tip 2: Monaco can profit from PSG distraction

Once again, I am going to have faith in Monaco, which feels very uncomfortable. Les Monegasques are not a team that I trust, and they are a side that I think most people vastly overrate. They were lucky to beat Lens last week but have plenty of offensive weapons that can save their skin and individual performers who can beat anyone on the day.

This is a nice spot for them to play against PSG. The runaway league leaders are 11 points clear at the summit of the table, but nobody below is putting any pressure on them. Even if they lost to Monaco here, the gap would be, at worst, ten points to the south coast outfit, so there is no immediate need for PSG to produce their best stuff. The capital club knows that barring a freakish set of circumstances, they will be champions again, so Luis Enrique can switch his focus to Europe.

On Tuesday, PSG faces a trip to the Basque Country to face Real Sociedad. They hold a 2-0 advantage but have performed badly on the road this season in the Champions League. It’s a tough place to go, and Luis Enrique will be well aware that there will be times they have to dig in next week and grind out the result. The priority focus and attention will be on the trip to Spain, so PSG could be distracted mentally. There’s also the chance of some rest and rotation in preparation.

It’s a perfect time to face PSG, so I think Monaco can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0.5 line and avoid defeat. They have a tremendous recent H2H record vs PSG at this venue, beating them at Le Stade Louis II on the last three occasions. This fixture is one of the few times that this stadium feels alive, and Monaco usually plays their best football against PSG. It’s tough on the stomach to trust Monaco two weeks in a row, but this looks like the right bet, considering the circumstances.

• Monaco vs PSG Tip 2: Monaco +0.5 Asian Handicap (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.84
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

Monaco vs PSG Tip 3: This fixture should be an obvious hot-spot for goals

It doesn’t take Einstein to work out there’s a good chance of this being a high-scoring encounter. Both sides rank in the top three for over 2.5 goal games in Ligue 1, and fixtures involving each team average 3.40 and 3.20 goals, respectively.

This matchup is rarely a cagey affair and contains two teams with big egos who will have a proper go at each other. It is not in Monaco’s DNA to be cautious and passive vs PSG, which immediately leads towards an open style of contest. The Over 3 Asian goal line has plenty of appeal and feels like at least a push is possible from it.

Monaco hasn’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last nine league games and cannot be relied upon defensively. Whichever combination of attack Luis Enrique uses, they will get chances, and the likelihood is that PSG will score multiple goals. I have already mentioned with my first pick for the game that I strongly like Monaco to net at least twice here.

Unless a glutton of chances are missed or the goalkeepers lay on sensational displays, then there’s absolutely no reason why Over 3 Asian goals doesn’t land. Nothing is pointing towards a tight or cagey contest, and the goals could flow in the Principality.

• Monaco vs PSG Tip 3: Over 3 Asian Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.85
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 9/10

Monaco vs PSG Prediction odds via bet365 as at 08:30, February 26th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Monaco vs PSG Team News and Possible Lineups: Kehrer back from suspension

Monaco have injury concerns to midfielder Mohamed Camara and Krepin Diatta. Right back Thilo Kehrer returns from suspension.

PSG still have injuries to the likes of Presnel Kimpembe, Marquinhos and Milan Skriniar. With a big Champions League tie upcoming then there could be some rest and rotation.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Majecki, Kehrer, Salisu, Marzipan, Singo, Golovin, Zakaria, Fofana, Minamino, Ben Yedder, Balogun

PSG possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma, Hernandez, Pereira, Hakimi, Lee, Ruiz, Vitinha, Barcola, Mbappe, Dembele

The Predicted Monaco vs PSG, Ligue 1 Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Ligue 1 standings ahead of the Monaco vs PSG, currently 3rd vs 1st, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Monaco vs PSG Standings Prediction

Match Stats: Not a happy hunting ground for PSG

• Monaco have won their last three home Ligue 1 fixtures vs PSG
• PSG are unbeaten in 18 league games after a late penalty saved them last week vs Rennes (1-1)
• Fixtures involving these sides average over 3 goals per game this season
• PSG have the best away record in the division with 8 wins out of 11 and no defeats

Monaco Fixtures: Soft run of games soon

• Vs Strasbourg (A)
• Vs Lorient (H)
• Vs Metz (A)
• Vs Rennes (H)
• Vs Lille (H)

PSG Fixtures: Focus on Champions League tie?

• Vs Real Sociedad (A)
• Vs Reims (H)
• Vs Nice (H) Coupe de France
• Vs Montpellier (A)
• Vs Marseille (A)

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.