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Football | Thursday, April 25, 2024 8:54 AM

Lyon vs Monaco Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Lyon vs Monaco Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
DPPI Media / Alamy Stock Photo: Alexandre LACAZETTE of Lyon celebrate scoring the goal during the French Cup

Lyon vs Monaco prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. Groupama Stadium is the venue for a clash between two of the biggest clubs in French football. 

Lyon have enjoyed a resurgence under the management of Pierre Sage, although they suffered a setback last week when they lost 1-4 at PSG. Monaco have rebounded this season and find themselves in second position. Ligue 1 expert Steve Wyss previews the game looking for the best betting approaches.


Lyon vs Monaco Prediction 1: Lyon can bounce back from PSG defeat against tired Monaco

France, Ligue 1, Sunday 28th April, 20:00 (UK)

Lyon lost 1-4 away to PSG last weekend, which was an uncharacteristic result and performance. The champions-in-waiting simply outplayed them, and that game demonstrated that they still have a fair way to go in order to match a side of PSG’s calibre. However, we shouldn’t hold it against them too much. No other team in this division is anywhere near that level and Lyon probably shouldn’t be judged harshly. They have been in brilliant form since Pierre Sage took over the team, averaging 1.89 points per game during his tenure. Les Gones have won 11 of their last 16 Ligue 1 games and also reached the Coupe de France final.

Monaco looks like they are in the box seat to finish second in the table and should certainly be looking at a top-four berth as a minimum placement. At the time of writing, we don’t know the result of the crucial midweek match between Monaco and Lille which will have an impactful result in the table. It will be an intense clash and Monaco are not used to playing three games in a week this season. 

One of the reasons they’ve done well is the lack of European football and getting knocked out of the French Cup early. Lyon can take advantage of some tired legs, and backing them on a 0,0 Asian handicap looks like a decent option. I don’t think Lyon will lose this game, and they’ll be eager to bounce back after last week’s disappointment. 

  • Lyon vs Monaco Prediction 1: Lyon 0,0 Asian Handicap (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.93
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 10/10

Lyon vs Monaco Prediction 2: Open contest should lead to a barrage of goals

There was a period where the type of match that Lyon were involved in was hard to predict. They were fighting against relegation and Pierre Sage had to make them difficult to break down. But, we have seen, in recent weeks, that his ideal philosophy is to play positive tactics with an ambition to entertain the crowd. The last eight consecutive Lyon games have all contained at least two goals with six of those going over 2.5. The Asian goal line is set at 3.00 here and it looks like a line which can be attacked with the over in mind.

Monaco results can be a mixed bag in terms of over and under, but the general flow of their games is quite open. Their fixtures average 3.20 goals per game and along with PSG and Lorient have picked up 18 out of 29 games over 2.5 goals this season, which is the joint most of any side. That rate extends to 11 out of 15 road games where their defence has been less reliable. To be fair, they did obtain an excellent clean sheet at Brest last week when they won 2-0. But this will be their third game in the space of a week and there could be some tired legs out there. 

Lyon are offering more of an offensive threat than Brest at the moment and it will be more challenging. We know that Monaco packs an impressive attacking punch of their own. They have scored the second most goals of any team in Ligue 1 (55) and backed it up with legit xG metrics of 53.18. This looks set to be an open contest in which both teams go for the win, so taking Over 3.00 Goals looks quite a safe play to receive at least a push.

  • Lyon vs Monaco Prediction 2: Over 3 Asian Goals (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.93
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 8/10

Lyon vs Monaco Prediction 3: Lacazette to continue strong form

With plenty of goals expected then it makes sense to look into the individual goalscorer markets to find some extra value. There’s a case to be made for several players in this fixture but one name, which stands out like a sore thumb is Lyon captain Alexandre Lacazette. After a poor first half of the season he has rebounded well and netted 18 goals in 30 appearances across all competitions. He failed to score against PSG last week but had previously been in great form, netting five goals in five games. 

Lacazette can be backed at 2.37 to score anytime which looks a generous price considering he’s at home, in form and the goal line is set high between 3.00 and 3.25. This is a Monaco team that have conceded the fourth most away goals of any side in the division and the Lyon captain will not fear anything from this defence. He will get chances, as he always does. The fact that he’s on penalty-taking duty only reinforces the chances of this bet winning. 

  • Lyon vs Monaco Prediction 3: Alexandre Lacazette to Score Anytime (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 2.37
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 6/10

Lyon vs Monaco Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, April 23rd 2024. Odds may now differ.


Lyon vs Monaco Team News and Possible Lineups: Monaco have to juggle midweek match

Lyon have no new issues to contend with and have quite a healthy squad right now. Monaco will be without defender Wilfried Singo and attacker Elise Ben Seghir in their midweek match against Lille due to a red card. They should return here as long as their bans are only one match. Thilo Kehrer will be back after completing a ban of his own. Caio Henrique and Aleksandr Golovin are injured for the remainder of the season.

Lyon possible starting lineup:
Lopes, Henrique, O’Brien, Caleta-Car, Maitland-Niles, Matic, Caqueret, Benrahma, Cherki, Nuamah, Lacazette

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Majecki, Salisu, Marzipan, Singo, Vanderson, Zakaria, Fofana, Diatta, Minamino, Akliouche, Balogun


The Predicted Lyon vs Monaco Ligue 1 Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Ligue 1 standings ahead of the Lyon vs Monaco, currently 8th vs 2nd, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Lyon vs Monaco Standings Prediction

Position Club Games W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 34 22.6 8.1 3.4 79.0 32.6 46.4 75.8
2 Brest 34 17.7 9.7 6.6 51.3 28.6 22.7 62.8
3 Monaco 34 16.8 7.7 9.6 60.9 48.2 12.7 57.9
4 Nice 34 16.0 9.8 8.2 37.6 26.8 10.8 57.7
5 Lille 34 15.0 10.8 8.1 49.0 31.9 17.1 55.9
6 Lens 34 15.0 8.5 10.5 48.5 38.7 9.8 53.6
7 Marseille 34 13.6 11.7 8.7 50.8 36.1 14.7 52.6
8 Rennes 34 13.3 10.9 9.9 49.5 40.7 8.8 50.6
9 Reims 34 14.1 6.7 13.2 44.9 46.2 -1.2 49.1
10 Lyon 34 11.9 6.6 15.5 40.8 52.2 -11.4 42.4
11 Toulouse 34 9.6 10.7 13.7 38.7 47.5 -8.8 39.4
12 Montpellier 34 9.3 10.6 14.1 41.3 46.9 -5.6 38.5
13 Strasbourg 34 9.5 9.9 14.6 35.7 50.0 -14.4 38.4
14 Nantes 34 10.2 6.7 17.1 35.2 50.4 -15.2 37.3
15 Le Havre 34 8.2 11.6 14.2 36.6 47.7 -11.0 36.1
16 Lorient 34 7.3 9.5 17.3 41.5 63.8 -22.3 31.3
17 Clermont 34 5.8 10.5 17.7 28.6 55.8 -27.2 28.0
18 Metz 34 6.3 7.8 19.9 28.5 54.4 -25.9 26.7

Match Stats: Potential Scrap In Store?

  • Lyon have won 11 of their last 16 Ligue 1 games
  • Lyon have only kept one clean sheet in 1 of their last 8 matches
  • Remarkably, there has not been a draw in any of the last 17 H2H meetings
  • Six red cards have been issued in Monaco’s last four games. Both these teams have 14 red cards given to them this season
  • Monaco average the second most fouls per game in Ligue 1 (14.50)

Lyon Fixtures: Cup final looming large for Lyon

  • Vs Lille (A)
  • Vs Clermont (A)
  • Vs Strasbourg (A)
  • Vs PSG (N) French Cup Final

Monaco Fixtures: Easy finish to the season for Monaco

  • Vs Clermont (H)
  • Vs Montpellier (A)
  • Vs Nantes (H)

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