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Boxing West Ham vs Luton Prediction: bet365 Bet Builder Preview
Scott Thornton brings you his West Ham Vs Luton prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview ahead of the weekend’s Premier League matches.
Luton are running out of time to battle their way out of the relegation zone. They face a West Ham side that are firmly in mid-table with two games to play. Our West Ham vs Luton prediction is for West Ham to win the match 2-1.
- West Ham vs Luton Tip 1: West Ham To Win
- West Ham vs Luton Tip 2: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals
- West Ham vs Luton Tip 3: Michail Antonio To Score
bet365 Bet Builder Odds: 6.50
West Ham vs Luton Prediction 1: Home Advantage Enough for the Hammers
England, Premier League, Saturday, May 11th, 15:00 (UK)
West Ham have already beaten Luton this season and I’m backing them to do the same this weekend. This will be David Moyes’ last home match in charge of the Hammers. He will be hoping to go out on a high. Moyes’ lifted the Europa Conference League last season but a mutual parting of ways was deemed to be the best option for both parties.
The Hammers have lost just four of their 18 home matches in the Premier League this season. Eight of those matches have ended in a draw but they deserve their favourites tag against Luton.
Rob Edwards’ side are three points from safety but their inferior goal difference means they need at least a point here. They will have to commit bodies forward, which will enable the home side to exploit the space in the counter. Luton have lost their last five away matches and are conceding an average of three goals per game in the process.
- West Ham vs Luton Prediction 1: West Ham To Win (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.75
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10
West Ham vs Luton Prediction 2: Struggling Defences Add to the Spectacle
Luton have no choice but to throw the kitchen sink at this one. While we expect them to come up short, it should make for an entertaining clash with goals at both ends. The Hatters away matches this season have seen an average of 3.78 goals per game. 2.5 of those goals have been scored by the home side.
West Ham have struggled for clean sheets of late. They haven’t stopped their opponents from finding the net in their last 16 league matches. They are conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game over that period.
Both teams have scored in five of David Moyes’ sides’ last six Premier League matches at the London Stadium. Over the course of their 18 home matches this season, West Ham are averaging 1.5 goals per game and conceding 1.44. Our bet also landed as the Hanmers won the reverse fixture 2-1.
- West Ham vs Luton Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals
- Best Odds: 1.70
- Bookmaker: Unibet
- Stake: 8/10
West Ham vs Luton Prediction 3: Antonio Provides a Threat
Michail Antonio has had to battle with Jarrod Bowen for the striker spot this season. Bowen had been prolific, but Moyes has favoured putting him back in the wide position in recent weeks.
West Ham were beaten 5-0 by Chelsea in their last match but Antonio did manage to score in the three matches prior to that drubbing. His physical prowess make him a nightmare for a defence to pin down. He is adept with his back to goal and possesses the necessary pace to get in behind. Antonio is also a threat in the air and can have success from set pieces against Luton. The Hammers scored a header in the reverse fixture.
Antonio ranks highly in terms of progressive carries and successful take-ons when compared to forwards across Europe’s top five leagues. He has scored just six league goals, but he comes into this one in fine form, so backing him for a goal looks good.
- West Ham vs Luton Prediction 3: Michail Antonio To Score
- Best Odds: 3.10
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 5/10
West Ham vs Luton Prediction odds via bet365 as at 07:25, May 7th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
West Ham vs Luton Team News and Possible Lineups: Paqueta To Be Seen Again?
West Ham have a few players missing here. Mavrapanos, Aguerd and Phillips are all unlikely to feature. Lucas Paqueta may have played his last game for the club. Speculation has been rife about his future and he came off injured in the defeat against Chelsea.
Luton are missing several players for the final two matches. Ogbene, Kabore, Bell, Potts and Brown are all absent. Tom Lockyer has been unavailable since suffering a cardiac arrest against Bournemouth.
West Ham possible starting lineup:
Areola; Coufal, Zouma, Ogbonna, Palmieri: Soucek, Alvarez, Ward-Prowse; Bowen, Kudus, Antonio
Luton possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Burke, Mengi, Osho; Onyedinma, Lokonga, Barkley, Doughty; Morris, Chong, Adebayo
The Predicted West Ham vs Luton Premier League Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the West Ham vs Luton, currently 9th vs 18th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
West Ham vs Luton Standings Prediction
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 27.1 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 94.7 | 36.0 | 58.7 | 88.7 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 27.5 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 92.7 | 29.3 | 63.4 | 87.8 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24.5 | 9.3 | 4.2 | 86.5 | 39.9 | 46.6 | 82.8 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20.4 | 7.4 | 10.1 | 75.3 | 57.2 | 18.2 | 68.7 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.4 | 6.6 | 12.0 | 75.0 | 62.9 | 12.0 | 64.8 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 38 | 18.3 | 5.6 | 14.1 | 84.2 | 61.8 | 22.4 | 60.4 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 38 | 16.2 | 9.7 | 12.1 | 74.2 | 62.9 | 11.3 | 58.3 |
| 8 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 14.7 | 55.1 | 60.7 | -5.5 | 56.7 |
| 9 | Brighton | 38 | 13.2 | 11.6 | 13.1 | 58.4 | 62.1 | -3.7 | 51.4 |
| 10 | West Ham | 38 | 13.5 | 10.3 | 14.2 | 58.6 | 75.1 | -16.4 | 50.8 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.8 | 9.4 | 14.8 | 55.3 | 66.4 | -11.1 | 50.7 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 13.4 | 7.4 | 17.2 | 51.0 | 64.2 | -13.2 | 47.7 |
| 13 | Fulham | 38 | 12.6 | 8.4 | 17.0 | 53.7 | 58.6 | -5.0 | 46.2 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11.8 | 10.5 | 15.6 | 51.9 | 59.4 | -7.6 | 46.0 |
| 15 | Everton | 38 | 12.6 | 9.4 | 16.0 | 40.4 | 52.4 | -12.0 | 41.2 |
| 16 | Brentford | 38 | 9.7 | 9.4 | 18.8 | 55.3 | 63.6 | -8.3 | 38.6 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 8.9 | 9.5 | 19.6 | 48.2 | 65.4 | -17.2 | 32.3 |
| 18 | Luton | 38 | 6.7 | 8.5 | 22.9 | 52.2 | 81.6 | -29.4 | 28.5 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 5.4 | 9.4 | 23.2 | 41.2 | 78.1 | -36.9 | 25.6 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 3.5 | 7.4 | 27.0 | 37.7 | 103.9 | -66.2 | 18.0 |
Match Stats: A Luton double in the offing?
- West Ham are looking to complete their first league double over Luton since 1983-84, following their 2-1 win at Kenilworth Road earlier this season.
- Luton are winless in their last five away league games against West Ham (D3 L2). This is their first such visit since a 2-2 draw in December 1992, and first in the top-flight since a 0-0 in August 1991.
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League games against promoted sides (W8 D2) since a 1- 0 loss at Nottingham Forest in August last season. At home, they’ve won six of their last seven such games since a 2-1 loss to Brentford in October 2021.
- West Ham have lost three of their last four Premier League games (D1), shipping five goals in each of the last two defeats (2-5 v Crystal Palace, 0-5 v Chelsea). Indeed, the Hammers have conceded 5+ goals in four different league games this season, last doing so more in 1965-66 (6).
- West Ham have conceded 70 Premier League goals this season, their joint-most in a single campaign along with 2010-11 when they finished bottom. They last conceded more in a league season in 1975-76 (71).
- Luton have both scored and conceded in 29 of their 36 Premier League games this season, a joint competition record alongside Swindon in 1993-94 and Southampton in 1994-95. The last side to see both themselves and their opponents score in more top-flight matches in a single campaign were Newcastle in 1985-86 (31).
West Ham Fixtures: City on the Final
- Vs Manchester City (A)
Luton Fixtures: Three Points Needed Against Fulham
- Vs Fulham (H)
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