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Boxing Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
Scott Thornton brings you his Bournemouth vs Manchester United prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview as the teams go head-to-head in the Premier League.
Prediction: Bournemouth 3-2 Manchester United
Erik Ten Hag’s side have failed to win any of their three matches since the international break which had put them on the back foot in the race for a Champions League place. Bournemouth we’re beaten by Luton in their last game so they are looking to bounce back here.
- Bournemouth vs Manchester United Tip 1: Bournemouth To Win
- Bournemouth vs Manchester United Tip 2: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals
- Bournemouth vs Manchester United Tip 3: Dominic Solanke To Score
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction 1: Home Side to Claim All Three Points
England, Premier League, Saturday, April 13th, 17:30 (UK)
Manchester United were fortunate to get a point from their clash with Liverpool last weekend. Erik Ten Hag’s side had to weather the storm. It took a mistake from Klopp’s defence and a wonder goal from Kobbie Mainoo to grab their two goals. Andre Onana was busy at the other end.
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five home matches across all competitions. They managed a 3-0 win over United at Old Trafford earlier in the season so I’m happy to back them to win here. Iraola’s men had to absorb pressure in that game, but the result was no fluke. They finished the game with 0.32 more xG than the home side. Bournemouth have managed to win six of their last 11 home matches, and their only defeats during that run came against Manchester City and Liverpool.
The Red Devils have lost five of their last ten away matches in the Premier League. Over that period, they are conceding an average of 1.80 goals per game and have managed just three wins. Manchester United place 15th in the table according to Understats’ expected points metric won’t a total of 36.72. Their opponents’ xPTS is 43.24, so the price on offer for a home win appears generous.
- Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction 1: Bournemouth To Win
- Best Odds: 2.45
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 6/10
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction 2: Goal Trend Set to Continue
Our second bet for this match is Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals in the match. Manchester United have conceded an exorbitant amount of shots this season. Ten Hag’s side have conceded an average of 17.87 per game, a number only beaten by Sheffield United. The manager is seemingly happy to leave his midfield isolated with the forwards asked to press and the defence instructed to sit deep. Bournemouth have the quality to exploit that deficiency.
The Cherries’ matches this season have seen an average of 3.20 goals per game. Andoni Iraola’s men are scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 on average. They have failed to score in just two of their last 10 Premier League matches, they were facing title contenders on both occasions.
United have played seven Premier League away matches in 2024. Both teams have scored in all of those and this bet has won in six. Those games have seen an average of 4.33 goals, so expect a glut of goals once again.
- Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.61
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 9/10
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction 3: Solanke to Leave His Mark
Dominic Solanke’s scoring form has grabbed headlines this season. It has been his most prolific camping in the top flight by some distance. The former Liverpool striker bagged a goal against Manchester United earlier in the season and would love to get his name on the scoresheet once again.
Solanke has netted 16 league goals in 31 Premier League appearances this season. He has a non-penalty xG of 0.44 per 90 minutes played. The striker is likely to have success against a depleted Manchester United defence. Ten Hag’s approach without the ball has been brought into question. No team in Europe’s top five leagues has allowed their opponents more attempts in 2024, so Solanke stands to benefit here.
Bournemouth’s top scorer this season has found the net in two of their last three home matches. Nine of his 16 league goals have come at the Vitality Stadium.
- Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction 3: Dominic Solanke To Score
- Best Odds: 2.25
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction odds via bet365 as at 07:57, April 9th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Team News and Possible Lineups: Vistor’s Defensive Woes
Andoni Iraola has a couple of absentees ahead of this match. Luis Sinisterra and Ryan Fredericks are both carrying injuries.
Manchester United’s defence is down to barebones. Luke Shaw, Tyrell Malacia, Raphael Varane, Victor Lindelof and Lisandro Martinez are all missing for this one. Willy Kambwala impressed in his first Premier League start so expect him to play once again.
Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Neto; Kerkez, Zabarnyi, Kelly, Smith; Cook, Christie; Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Solanke
Manchester United possible starting lineup:
Onana: Wan-Bissaka, Kambwala, Maguire, Dalot; Mainoo, Casemiro, Fernandes; Rashford, Hojlund, Antony
The Predicted Bournemouth vs Manchester United Premier League Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Bournemouth vs Manchester United, currently 6th vs 12th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Standings Prediction
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 27.0 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 90.6 | 28.9 | 61.7 | 87.3 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.7 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 89.4 | 37.6 | 51.8 | 86.4 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 38 | 25.7 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 87.8 | 38.1 | 49.7 | 85.3 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 38 | 20.3 | 7.4 | 10.3 | 76.7 | 59.5 | 17.2 | 68.3 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19.6 | 7.2 | 11.1 | 74.1 | 60.9 | 13.1 | 66.1 |
| 6 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 15.1 | 54.6 | 57.5 | -2.9 | 57.7 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 38 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 14.6 | 78.9 | 64.9 | 14.0 | 57.4 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 38 | 15.3 | 9.6 | 13.1 | 69.2 | 65.7 | 3.5 | 55.5 |
| 9 | West Ham | 38 | 14.5 | 10.2 | 13.3 | 59.7 | 68.9 | -9.1 | 53.6 |
| 10 | Brighton | 38 | 13.5 | 11.6 | 13.0 | 61.8 | 61.0 | 0.9 | 52.0 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 38 | 14.2 | 9.5 | 14.3 | 56.9 | 64.8 | -7.9 | 52.0 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 13.8 | 7.5 | 16.8 | 51.9 | 62.2 | -10.3 | 48.8 |
| 13 | Fulham | 38 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 17.7 | 55.6 | 61.6 | -6.0 | 46.2 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 9.4 | 10.7 | 17.9 | 45.4 | 64.7 | -19.3 | 39.0 |
| 15 | Everton | 38 | 11.6 | 9.5 | 16.9 | 42.4 | 53.2 | -10.8 | 38.3 |
| 16 | Brentford | 38 | 9.4 | 9.3 | 19.2 | 55.0 | 67.4 | -12.5 | 37.7 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 9.3 | 9.6 | 19.1 | 47.9 | 63.6 | -15.7 | 33.5 |
| 18 | Luton | 38 | 7.7 | 8.2 | 22.1 | 53.4 | 77.1 | -23.7 | 31.3 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 5.7 | 8.4 | 23.9 | 39.3 | 77.1 | -37.8 | 25.5 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 4.8 | 8.6 | 24.5 | 38.1 | 94.2 | -56.1 | 23.1 |
Match OPTA Stats: Sweet Second Half Cherries
- Bournemouth are looking to complete their first league double over Manchester United, following their 3-0 win at Old Trafford in December.
- Manchester United have won four of their six Premier League away games against Bournemouth, losing the other two in December 2015 (1-2) and November 2019 (0-1).
- Bournemouth have won each of their last three Premier League home games – they’ve never won four in a row at home in the top-flight before.
- After a run of six away games that saw them keep four clean sheets and concede just two goals, Manchester United have now conceded in each of their last eight on the road, shipping 17 goals in total.
- Despite coming into this round of games in sixth place in the Premier League table, only bottom side Sheffield United (560) have faced more shots than Manchester United in the Premier League this season (554), while the Red Devils also have the third highest expected goals against figure (58.2).
- Just 31% of Bournemouth’s Premier League goals this season have been scored in the first half (14/45), the lowest share in the division so far this term. Indeed, the Cherries have scored just once in the opening 45 minutes in their last nine games, and in none of the last five.
Bournemouth Fixtures: Title Contenders to Come
- Vs Aston Villa (A)
- Vs Wolves (A)
- Vs Brighton (H)
- Vs Arsenal (A)
- Vs Brentford (H)
Manchester United Fixtures: FA Cup in Focus
- Vs Coventry (N)
- Vs Sheffield United (H)
- Vs Burnley (H)
- Vs Crystal Palace (A)
- Vs Arsenal (H)
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