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Horse Racing Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
We bring you our Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview courtesy of Scott Thornton ahead of the Friday night clash in the Bundesliga.
Augsburg have a slight chance of qualifying for the Europa Conference League this season. They take on a Union Berlin side that have suffered from the off. The visitors have continued to struggle and aren’t entirely out of the woods in terms of the relegation battle.
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin Tip 1: Augsburg To Win
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin Tip 2: Under 0.5 Goals For Union Berlin
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin Tip 3: Ermedin Demirovic To Score
Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction 1: Home Side to Emerge Victorious
Germany, Bundesliga, Friday, April 12th, 19:30 (UK)
The first of our bets for this match is Augsburg to win the match. They have enjoyed a fantastic season and currently sit 7th in the Bundesliga. The gap to Eintracht Frankfurt, who are in 6th, is currently six points.
Augsburg have been difficult to beat on home turf. Only Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen have managed to take all three points from the WWK Arena in the last ten league games at the ground. The Fuggerstadter have won their last three home matches against Union Berlin. They managed one more shot than their opponents in that match despite having just 38% possession. They face a much weaker Union side in this clash.
Union Berlin secured a place in the Champions League by finishing in the top four last season. However, this campaign has been nothing short of a disaster. They are currently 13th in the Bundesliga, and there is still a remote possibility that they will be relegated. Union have lost nine of their 14 away matches this season so backing the home sides looks the way to go on Friday night.
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction 1: Augsburg To Win (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 2.00
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10
Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction 2: Union’s Miserable Attacking Output
Union Berlin have been toothless for much of the season. A lack of goals is the main reason they have found themselves slugging it out near the bottom of the Bundesliga. Only Koln have found the net with less frequency over the course of the 28 matches.
Union have failed to score on their last two visits to this ground. They were beaten 1-0 the last time the teams went head-to-head here and Berlin were averaging 1.5 goals per game last season. This season has seen a remarkable goal-scoring drop off and that doesn’t bode well ahead of this one.
Augsburg have struggled to keep clean sheets of late but this is the perfect opportunity for them to hold firm. Union Berlin are averaging just 0.64 goals per away game this season. They have failed to find the net in eight of their last ten away matches in the league. Union’s average xG per game over that period is just 0.74 so it’s not as though they’ve been squandering opportunities.
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction 2: Under 0.5 Goals For Union Berlin
- Best Odds: 2.80
- Bookmaker: Unibet
- Stake: 5/10
Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction 3: Demirovic in Fine Fettle
Ermedin Demirovic has been the star of the Augsburg attack this season. He has scored 15 goals in the Bundesliga, more than twice as much as Phillip Tietz, who is the team’s second-highest scorer. Augsburg have failed to score in just one of their 14 home matches this season and Ermedin has been an integral part of that.
Demirovic isn’t afraid to come deep to have an impact on the game but that doesn’t mean he is not a presence in the opposition box. He is averaging over five touches per game in the attacking penalty area. He is averaging a non-penalty xG of 0.41 per 90 minutes played, overperforming his non-penalty xG of 0.32 per 90.
The Bosnian attacker as features as an attacking midfielder and as a striker in a front pairing. He scored his team’s only goal in the 3-1 loss against Hoffenheim in his last game. Demirovic has scored seven goals in 11 Bundesliga matches since the turn of the year. He also found the net when Augsburg drew 1-1 against Union Berlin earlier in the season.
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction 3: Ermedin Demirovic To Score
- Best Odds: 2.62
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 6/10
Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction odds via bet365 as at 08:27, April 8th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Augsburg vs Union Berlin Team News and Possible Lineups: Teaser
Augbsurg have a few absentees for this one. Jakic and Jensen aren’t expected to return to the team until next month. Mbabu and Iago remain injured but are expected to feature at some point later on in April.
Kevin Volland is the most notable injury concern for Union Berlin. He has picked up a slight knock but he could be fit enough to return on Friday night. However, it does seem unlikely he will start. Gosens was sent off in the team’s 1-0 defeat at home to Bayer Leverkusen last weekend. The wing back will be a huge miss against Augsburg.
Augburg possible starting lineup:
Dahmen; Pedersen, Uduokhai, Bauer, Gouweleeuw, Vargas; Maier, Breithaupt, Engles; Demirovic, Tietz
Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Ronnow; Doekhi, Vogt, Leite; Trimmel, Tousart, Schafer, Khedira, Kral ; Aaronson, Vertessen
The Predicted Augsburg vs Union Berlin Bundesliga Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Bundesliga standings ahead of the Augsburg vs Union Berlin, currently 7th vs 13th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Augsburg vs Union Berlin Standings Prediction
| Position | Club | Game | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 25.9 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 82.5 | 26.9 | 55.6 | 83.9 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 25.2 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 92.7 | 35.5 | 57.2 | 79.2 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 34 | 20.7 | 4.2 | 9.1 | 74.0 | 44.0 | 30.0 | 66.3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 18.7 | 6.2 | 9.1 | 72.4 | 41.7 | 30.8 | 62.4 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 34 | 16.0 | 10.2 | 7.8 | 66.9 | 47.5 | 19.3 | 58.3 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11.6 | 12.4 | 10.1 | 51.2 | 49.4 | 1.8 | 47.1 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 46.7 | 58.9 | -12.2 | 44.2 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 11.7 | 8.3 | 14.0 | 57.6 | 63.1 | -5.5 | 43.4 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11.1 | 8.5 | 14.5 | 45.5 | 54.4 | -8.8 | 41.7 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 34 | 9.8 | 10.4 | 13.8 | 48.6 | 59.5 | -10.9 | 39.7 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 10.1 | 9.5 | 14.5 | 58.0 | 63.1 | -5.1 | 39.6 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 9.8 | 9.4 | 14.8 | 42.4 | 53.4 | -11.0 | 38.8 |
| 13 | Heidenheim | 34 | 9.8 | 9.3 | 14.9 | 46.3 | 61.7 | -15.4 | 38.6 |
| 14 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 16.8 | 37.7 | 54.5 | -16.9 | 38.5 |
| 15 | Bochum | 34 | 8.6 | 12.4 | 13.0 | 43.7 | 64.9 | -21.2 | 38.2 |
| 16 | Mainz | 34 | 6.3 | 11.6 | 16.1 | 32.9 | 51.7 | -18.8 | 30.6 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 18.0 | 28.7 | 58.6 | -29.8 | 27.5 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 34 | 4.3 | 9.2 | 20.5 | 35.6 | 74.6 | -39.0 | 22.1 |
Match Stats: Union’s Pitiful Away Form
- Augsburg are unbeaten in their last seven head-to-heads with Union Berlin.
- The home side have lost just three of their 14 league matches at the WWK Arena this season.
- Union Berlin are averaging just 0.89 goals per game this season, the 2nd fewest in the Bundesliga.
- Union have won just two away games in the league this season.
Augsburg Fixtures: Tougher Tests to Come
- Vs Frankfurt (A)
- Vs Werder Bremen (H)
- Vs Dortmund (A)
- Vs Stuttgart (H)
- Vs Bayer Leverkusen (A)
Union Berlin Fixtures: Union Still in Danger
- Vs Bayern Munich (H)
- Vs Monchengladbach (A)
- Vs Bochum (H)
- Vs Koln (A)
- Vs Freiburg (H)
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