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Horse Racing Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
It’s third vs fourth this week in La Liga, and once again Nathan Joyes is on hand to bring you his Atletico Madrid vs Girona prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview.
With this fixture sandwiched in between Atletico Madrid’s Champions League tie with Dortmund, a few rotated faces may present Girona with an opportunity to rectify recent away form.
- Atletico Madrid vs Girona Tip 1: Girona Highest Scoring Half – Second
- Atletico Madrid vs Girona Tip 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
- Atletico Madrid vs Girona Tip 3: Artem Dovbyk to score anytime
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction 1: Taking Advantage of Tired Legs
Spain, La Liga, Friday, April 12th, 20:00 (UK)
Arguably the fixture of the weekend, Atletico Madrid will be hoping to close the gap on third while Girona are eyeing up Barcelona in second spot.
The advantage here perhaps falls to the visitors due to Atletico Madrid’s Champions League encounter with Dortmund. Expect a few changes to Diego Simeone’s starting XI if that match finishes all square.
Girona’s away form has been dire of late. Four defeats on the bounce, as well as including a 4-0 drumming vs Real Madrid has ended any faint title hopes they had. However, over the course of the season Girona has the third best away form only behind the two usual suspects.
In all four of those away defeats, Girona have been losing at the break. Slow, sluggish starts have cost them dearly. Head coach Michel will be mindful of this, and will no doubt look to sure up his defence in the first 45 minutes.
With Atletico finding their feet after a midweek fixture vs Dortmund three days earlier, Simeone’s side are unlikely to be quick out of the blocks and perhaps will tire late on. That, or a few substitutions to save certain legs may see the hosts lose any rhythm.
If Girona can stay in the match, the longer it goes on their confidence will restore, and the second half provides the perfect opportunity to get on the board.
- Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction 1: Girona Highest Scoring Half – Second
- Best Odds: 2.40
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 6/10
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction 2: Back a flurry of goals
With those rotations in mind, there’s every chance Girona can test Atletico Madrid in their own backyard. With 24 goals on their travels this year, the visitors have outscored all but two teams – once again, I’ll let you work that pair out.
This bodes well when it comes to entering the Metropolitano, as Atletico Madrid has only conceded 16 in front of their own fans.
However, they have conceded in each of their last six home matches – which includes a 3-0 defeat last time out to Barcelona. Atletico’s slight dip in form hasn’t come at a good time.
Girona’s recent dramatic 3-2 win over Betis was not only entertaining, but it showed their ability in front of goal, as well as their defensive frailties at present.
With the reverse fixture throwing up seven goals, there’s every chance this game could turn into a spectacle – especially if there’s an early goal.
- Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS
- Best Odds: 1.83
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction 3: Golden boot leader to add to his tally
With evidence pointing towards Girona getting back on track, it would be naive for me to not tip Artem Dovbyk to continue finding the back of the net.
You don’t need me to tell you how incredible the Ukrainian has been in his debut season in La Liga, hitting a staggering 16 goals in 28 appearances.
After his hattrick vs Sevilla, the 26-year-old went on a dry spell of eight games without a goal. However, a goal in the international break ignited him once again as he returned to score a brace vs Betis in their 3-2 win.
With three goals in his last three matches, there’s only one man Girona will trust to get them back on track, and as mentioned, if the hosts rotate, expect Dovbyk to find the gaps in the defence and add a potential 17th La Liga goal to his name.
- Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction 3: Artem Dovbyk to Score Anytime
- Best Odds: 2.50
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 6/10
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction odds via bet365 as at 15:30, April 4th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Team News and Possible Lineups: Suspended players to return for hosts
Both Rodrigo de Paul and Nahuel Molina are to return to the matchday squad after serving their suspensions for Atletico Madrid. Mario Hermoso remains sidelined due to a muscle injury and is unlikely to return for a while yet.
Girona welcome back their star Brazilian winger Savio who missed out on the home win vs Betis due to a collection of yellow cards. The 19-year-old has been in fine form this season, scoring eight goals and providing seven assists in La Liga.
Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Mandava, Witsel, Gimenez, Lino Barrios, Koke, Llorente, Depay, Riquelme, Griezmann
Girona possible starting lineup:
Gazzaniga; Blind, Lopez, Garcia, Gutierrez, Garcia, Martin, Couto, Tsygankov, Portu, Dovbyk
The Predicted Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction La Liga Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the La Liga standings ahead of the Atletico Madrid vs Girona, currently 4th vs 3rd, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction Standings Prediction
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27.0 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 76.3 | 27.4 | 49.0 | 88.6 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 24.0 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 80.6 | 47.7 | 32.9 | 80.3 |
| 3 | Girona | 38 | 23.8 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 79.5 | 49.1 | 30.3 | 78.9 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 22.0 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 73.8 | 43.2 | 30.6 | 72.7 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 20.1 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 66.0 | 39.1 | 26.9 | 70.0 |
| 6 | Betis | 38 | 14.8 | 15.0 | 8.3 | 47.6 | 41.6 | 6.0 | 59.3 |
| 7 | Sociedad | 38 | 14.8 | 13.3 | 9.9 | 49.5 | 38.8 | 10.7 | 57.7 |
| 8 | Valencia | 38 | 13.8 | 9.6 | 14.6 | 41.8 | 45.7 | -3.9 | 51.1 |
| 9 | Getafe | 38 | 12.3 | 13.1 | 12.6 | 48.1 | 53.8 | -5.7 | 50.0 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 38 | 12.9 | 9.1 | 16.0 | 36.9 | 44.1 | -7.2 | 47.7 |
| 11 | Alaves | 38 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 15.0 | 40.8 | 46.2 | -5.4 | 46.6 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 38 | 12.4 | 8.9 | 16.7 | 43.6 | 56.2 | -12.6 | 46.1 |
| 13 | Villarreal | 38 | 11.1 | 10.6 | 16.4 | 56.6 | 70.2 | -13.6 | 43.8 |
| 14 | Vallecano | 38 | 9.4 | 13.2 | 15.4 | 35.9 | 50.2 | -14.3 | 41.4 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8.4 | 15.3 | 14.3 | 37.0 | 48.0 | -11.0 | 40.5 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 8.8 | 12.0 | 17.2 | 44.5 | 55.8 | -11.3 | 38.5 |
| 17 | Celta | 38 | 8.9 | 10.8 | 18.4 | 44.9 | 58.1 | -13.1 | 37.4 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | 6.0 | 11.3 | 20.7 | 42.0 | 68.1 | -26.2 | 29.2 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 38 | 4.6 | 14.1 | 19.3 | 26.8 | 55.8 | -29.0 | 28.0 |
| 20 | Almeria | 38 | 3.7 | 11.8 | 22.5 | 40.2 | 73.4 | -33.2 | 22.9 |
Match Stats: Girona can exploit Atletico’s defence
- Girona won the reverse fixture 4-3 thanks to Ivan Martin’s stoppage time winner.
- Atletico Madrid has conceded in their last five matches in all competitions.
- Girona returned to winning ways after a dramatic last minute winner vs Betis (3-2).
Atletico Madrid Fixtures: Season defining trip to Germany
- Vs Dortmund (A)
- Vs Alaves (A)
- Vs Athletic Bilbao (H)
- Vs Mallorca (A)
- Vs Celta Vigo (H)
Girona Fixtures: Barcelona game catches the eye
- Vs Cadiz (H)
- Vs Las Palmas (A)
- Vs Barcelona (H)
- Vs Alaves (A)
- Vs Villarreal (H)
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